Research in Economics

Some of my published articles in Economics

Georges, P. (2020). "Trade Policy Renegotiations: The Case of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and Canada’s Options under Donald Trump." In Francisco L. Rivera-Batiz, M. Spatareanu and C. Erbil (editors), Encyclopedia of International Economics and Global Trade. Volume 3, Chapter 7, pp. 193-232. World Scientific, Singapore. Chapter

Georges, P. and A. Seçkin (2016). “From Pro-Natalist Rhetoric to Population Policies in Turkey? An OLG General Equilibrium Analysis.” Economic Modelling. 56, 79-93, 2016. Article

Georges, P. and A. Seçkin. (2016). “Demographic Dividends in the 'South', Ageing 'North' and 'South-South' Trade Diversification.” Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 52(10), 2397-2413. Article

Georges, P., K. Lisenkova, and M. Mérette. (2013). “Can the Ageing North Benefit from Expanding Trade with the South?” Economic Modelling, 35, 2013, 990-998. Article

Georges, P. and M. Mérette. (2012). “Toward a North American Security Perimeter? Assessing the Trade, FDI, and Welfare Impacts of Liberalizing 9/11 Security Measures.” Economic Modelling, 29(6), 2514-2526. Article

Georges, P. (2010). “Dispensing with NAFTA Rules of Origin? Some Policy Options." The World Economy, 33(11), 1606-37. Article

Georges, P., and M. Mérette. (2010). "Canada's Strategic Trade Policy Options – North American Customs Union or Trade Diversification Away from the US?" IRPP Study, No 11. Article

Mérette, M., and P. Georges. (2010). "Demographic Changes and the Gains from Globalisation: An Analysis of Ageing, Capital Flows, and International Trade." Global Economy Journal, 10(3), 1-37. Article

Georges, P. (2008). "Toward a North American Customs Union: Rules of Origin Liberalization Matters More Than a Common External Tariff for Canada." North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 19(3), 304-318. Article

Georges, P. (2008). "Liberalizing NAFTA Rules of Origin: A Dynamic CGE Analysis." Review of International Economics, 16(4), 672-691. Article

Georges, P. (2006). "Borrowing Short- or Long-Term: Does the Government Really Face a Trade-off?—A Stochastic Macro Framework for Public Debt Management." Public Finance and Management, 6(2), 206-243. Article

Invited Contributions, Technical Reports and Government Contracts

Georges, P., Overlapping Generation Computable General Equilibrium Modeling with GAMS. Class Notes for EcoMod Modeling School, EcoMod Network, Free University Brussels, 2012, 300 pages plus GAMS programming codes.

Georges, P., M. Mérette and Q. Zhang, Assessing the Cost of Post-9/11 Security Measures: A CGE Analysis, Final Report submitted to Canadian Border Services Agency, 2011, 37 pages.

Mérette, M., P. Georges, and Y. Dissou, Liberalizing Foreign Direct Investment Restrictions in Canada: A Multi-Country Computable General Equilibrium Analysis, Final Report presented to Industry Canada, 2008, 53 pages.

Georges, P., A Multi-Country General Equilibrium Model with Overlapping-generations (OLG-CGE): A Practical Guide to the Model, Technical Report presented to Human Resources and Skills Development-Canada, 2006, 63 pages.

Georges P., Building a Dynamic Multi-Country Computable General Equilibrium Model with GAMS—A Step-by-Step Guide, Technical Report presented to the Department of Finance-Canada, 2004, 175 pages.

Georges, P. and L. Shute, Assessing Canada’s Exchange Rate Regime and the Alternatives, Report to the Honourable Paul Martin, Minister of Finance, 2000, 13 pages.

Working Paper Series

Georges, P. (2017). Seizing the opportunity at the NAFTA talks, In Trade Policy for Uncertain Times, IRPP, Policy Options, Montreal, Canada.

Georges, P. (2017). Canada’s Trade Policy under Donald Trump, Department of Economics, Working Paper #1707E, University of Ottawa, 36 pages.

Georges, P., K. Lisenkova, M. Mérette, and Q. Zhang. (2016). An Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) Model with Age-Variable Rate of Time Preference, The National Institute of Economic and Social Research discussion paper No. 458 (London, U.K.).

