Energy Assessment of Netherlands + Defining new Energy Policies + Shock Analysis

In this project we analyzed the input/output Leontief model, implementing the so-called shock analysis over the sectors of the Netherlands. The aim of this project was to see how a certain policy in the context of diffusion of wind energy instead of production of natural gas until 2030 is going to affect the need of exogenous resources throughout all the sectors of the country.

The aim of this project was to provide a comprehensive energy perspective of the Netherlands based on the methodological approach, tools and Indicators.

Country Energy Assessment:

We Assessed the primary energy balance, supply, transformations and final uses of energy in the Netherlands. then we Calculated intensive and extensive energy indicators according to the classification provided by the Energy Indicators for Sustainable Development (EISD) by IAEA.

Policy definition and Policy Impact Assessment :

We had 3 main policies for country according to the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC).

The Policies were :

• Stop of natural gas extraction (decrease the 10% of Dutch natural gas extraction every year by 2030)

• Change in electricity mix (the reduction in the production of electricity by natural gas + increasing the wind energy. For natural gas we’ve considered a decrease of 80% by 2030, so approximately 8% on annual basis )

• Change of boilers (we’ve planned to reduce by 90% by 2030 the final consumption of gas of the households, replacing gas boilers (used for heating, hot water…) with electric boilers )

Part of the Results:

Conclusion:

The total shock considers all the changes together: extraction phase out of natural gas and import from Norway, change in electricity mix increasing the wind energy and the switch to the electric boilers. The total results are positive and encouraging. In fact, the main purpose of the policy (phase out of natural gas) is reached in a sustainable way, namely through adjustments that also reduced the gap with the European average standards for the energy mix.

In particular, there is a reduction in CO2 and other pollutants made possible by a greater consumption of electricity produced with zero emissions. The decrease in PE also reflects the use of technologies with better efficiency, i.e. the production of wind energy and the use of electric boilers.

As regards the GDP, the situation is interesting. Relying on the production-based approach, the GDP decreases due to the fact that the total production faces a reduction, so the result is positive.

PS:

• All The results and analysis extracted and done by MATLAB

• Our project Ranked 1st, among the other 30 groups. ( grade: 6.5 out of 6, an extra 0.5 score because it was the best project of the course)

• More information is available upon request

• click HERE for downloading the presentation