A regular international causal inference seminar. Sign up to our mailing list to receive announcements.
All seminars are on Tuesdays at 8:30 am PT / 11:30 am ET / 4:30 pm London time / 00:30 am(+1day) Beijing time. Please note: Due to recent daylight-saving time changes, the meeting time in your local time zone may have shifted.
Zoom link and other details are provided below. Past talks are available here. Recordings of past webinars are available on our YouTube channel (subscribe to get notified!).
Tuesday, Mar 03, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar
- IMPORTANT change: This event starts at 8:00 am PT/ 11:00 am ET/ 4:00 pm London time/ midnight Beijing time(+1day)
- Speaker: Mats Stensrud (EPFL)
- Zoom details: Link to join, meeting id: 863 0288 6234, password: Newton1
- Title: Causal effects conditional on post-treatment variables
- Abstract: Many studies aim to estimate treatment effects on outcomes that are defined only for individuals who experience a post-treatment event. For example, the effect of cancer therapies on quality of life is only well defined among individuals who are alive. Similarly, the effect of vaccines on post-infection outcomes is only of interest among individuals who become infected. A naive comparison of outcomes conditional on such post-treatment events generally lacks a causal interpretation, even when treatment is randomly assigned.
In this talk, I discuss causal contrasts for outcomes conditional on post-treatment events, including principal stratum effects and conditional separable effects. I then derive identification results for these estimands and discuss their interpretation and the conditions under which they might, in principle, be falsified. I illustrate the relevance of these results for clinical trials of cancer therapies and vaccines, and I conclude by revisiting the classical birth weight paradox in epidemiology.
Tuesday, Mar 10, 2026:
- Speaker: Dean Eckles (MIT)
- Zoom details: Zoom link (webinar ID: 968 8371 7451, password: 414559)
- Title: Policy relevance of causal quantities in networks
- Abstract: TBA
- Discussant: P. Aronow (Yale University)
Tuesday, Mar 17, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar
- Speaker: TBA
- Zoom details: TBA
- Title: TBA
- Abstract: TBA
Tuesday, Mar 24, 2026: Young Researchers' Seminar
- Time: This event starts at 8:30 am PT/ 11:30 am ET/ 4:30 pm London time/ 00:30 am Beijing time(+1day)
- Zoom details: Zoom link (webinar ID: 968 8371 7451, password: 414559)
Speaker 1: William Bekerman (University of Pennsylvania)
- Title: TBA
- Abstract: TBA
Speaker 2: Giacomo Opocher (University of Bologna)
- Title: TBA
- Abstract: TBA
Tuesday, Mar 31, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar (Details TBA)
Tuesday, Apr 07, 2026:
- Speaker: Thomas Icard (Stanford University)
- Zoom details: Zoom link (webinar ID: 968 8371 7451, password: 414559)
- Title: Causal Inference as a Logical Problem
- Abstract: The goal of this talk will be to show how problems of causal inference can be usefully and precisely understood as logical problems. Adapting tools and concepts from mathematical and computational logic affords new perspectives, raises new questions, and sheds light on some practical and theoretical issues in causal inference. We illustrate with several examples, including some ways in which a logical lens can help clarify the empirical status of assumptions sufficient to bridge gaps between limited data and substantive causal conclusions.
- Discussant: Jiji Zhang (Chinese University of Hong Kong)
Tuesday, Apr 14, 2026:
- Speaker: Matteo Bonvini (Rutgers University)
- Details: TBA
Tuesday, Apr 21, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar (Details TBA)
Tuesday, Apr 28, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar (Details TBA)
Tuesday, May 05, 2026:
- Speaker: Martin Tingley (Microsoft)
- Details: TBA
Tuesday, May 12, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar (Details TBA)
Tuesday, May 19, 2026:
- Speaker: Naoki Egami (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
- Details: TBA
Tuesday, May 26, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar (Details TBA)
Tuesday, June 02, 2026:
- Speaker: Suhas Vijaykumar (U.C. San Diego)
- Details: TBA
Tuesday, June 09, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar
- Speaker: Yixin Wang (University of Michigan)
- Details: TBA
Tuesday, June 16, 2026: OCIS+INI joint webinar (Details TBA)
Tuesday, June 23, 2026:
- Speaker: Falco Bargagli Stoffi (University of California, Los Angeles)
- Zoom details: Zoom link (webinar ID: 968 8371 7451, password: 414559)
- Title: Stable Discovery of Treatment Effect Modifiers
- Abstract: Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a critical problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive methods lack rigorous error control, risking spurious findings that fail to replicate. We propose a method combining pseudo-outcomes with a novel cross-fitted stability selection algorithm to achieve finite-sample false discovery control for effect modifiers. We prove that selection probabilities are asymptotically unbiased, converging to oracle probabilities at parametric rate under doubly robust pseudo-outcome estimation. False discovery is controlled at the nominal level while maintaining power to detect genuine heterogeneity. We demonstrate the method on simulated and real-world data.
