Estimates of Macroeconomic Stars
-- Zaman, Saeed. 2024. “A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 21-23R
-- Latest version: https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202123r2
-- Forthcoming: The Review of Economics and Statistics
https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01570
Latest estimates of Stars (and output gap):
-- based on US data through 2025Q3, updated January 8th, 2026, after the release of labor productivity data.
Download the latest historical time series of stars (and other objects of interest)
Next update: Feb 21, 2026.
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