Economic incentives surrounding fertility: Evidence from Alaska’s permanent fund dividend. 2024. Economics & Human Biology. (Yonzan, Timilsina, Kelly). [Link to paper]; [Link to Working Paper]; [Link to discussions in Vox-US and Hutchings Roundup].
Revisiting Poverty Trends and the Role of Social Protection Systems in Africa during the COVID-19 Pandemic. 2023. Journal of African Economies. (with Kibrom A. Abaya, Sikandra Kurdia, and Kibrom Tafere). [Link to paper]; [Link to Working Paper] [World Bank Blog].
Drawing a Line: Comparing the Estimation of Top Incomes Between Tax Data and Household Survey Data. 2022. Journal of Economic Inequality. (with Milanovic, B., Morelli, S., & Gornick, J.). [Link to paper]; [Policy brief published on VoxEU.org]; [Interview with Stone Center].
Impact of Outward Foreign Direct Investments on Patent Activity of Greenfield Multinationals. 2021. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. (with Doytch, N. & Valacchi, G.) [Link to paper].
Tracking Greenfield FDI During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Analysis by Sectors. 2021. Foreign Trade Review. (with Doytch, N., Reddy, K., De Beule, F.). [Link to paper].
Hybrid green infrastructure for reducing demands on urban water and energy systems: a New York City hypothetical case study. 2016. Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences. (with Cherrier, J., Klein, Y., Link, H., & Pillich, J.). [Link to paper].
On Poverty:
Poverty is back to pre-COVID levels globally, but not for low-income countries. October 2023. World Bank Data Blog. (with Mahler, Lakner). [Link]
Most of the world's extreme poor live in middle-income countries -- but not for long. March 2023. World Bank Data Blog. (with Daniel Mahler, Christoph Lakner) [Link]
To end extreme poverty, getting back to pre-COVID-19 reduction is not enough. November 2022. Let’s Talk Development Blog. (with Marta Schoch, Ruth Hill, Christoph Lakner) [Link]
Estimates of global poverty from WWII to the fall of the Berlin Wall. November 2022. World Bank Data Blog. (Jed Friedman, Ruth Hill, Dean Jolliffe, Christoph Lakner, Daniel Mahler) [Link]
Global poverty in the 2020s is on a new worse course. October 2022. World Bank Data Blog. (with Daniel Mahler, Christoph Lakner) [Link]
Africa might have dodged a bullet, but systemic warnings abound for poverty reduction efforts on the continent. September 2022. Let’s Talk Development Blog. (with Kibrom A. Abaya, Sikandra Kurdia, Kibrom Tafere). [Link]
Pandemic, Prices, and Poverty. April 2022. World Bank data blog. (with D. Mahler, R. Hill, C. Lakner, H. Wu, N. Yoshida). [Link]
Poverty, Mean Incomes, and Inequality in 2021: A Diverging Recovery. September 2021. WB policy brief, World Bank. (with R. Hill, C. Lakner, D. Mahler, A. Narayan) [Link]
How has COVID-19 impacted world poverty? October 2021. World Economic Forum. (with C. Sanchez-Paramo, R. Hill, D. Mahler, A. Narayan) [Link]
Available data and estimates of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global poverty. May 2021. UN DESA. (with D. Mahler, C. Lakner, R. Castaneda, H. Wu) [Link]
Updated estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty: Turning the corner on the pandemic in 2021? June 2021. World Bank data blog. (with D. Mahler, C. Lakner, R. Castaneda, H. Wu) [Link]
Projecting Global Extreme Poverty up to 2030: How close are we to the World Bank's 3% goal? October 2020. World Bank data blog. (with C. Lakner, & D. Mahler) [Link]
The impact of COVID-19 on global poverty under worsening growth and inequality. November 2020. World Bank data blog. (with C. Lakner, D. Mahler, R. Castaneda, H. Wu) [Link]
Updated estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty: The effect of new data. October 2020. World Bank data blog. (with C. Lakner, D. Mahler, R. Castaneda, H. Wu). [Link].
On Inequality and Shared Prosperity:
Updated estimates of the Prosperity Gap. October 2023. (with Prinsloo, Kraay, Lakner, Ozler, Decerf, Jolliffe, Sterck) World Bank Data Blog. [Link]
The prosperity gap: A proposed new indicator to monitor shared prosperity. June 2023. Let’s Talk Development Blog. (with Kraay, Lakner, Ozler, Decerf, Jolliffe, Sterck). [Link]
Can we have a welfare index that is easy to understand but also distribution sensitive? June 2023. World Bank Development Impact Blog. (with Kraay, Lakner, Ozler, Decerf, Jolliffe, Sterck). [Link]
The end of an era of global income convergence. December 2022. (with Daniel Mahler, Christoph Lakner) [Link]
The impact of COVID-19 on poverty and inequality: Evidence from phone surveys. January 2022. World Bank blogs. (with A. Cojocaru, A. Narayan, C. Lakner, & D. Mahler) [Link]
Mind the Gap: Disparities in measured income between survey and tax data. November 2021. VoxEU. (with B. Milanovic, S. Morelli, J. Gornick) [Link].
Is COVID-19 increasing global inequality? October 2021. World Bank blogs. (with C. Lakner, & D. Mahler). [Link].
COVID-19 leaves a legacy of rising poverty and widening inequality. October 2021. (with C. Sanchez-Paramo, R. Hill, D. Mahler, A. Narayan). Let's Talk Development, World Bank blogs. [Link]
The Decline of Income in the Bottom Half of the United States. October 2019. Scholar blogs, Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality. [Link].
Comparing top incomes between survey and tax data: US case study. June 2018. Luxembourg Income Study. (with B. Milanovic, S. Morelli, J. Gornick) [Link].
September 2023 Update to the Poverty and Inequality Platform (PIP), What's New. 2023. Global Poverty Monitoring Technical Note 32, The World Bank. (with Victoria Aron et al.) [Link]
Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2022: Correcting Course. 2022. The World Bank. (Chapter 1: Global Poverty: The Biggest Setback in Decades; Chapter 2: Shared Prosperity and Inequality: Uneven Losses and an Uneven Recovery). [Link to report]
Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020: Reversals of Fortune. 2020. The World Bank. (Chapter 1: Monitoring Global Poverty, with Lakner, C., & Schoch, M.). [Link to report].
September 2020 PovcalNet Update, What's New. 2020. Global Poverty Monitoring Technical Note 14, The World Bank. (with Castaneda, R.A. et al.). [Link]