"The Impact of Fertility Restrictions on Parental Labor Supply in Middle and Late Adulthood" (Job Market Paper)
Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the long-term consequences of policy-driven fertility restrictions on labor supply. I focus on the implementation of the "Later, Longer, Fewer" campaign, which rolled out across provinces between 1970 and 1975 in China. For fertility outcomes, I demonstrate that exposure to fertility restrictions postpones marriage and reduces lifetime fertility. For the long-term labor supply, I find full exposure to this nine-year stringent quantity-control population policy increases the probability of working by 14.4% for the parental generation in middle and late adulthood. Investigating mechanisms, I show that the amount of LLF-induced increase in elderly labor income is almost equivalent to the amount of LLF-induced reduction in other primary income sources of old-age support. It suggests that exposure to the LLF during younger reproductive ages leads to a greater pressure to finance old-age consumption in later years, and this negative effect on old-age support provides an explanation for the increase in the elderly labor supply.
“Job displacement and Health of Individuals and Families in Europe” (Draft available upon request)
Abstract: I investigate whether job displacement has a causal effect on the health of displaced individuals and their family members. I focus on people who were displaced involuntarily due to business closure. Using the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe, I show that job loss has a negative causal effect on measures of physical and mental health. This effect is most negative in Southern European countries, but such a negative impact does not exist in Northern Europe. I find no spillover effect on the health of the displaced worker's spouse and parents.
“The Effect of China’s New Rural Pension Scheme on Informal Care Provision"
Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the effects of the social pension expansion on informal caregiving. Using a regression discontinuity design based on the introduction and expansion of China’s New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS), I find that the probability of being an informal caregiver increases at the non-contributory pension eligible age cutoff, while there is no significant effect on the demand of informal care. I also observe rural women significantly drop off from the labor market at the NRPS cutoff, which suggests that time reallocation might explain the jump in informal care provision.
“Response to Medicare Copayments for Skilled Nursing Facilities: Moral Hazard vs. Liquidity Effects and Offset Effects”