Recordings of our past webinars are available on YouTube. Follow us on YouTube to stay notified!
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If there is anyone you would like to hear at the Online Causal Inference Seminar, you may let us know here.
Please check out our opportunities in causal inference page for conferences, workshops, and job listings! If you would like us to list an opportunity, please email us at onlinecausalinferenceseminar@gmail.com.
Recordings of our past webinars are available on YouTube. Follow us on YouTube to stay notified!
The seminars are held on Zoom and last 60 minutes. Our seminars will typically follow one of three formats:
Format 1: single presentation
45 minutes of presentation
10 minutes of discussion, led by an invited discussant
Q&A, time permitting
Format 2: two presentations
Two presentations, 25-30 minutes each
Q&A, time permitting
Format 3: interview
40-45 minute conversation with leader in causal inference
15-20 minutes of Q&A
A moderator collects audience questions in Q&A section.
Moderators may ask you to unmute yourself to participate in the discussion. Please note that you may be recorded if you activate your audio or video during the seminar.
Oliver Dukes (Ghent), Naoki Egami (Columbia), Aditya Ghosh (Stanford), Guido Imbens (Stanford), Ying Jin (Wharton), Sara Magliacane (U of Amsterdam), Razieh Nabi (Emory), Ema Perkovic (U of Washington), Dominik Rothenhäusler (Stanford), Rahul Singh (Harvard), Mats Stensrud (EPFL), Qingyuan Zhao (Cambridge)
Susan Athey (Stanford), Guillaume Basse (Stanford), Peter Bühlmann (ETH Zürich), Peng Ding (Berkeley), Andrew Gelman (Columbia), Guido Imbens (Stanford), Fabrizia Mealli (Florence), Nicolai Meinshausen (ETH Zürich), Maya Petersen (Berkeley), Thomas Richardson (UW), Dominik Rothenhäusler (Stanford), Jas Sekhon (Berkeley/Yale), Stefan Wager (Stanford)
If you have feedback or suggestions, please e-mail us at onlinecausalinferenceseminar@gmail.com.
We gratefully acknowledge support by the Stanford Department of Statistics and the Stanford Data Science Initiative.
You can join the webinar by clicking the link on the webpage. If you signed up to the mailing list, you will receive an email with the link before the webinar begins. On Tuesday, you should join the seminar shortly before the start time 8:30 am PT.
Due to high demand, we will host the seminar as a Zoom webinar. As an attendee, you will not be able to unmute yourself. If you have questions about the content of the talk, please submit the questions using the Zoom Q&A feature. Time permitting, and depending on the volume of questions, the moderator will either ask your question for you or confirm with you to ask the question yourself and unmute you at a suitable time. In some meetings, the collaborators of the speaker will be online to address your questions in Q&A. Note that Q&A will be moderated by us so you will only be able to see some of the questions of the other attendees. If you want to send messages to the moderators during the seminar, please use the Zoom chat feature.
If you have not used Zoom before, we highly recommend downloading and installing the Zoom client before the meeting. Additional instructions on how to use Zoom during a webinar can be found here. Note that for the online causal inference seminar, we do not require registration in advance so you will be able to join by simply clicking the link on this webpage or in the email.
If you have further questions, please drop us an email at onlinecausalinferenceseminar@gmail.com