Georges, P. and M. Mérette (2012), Trade Diversification Away from the U.S. or North American Customs Union? A Review of Canada’s Trade Policy Options, Department of Economics Working Paper # 1205E, University of Ottawa, 51 pages.

Georges, P. M. Mérette, and Q. Zhang (2012), Toward a North American Security Perimeter? Assessing the Trade and FDI Impacts of Liberalizing 9/11 Security Measures, Department of Economics Working Paper # 1204E, University of Ottawa, 34 pages.

Georges, P. and A. Seçkin (2012), Auctions Prices of Classical Music Manuscripts – A Hedonic Approach, Department of Economics Working Paper # 1202E, University of Ottawa, 36 pages.

Georges, P., M. Mérette and A. Seçkin, (2009), Should Canada Diversify its Trade Pattern? An Overlapping Generations CGE Analysis of Trade and Ageing, Department of Economics Working Paper # 0906, University of Ottawa, 39 pages.

Georges, P., (2009), Dispensing with NAFTA Rules of Origin? Some Policy Options for Canada, Department of Economics Working Paper # 0904, University of Ottawa, 38 pages.

Mérette, M. and Georges, P., (2009), Demographic Changes and the Gains from Globalization: An Overlapping Generations CGE Analysis, Department of Economics Working Paper # 0903, University of Ottawa, 45 pages.

Georges, P., (2008), Toward a North American Customs Union – Rules of Origin Liberalization Matters More Than a Common External Tariff for Canada, Department of Economics Working Paper # 0704, University of Ottawa, 26 pp.

Georges, P., (2007), Modeling the Removal of NAFTA Rules of Origin: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Analysis, Department of Economics Working Paper # 0705, University of Ottawa, 49 pages.

Georges, P., (2007), Modeling the Removal of NAFTA Rules of Origin: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Analysis, Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2007-06, 36 pp.

Georges, P., (2003), The Value of Waiting and the Theory of Investment under Uncertainty (With an Application to Kyoto), Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2003-19, 46 pages.

Georges, P., (2003), The Vasicek and CIR Models and the Expectation Hypothesis of the Interest Rate Term Structure, Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2003-17, 66 pages.

Georges, P., (2003), Borrowing Short- or Long-Term: Does the Government Really Face a Trade-off?, Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2003-16, 29 pages.

Georges, P. and N. Moreau, (2002), Enrichments to Multi-Year Fiscal Commitments in the Presence of Uncertainty, Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2002-11, 38 pages.

Georges, P. and N. Moreau, (2002), Prudence, Scope for Reducing Public Spending, and Policy Rules on Medium-Term Fiscal Planning, Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2002-10, 34 pages.

Georges, P., (2001), An Opportunistic Approach to Debt Reduction, Department of Finance-Canada, Working Paper # 2001-13, 28 pages.

Georges, P., and N. Moreau, (2001), Fall Update, Debt Pre-Commitment and End-of-Year Debt Reduction, Department of Finance-Canada, Internal Report, 16 pages.

Georges, P., (1998), On Balance of Payments Assistance: An Economic Analysis of the Size of Rescue Packages, Department of Finance-Canada, Internal Report, 27 pages.

Georges, P., (1998), Foreign Exchange Speculation in Spot, Forward, Futures, and Options Markets: Strategies, Mechanisms of Transmission and Central Bank Intervention, Department of Finance-Canada, Internal Report, 34 pages.

Georges, P., (1997), Euro, Ecu, and Bilateral Conversion Rates: Getting the EMU End-Game Right, Department of Finance-Canada, Internal Report, 22 pages.

Georges, P., (1997), Broad-Based EMU or EMU Delay—The Value to Germany of Waiting, Department of Finance-Canada, Internal Report, 25 pages.

Georges, P., (1997), EMU in 1999 -- Which Countries Will Make the Grade? Maastricht Criteria, Diplomatic Negotiation and Market Sentiments, Department of Finance-Canada, Internal Report, 33 pages.

Georges, P., (1995), A Target-Zone Model with Expected Trend Revisions, Department of Economics Working Paper # 9501E, University of Ottawa, 31 pages.

Georges, P., (1995), A Model of State-Dependent Target-Zone Entry, Department of Economics Working Paper # 9418E, University of Ottawa, 34 pages.