Dissemination

Organized Sessions 

• Organized Session entitled "Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for the Analysis of Traffic and the Environment" at the Association for Applied Statistics  (ASA) conference (Università "La Sapienza", Roma), September 18th – 20th, 2024. Organizer: Rodolfo Metulini, Chair: Paola Zuccolotto.  Contributions: 

1. Copula functions and dynamic hydrological data: The case of Scotland, Sara Selvaggia Guerini, Luigi Spezia 

2. Statistical analysis of smartphone mobility data for air quality assessment, Muhammad Haroon Shaukat, Francesco Finazzi

3. Forecasting traffic flows from series of mobile phone data with complex seasonality and volatility using GARCH models, Maurizio Carpita, Manlio Migliorati, Rodolfo Metulini 

• Organized Session entitled "Statistical methods for traffic and the environment" at the Association for Applied Statistics  (IES) conference (University of Padova, Bressanone), June 25th – 27th, 2025. Organizer: Rodolfo Metulini, Chair: .  Contributions: 

1. Assessing Predictive Performance of Time Series Copula Models in Traffic Flow Analysis, Sara Selvaggia Guerini, Rodolfo Metulini 

2. Characteristic-based clustering of traffic flow time series with complex seasonality, Maurizio Carpita, Manlio Migliorati, Rodolfo Metulini 

3. Traffic Restrictions and Air Quality: A Counterfactual Matrix Completion Analysis of Milan’s Area C, Roxana Adam, Francesco Biancalani, Rodolfo Metulini

4. Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Accident Risk, Gabriele Cantaluppi, Jianyi Lin, Gianni Valena, Diego Zappa

Talks at International Conferences

• SIS 2024, Università di Bari Aldo Moro,  17-20 June 2024. Presented work: "Exploring urban mobility patterns in Lombardia through advanced analysis of mobile phone data". Authors: Selene Perazzini and Rodolfo Metulini (Invited). Solicited session: Methods and models for transport and mobility analyses. Organizer and Chair: Antonello D'Ambra.

• XXVI SIET Conference, “Methods, Practices, and Policies for the Future of Mobility”, Bicocca University, Milan, September 19th – 20th, 2024. Presented work: "Air quality and traffic restriction in Milan: a counterfactual analysis based on a Matrix Completion Approach". Authors: Francesco Biancalani and Rodolfo Metulini (Invited).

• ICSA-DIAS 2025, Florence, 9-11 January, 2025. Two contributions in a session entitled "Air Quality, Energy, and Predictive Models":  

1.  Traffic Restrictions and Air Quality: A Machine Learning Evaluation of Milan’s Area C Roxana Adam, Francesco Biancalani, Rodolfo Metulini

2.  On evaluating the predictive performance of time series copula models for traffic flows Authors: Sara Selvaggia Guerini, Rodolfo Metulini

• SDS 2025 Third Conference of the Statistics and Data Science Group of the Italian Statistical Society, Milano, 2-3 April, 2025. Presented work: "Modelling and clustering volatility of multiple traffic flow time series with complex seasonality", Authors: Rodolfo Metulini, Maurizio Carpita, Maglio Migliorati

• SIS 2025, Statistics for Innovation, Genova 16-18 June, 2025, Presented work: "An Alternative Estimator of the Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function Based on Order Statistics", Authors Lorenzo Tedesco, Tommaso Lando

• IAGA / IASPEI 2025 Joint Scientific Meeting, Lisbona, 31 August – 5 September 2025, Presented work: Enhancing ShakeMaps in urban areas using accelerometric measurements from citizens' smartphones, Authors: Francesco Finazzi, Fabrice Cotton, Rémy Bossu

• CLADAG 2025 15th Scientific Meeting Classification and Data Analysis Group, Napoli, 8-10 September, 2025,  Presented work: Characteristic-Based Fuzzy Clustering of MCS-GARCH Volatility Components in Traffic Flow Data, Authors: Rodolfo Metulini, Maurizio Carpita, Manlio Migliorati (Invited)

• GRASPA 2025 Roma, 15-17 September 2025, Four contributions:

1. Dynamic copula modelling for mobility time series, Authors: Sara Selvaggia Guerini, Rodolfo Metulini

2. Counterfactual evaluation of traffic restriction effects on air quality in Milan’s Area C via nuclear norm-based matrix completion, Authors: Francesco Biancalani, Roxana Adam, Rodolfo Metulini  (Invited)

3.  Nonparametric Proportional Hazards Model with Differential Regularization Applied to Spatial Survival Data, Author: Lorenzo Tedesco

4. Multivariate state-space model with SPDE and low-rank approximation for high dimensional data. Author: Jacopo Rodeschini

Academic Seminars

Brown Bag Seminar by Sara Selvaggia Guerini, 18 February 2025. Department of Economics, University of Bergamo. Title: Time Series Copula Models for Traffic Flows