Published works
Foreign Debt, Capital Controls, and Secondary Markets: Theory and Evidence from Nazi Germany with Claudio Schioppa - Journal of Political Economy, Volume 13, Number 6, June 2024. Replication package. Working paper versions: DIW; ECARES; Priority Programme 1859 Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour. Media coverage: Le Monde.
Fiscal Policy under Constraints: Fiscal Capacity and Austerity during the Great Depression - Economic History Review, Volume 77, Issue 1, February 2024, pp. 90-118. Replication package available at the article link.
Slavery and Development in 19th Century Brazil with Nuno Palma, Thales Pereira, and Leonardo Weller - Capitalism: A Journal of History and Economics, Volume 2, Number 2, Summer 2021, pp. 372-426. Replication package. Working paper versions: CEPR; CAGE. Media coverage: BBC News Brasil; BBN Times; Conversable Economist.
Plucking The Goose While It’s Hissing: Recessions and Tax Introductions with Zbigniew Truchlewski - Global Taxation. How Modern Taxes Conquered the World, Philipp Genschel & Laura Seelkopf (eds), Oxford University Press.
Under review
The Effects of Immigration in a Developing Country: Brazil in the Age of Mass Migration - with David Escamilla-Guerrero and Ariell Zimran - Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Development Economics. NBER Working Paper, IZA Bonn Working Paper, Oxford Economic and Social History Working Paper. Media coverage: VoxDev, Cato Institute.
From Vichy to the National Front: Exploring the Legacies of WWII on Support for the Far Right in France, with Per F. Andersson ad Agustín Goenaga.
Working papers
Slaves, Migrants and Development in Brazil, 1872-1923, EUI Working Paper.
Sovereign Defaults during the Great Depression: The Role of Fiscal Fragility, LSE Economic History Working Paper (Awarded the New Researchers Prize at the Economic History Society Annual Conference).
Work in progress
Creating Expectations: Propaganda and the Economic Recovery in Nazi Germany, with Stephanie Ettmeier, Alexander Kriwoluzky, and Moritz Schularick.
What Did the Romans Ever Do for Them? Aqueducts and the Management of Empire, with Per F. Andersson, Andrea Matranga, Filip Novokmet, and Tomasz Zawisza.
Migration, Climate Mismatch, and Agricultural Productivity: Evidence from the Age of Mass Migration in Brazil', with David Escamilla-Guerrero, Marco Tabellini, Charles Taylor, and Ariell Zimran.