Research

Revision requested

  • "Criminal capital persistence: Evidence from 90,000 inmates’ releases," R&R Journal of Development Economics. (with Maria A. Escobar and Martin Vanegas-Arias)[Working paper]

Forthcoming

  • "Do better prisons reduce recidivism? Evidence from a prison construction program," forthcoming Review of Economics and Statistics. [Paper | Replication | Outreach: El Espectador, Razón Pública]

  • "Broken windows policing and crime: Evidence from 80 Colombian cities," forthcoming in Buonanno, P., Vanin, P. and Vargas, J. (Eds.) A Modern Guide to the Economics of Crime (with Daniel Mejía, Ervyn Norza and Martín Vanegas-Arias). [Invited chapter | Working paper]

Selected publications

  • (2021) "Community policing in the developing world," Science, 374(6571), 1046-1047. [Invited, perspectives section | Perspective]

  • (2021) "Place-based interventions at scale: The direct and spillover effects of policing and city services on crime," Journal of the European Economic Association, 19(4), 2022-2051 (with Chris Blattman, Donald Green and Daniel Ortega). [Paper | Online appendix | Teaching materials | Outreach: J-PAL Policy Reports]

  • (2021) "The Deterrent Effects of Surveillance Cameras on Crime," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 40(2), 553-571 (with Santiago Gómez and Daniel Mejía). [Paper]

  • (2021) "Hot Spots Policing in a High Crime Environment: An Experimental Evaluation in Medellín," Journal of Experimental Criminology, 17, 473–506 (with Daniela Collazos, Eduardo García, Daniel Mejía and Daniel Ortega). [Paper]

  • (2020) "Meta-Analysis of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Major Histocompatibility Complex Class II Deficiency," Pediatric Transplantation, 24(6), e13774 (with Lina Castano-Jaramillo, Jose Bareno-Silva and Andres Escobar-Gonzalez). [Paper | Outreach: Twitter thread]

  • (2018) "The role of land property rights in the war on illicit crops: Evidence from Colombia" World Development, 103, 268-283 (with Juan Carlos Muñoz and Jesse D'Anjou). [Paper | Outreach: IDS Policy Briefings]

Selected work in progress

Other publications

  • (2021) "Crises conducting stakeholder salience: Shifts in the evolution of private universities' governance in Latin America," Corporate Governance, 21(6), 1194-1214 (with Maria Alejandra Gonzalez-Perez, Miguel Cordova, Erica Salvaj, Santiago Mingo, Carlos Rodriguez, Karla María Nava-Aguirre, Michel Hermans, Fabiola Monje Cueto and Dinorá Floriani). [Paper]

  • (2019) "El gasto fiscal de la guerra contra los portadores de drogas ilícitas: Una aproximación para Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, 91, 79-116 (with Isabel Gutiérrez). [Paper]

  • (2018) "La situación del narcotráfico en Colombia ad portas del posconflicto," Contribuciones de la Universidad a la Agenda de La Habana, Edited by: Jorge Giraldo. Ed: Universidad EAFIT (with Isabel Gutiérrez and Gustavo Duncan). [Chapter]

  • (2018) "What works to prevent violence among youth? A white paper on youth violence, crime prevention and the Mexican context," USAID Report, AID-523- C-15-00002 (with Thomas Abt, Chris Blattman and Beatriz Magaloni). [Report, Spanish version, Policy brief]

  • (2017) "El Ciclo Criminal del Microtráfico y Consumo de Drogas: Contexto Nacional y Consecuencias en Entornos Locales," Territorios y Sociabilidades Violentas: Santo Domingo, San Juan, Sao Paulo, Cali y Medellin. Edited by: Jorge Giraldo. Ed: Universidad EAFIT (with Isabel Gutiérrez). [Chapter]

  • (2017) "Evaluación y seguimiento a las actividades de la policía de vigilancia," Gestión Territorial de la Seguridad en el Posconflicto. Edited by: Isabel Gutiérrez. Ed: Universidad EAFIT y Escuela de Postgrados de Policía, Policía Nacional (with Isabel Gutiérrez). [Chapter]

  • (2016) "La inversión obligatoria y el crédito agropecuario en Colombia," El desarrollo equitativo, competitivo y sostenible del sector agropecuario en Colombia. Edited by: Carlos Gustavo Cano, Ana María Iregui, Maria Teresa Ramírez & Ana María Tribín. Ed: Banco de la República (with Dairo Estrada and Paula Zuleta). [Chapter]

  • (2016) "Sector Wide Impact Assessment on Human Rights: Mining Unseen," Institute for Human Rights and Business Report (with Luis Fernando De Angulo, Camila Miranda, Blanca Llorente, Natalia Torres, Alejandra Castillo, Margaret Wachenfeld, Andreé Viana and Viviana Arango). [Report]

  • (2014) "The Rational Expectations Hypothesis: An Assessment on its Real World Application," Ecos de Economía: A Latin American Journal of Applied Economics, 18(37), 37-47. [Paper]

  • (2013) "Instituciones y cultivos ilícitos," Economía criminal y poder político, Edited by: Jorge Giraldo. Ed: Universidad EAFIT. [Chapter]

  • (2013) "Impuesto predial y desarrollo económico. Aproximación a la relación entre el impuesto predial y la inversión de los municipios de Antioquia," Ecos de Economía: A Latin American Journal of Applied Economics, 17(36), 173-198 (with Juan Carlos Muñoz). [Paper]