Research

Current Working Papers

Optimal Model Selection in RDD and Related Settings Using Placebo Zones (with Nathan Kettlewell)
-pzms- Our Stata command which implements our proposed approach
-pzms_sim- Our Stata command which compares the likely performance of our approach to CCT using simulations with DGPs based on the data in any specific application
2 min video explainer

New Report

Delavande A, Siminski P, Slonim R (2023) Methods for Evaluating Impact of Direct Giving and Cash Transfers, Supported by Paul Ramsay Foundation

Selected Publications by Field

Labour Economics

Siminski P, Yetsenga R (2022) 'Specialization, Comparative Advantage, and the Sexual Division of Labor' Journal of Labor Economics 40: 851-887 https://doi.org/10.1086/718430 Replication files

Atalay K, Barrett G, Siminski P (2019) ‘Pension Incentives and the Joint Retirement of Couples: Evidence from Two Natural Experiments’ Journal of Population Economics, 32: 735-767

Siminski P (2013) ‘Employment Effects of Army Service and Veterans’ Compensation: Evidence from the Australian Vietnam-Era Conscription Lotteries’ Review of Economics and Statistics 95(1): 87-97

Siminski P (2013) ‘Are Low Skill Public Sector Workers Really Overpaid? A Quasi-Differenced Panel Data Analysis’ Applied Economics 45(14): 1915-1929

Siminski P, Ville S (2012) ‘I Was Only Nineteen, 45 Years Ago: What Can we Learn from Australia’s Conscription Lotteries?’ Economic Record 88(282): 351-371

Livermore T, Rodgers J, Siminski P (2011) ‘The Effect of Motherhood on Wages and Wage Growth: Evidence for Australia’ Economic Record 87 (Special Issue): 80-91

Siminski, P (2009) ‘Do Government Benefits for High Income Retirees Encourage Saving?’ Australian Journal of Labour Economics 12(3): 247-261

Inequality, Social Mobility and Poverty

Kennedy T, Siminski P (2022) 'Are We Richer Than Our Parents Were? Absolute Income Mobility in Australia' Economic Record 98: 22-41 Replication files Awarded Best Paper in Economic Record in 2022

Siminski P, Yu S (2022) 'The Correlation of Wealth Between Parents and Children in Australia' Australian Economic Review 55: 195-214

Murray C, Clark R, Mondolia S, Siminski P (2018) ‘Direct Measures of Intergenerational Income Mobility for Australia’ Economic Record, 94: 445-68

Mendolia S, Siminski P (2017) ‘Is Education the Mechanism Through Which Family Background Affects Economic Outcomes? A Generalised Approach to Mediation Analysis’ Economics of Education Review 59: 1-12

Mendolia S, Siminski P (2016) ‘New Estimates of Intergenerational Mobility in Australia’ Economic Record 92 (298): 361-373

Paloyo A, Rogan S, Siminski P (2016) ‘The Effect of Supplemental Instruction on University Student Outcomes: An Encouragement Design Experiment’ Economics of Education Review 55: 57-69

Siminski P, Yerokhin O (2012) ‘Is The Age Gradient In Self-Reported Material Hardship Explained By Resources, Needs, Behaviours Or Reporting Bias?’ Review of Income & Wealth 58(4): 715-741

Rodgers R, Siminski P, Bishop J (2009) ‘Changes in Poverty Rates During the Howard Era’ Australian Economic Review 42(3): 300-320

Saunders P, Siminski P (2005) ‘Home Ownership and Inequality: Imputed Rent and Income Distribution in Australia’ Economic Papers, 24(4): 346-367

Siminski P, Saunders P (2004) ‘Accounting for Housing Costs in Regional Income Comparisons’ Australasian Journal of Regional Studies 10(2): 139-156

Siminski P, Saunders P, Bradbury B (2003) ‘Reviewing the Inter-temporal Consistency of ABS Household Income Data through Comparisons with External Aggregates’ Australian Economic Review 36(3): 333-349

Health Economics

Johnston D, Shields M, Siminski P (2016) ‘Long-Term Health Effects of Vietnam-Era Military Service: A Quasi-Experiment using Australian Conscription Lotteries’ Journal of Health Economics 45: 12-26

Lindo J, Siminski P, Yerokhin O (2016) ‘Breaking the Link Between Legal Access to Alcohol and Motor Vehicle Accidents: Evidence from New South Wales’ Health Economics 25: 908-928

Lindo J, Siminski P (2014) ‘Comment: Should the Legal Age for Buying Alcohol Be Raised to 21 Years?’ Medical Journal of Australia 201 (10): 571

