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I am a Lecturer at the Institute of Money and International Finance, Leibniz University Hannover. I am also a Research Associate at the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA), Australian National University (ANU).
My research focuses on behavioral, applied, and empirical macroeconomics, with policy implications for monetary and fiscal policy in both advanced and emerging economies. In particular, I use survey data and survey experiments to study how households form macroeconomic expectations, make economic decisions, and respond to policy communication.
I hold an M.A. in Policy Economics from Williams College (USA), an M.Sc. in Quantitative Economics, and a Ph.D. in Economics from Goethe University Frankfurt (Germany). Before pursuing my doctoral studies, I worked as an Economist in the Monetary Policy Department at the State Bank of Vietnam from 2007 to 2015.
https://www.gif.uni-hannover.de/de/nghiem
Publications:
“Inflation Literacy, Inflation Expectations, and Trust in the Central Bank: A Survey Experiment” (2025), with Lena Dräger, The Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.
“Fiscal Expansion and Households’ Income Inequality Expectations: A Survey Experiment” (2026), with Melina Ludolph and Lena Tonzer, The Review of Income and Wealth, 72, e70093
“The Marginal Propensity to Consume and Household Savings during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam” (2026), with Dzung Bui and Bernd Hayo, Accepted at International Economics and Economic Policy
“Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution in the Euro Area” (2025), with Michal Marenčák, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 229, 106847
“Macroeconomic Expectations and Consumer Sentiment during the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others’ Beliefs” (2023), with Dzung Bui, Lena Dräger, and Bernd Hayo, European Journal of Political Economy, 77, 102295
“The Effect of Fiscal Policy on Households during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam” (2022), with Dzung Bui, Lena Dräger, and Bernd Hayo, World Development, 153, 105828
“Are Consumers’ Spending Decisions in Line with a Euler Equation?” (2021), with Lena Dräger, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 103(3), 580–596.
Working papers:
"Facts or Feelings? The Role of Relatable Narratives in Shaping Inflation Expectations" with Melina Ludolph and Lena Tonzer
“The Heterogeneity of Economic Expectations in the Euro Area” with Michal Marenčák, Lena Dräger, and Maritta Paloviita
"The green transition and households' macroeconomic expectations: A survey experiment" with Tjantana Barro and Michal Marenčák
"Personal Inflation Rates in the Euro Area" with Michal Marenčák
"Anchoring Households' Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High" with Ami Dalloul and Lena Dräger.
"Unemployment Experience and Savings", with Baptiste Massenot
Awards:
Special Prize of the Deutsche Bundesbank for Scientific Publications in the Field of Economics, December 2025
Deutsche Bundesbank Early Career Research Prize in Financial Literacy, November 2025
Deutschlandstipendium (Germany Scholarship), Goethe University Frankfurt, 2015 -17
Larnad Prize for best Center for Development Economics paper, Williams College, 2012
Full M.A. Scholarship, Williams College, USA, 2011 -12
Vietnam’s National Mathematical Olympiad, Third Prize in Algebra, 2004
Third-Party Funded Projects:
“Fiscal Policy According to Households: Expectations, Narratives, and Economic Behavior in Germany and Slovakia”, with Michal Marenčák and Gianna Marchi. Funded by the National Bank of Slovakia Foundation, November 2026 – December 2028: €20,000
“Perceived News, Expectations, and Uncertainty”, joint with Lena Dräger and Maximilian Floto. Funded by the German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD), 2023–2024: €22,000
Courses taught:
Survey Data in Macroeconomics (Ph.D.)
Empirical International Monetary and Finance (M.Sc)
International Monetary Economics (M.Sc)
Macroeconomics with Micro Data (M.Sc)
Empirical Monetary Economics Using Microdata (M.Sc)
Empirical Monetary Macroeconomics (M.Sc)
Financial Crises (M.Sc)
Financial Systems and Regulation (M.Sc)
New Challenges in Monetary Policy and Finance (B.Sc)
Money and International Finance (B.Sc)
Refereeing:
American Economic Review
European Economic Review
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Economic Inquiry
Oxford Economic Papers
Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
Economics and Business Letters
International Economics and Economic Policy
Singapore Economic Review
International Finance
Quality & Quantity
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics