Research

• The Legacies of War for Ukraine with Ellen Munroe, Anastasiia Nosach, Eleonora Guarnieri, Juan Felipe Riaño, Ana Tur-Prats, and Felipe Valencia Caicedo. Economic Policy, 2023. Editor's choice.

This survey article reviews the literature on the multifaceted consequences of historical conflict. We revisit three key topics, which are especially relevant for the current Ukrainian context. 1) The negative long-term impact of bombing campaigns and political repression against civilians. 2) The interplay between forced migration, refugees and conflict. 3) The role of gender and war, with a special focus on sex ratios and conflict-related sexual violence. We conclude with an empirical investigation of the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict, including historical determinants such as ethnic populations, historical political repression and voting outcomes.

• Missionaries and Soldiers in the Forging of Modern Paraguay In F. Valencia Caicedo (Ed.), Roots of Underdevelopment: A New Economic and Political History of Latin America and the Caribbean (pp. 401–431). Springer International Publishing. With Felipe Valencia Caicedo

• "The effect of large-scale public infrastructure construction on career choice: evidence from Itaipu"

This paper studies the effects of the construction of the Itaipu hydroelectric dam on the number of graduates with a STEM major in Paraguay. I use data from the 1992 census of Paraguay and focus on individuals who completed a university degree. Results suggest that the dam's construction positively influenced individuals to get a STEM degree. Moreover, I find a positive effect for individuals between 12 and 17 years old in 1978. I do not find effects on individuals younger and older than these cohorts. Overall, my findings suggest that expected labor demand and preferences drive the results.

• "Entendiendo la clase media en Paraguay" with Herib Caballero, Luis Ortiz, Juan Carlos Pane, and Fabricio Vázquez.