Siminski P, Ville S (2011) ‘Long-Run Mortality Effects of Vietnam-Era Army Service: Evidence from Australia’s Conscription Lotteries’ American Economic Review (Papers & Proceedings) 101(3): 357-361

Siminski, P (2011) ‘The Price Elasticity of Demand for Pharmaceuticals amongst High Income Older Australians: A Natural Experiment’ Applied Economics 43(3): 4835-4846

Siminski, P (2009) ‘A Welfare Analysis of the Commonwealth Seniors Health Card’ Economic Record 85(269): 164-180 Awarded Best Paper in Economic Record in 2009

Gender and the Family

Siminski P, Yetsenga R (2022) 'Specialization, Comparative Advantage, and the Sexual Division of Labor' Journal of Labor Economics 40: 851-887 https://doi.org/10.1086/718430 Replication files

Atalay K, Barrett G, Siminski P (2019) ‘Pension Incentives and the Joint Retirement of Couples: Evidence from Two Natural Experiments’ Journal of Population Economics, 32: 735-767

Lindo J, Siminski P, Swensen I (2018) ‘College Party Culture and Sexual Assault: Evidence from Big-time Sporting Events’ American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 10: 236-65

Livermore T, Rodgers J, Siminski P (2011) ‘The Effect of Motherhood on Wages and Wage Growth: Evidence for Australia’ Economic Record 87 (Special Issue): 80-91

Craig, L, Siminski, P (2010) ‘Men’s Housework, Women’s Housework and Second Births in Australia’ Social Politics 17(2): 235-266

Effects of Military Service

Atalay K, Barrett G, Siminski P (2019) ‘Pension Incentives and the Joint Retirement of Couples: Evidence from Two Natural Experiments’ Journal of Population Economics, 32: 735-767

Cousley A, Siminski P, Ville S (2017) ‘The Causal Effects of World War II Military Service’ Journal of Economic History 77: 838-865

Siminski P, Ville S, Paull, A (2016) ‘Does the Military Train Men to be Criminals? New Evidence from Australia’s Conscription Lotteries’ Journal of Population Economics 29: 197-218

Patulny R, Siminski P, Mendolia S (2015) ‘The Front Line of Social Capital Creation – a Natural Experiment in Symbolic Interaction’ Social Science & Medicine 125: 8-18

Siminski P (2013) ‘Employment Effects of Army Service and Veterans’ Compensation: Evidence from the Australian Vietnam-Era Conscription Lotteries’ Review of Economics and Statistics 95(1): 87-97

Siminski P, Ville S (2012) ‘I Was Only Nineteen, 45 Years Ago: What Can we Learn from Australia’s Conscription Lotteries?’ Economic Record 88(282): 351-371

Ville S, Siminski P (2011) ‘A Fair and Equitable Method of Recruitment? Conscription by Ballot into the Australian Army during the Vietnam War’ Australian Economic History Review 51(3): 277-296

Effects of Climate and Disasters

Johar M, Johnston D, Shields M, Siminski P, Stavrunova O (2022) 'The Economic Impacts of Direct Natural Disaster Exposure', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 196: 26-39

Johnston D, Knott R, Mendolia S, Siminski P (2021) 'Upside-Down Down Under: Cold Temperatures Reduce Learning in Australia' Economics of Education Review 85

Evans S, Siminski P (2021) ‘The Effect of Outside Temperature on Criminal Court Sentencing Decisions’ Series of Unsurprising Results in Economics 2021 (1) Invited lead article in inaugural issue

Other

Siminski, P (2008) ‘Order Effects in Batteries of Questions’ Quality and Quantity 42(4): 477-490

Siminski P (2003) ‘Patterns of Disability and Norms of Participation through the Life Course: Empirical Support for a Social Model of Disability’ Disability and Society 18(6): 707-718.

Selected Research Grants

2016 ARC Discovery Grant Microeconomic Impacts of Australian Natural Disasters (with David Johnston, Benno Torgler, Silvia Mendolia, David Savage) ($403,500)

2014 Australian Government Higher Education Participation and Partnership Programme (HEPPP) ($62,500) The Causal Effects of the Peer Assisted Study Sessions (PASS) on Educational Outcomes (with Sally Rogan and Alfredo Paloyo)

2012 UOW Faculty Research Grant Legal Alcohol Availability and Youth Outcomes in Australia: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis (with Oleg Yerokhin) ($10,000)

2011 ARC Discovery Early Career Researcher Award (DECRA) Army Service, Employment Incentives and Veterans' Life Outcomes: A Natural Experiment ($375,000)

2009 Australian Research Council Linkage Grant The Long Term Causal Effects of Vietnam War Era Conscription on Economic and Social Outcomes for Australian Conscripts (with Simon Ville) (Partner organisation: DVA) ($117,453 + $26,962 in kind)