Publications

Journal publications (* corresponding author)

1. Haifan Liu (PhD student), Yao Gao, Guan, M., 2026. Spatiotemporal variability of hydrological drought-flood abrupt alternation over mainland China.

2. Wenke Song (PhD student), Guan, M.*, 2026. Enhancing cross-regional transferability of deep learning-based flood surrogate models for data-scarce catchments. Water Research.

3. Haochen Yan (PhD student), Wei Wang, Ka-fai Leung, Guan, M.*, 2026.  Spatiotemporal Variabilities Constrain Cross-Scale Severities of Intense Rainstorms. Water Resources Research, under review.

4. Yufan Chen (PhD student), Junguo Liu*, Shuyu Zhang, Hong Wang, Haifan Liu, Chen Liang, Deliang Chen, Mingfu Guan*, 2026. Circulation Drivers of Dry-to-wet Abrupt Alternation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, under review.

5. Wenqi Wang , Omid Emamjomehzadeh , João P Leitão, Benard Juma , Zongzhi Wang , Mingfu Guan, Siddharth Saksena , Seyedamirhossein Zarei , Omar Wani*, 2026. Next-generation stormwater infrastructures: A typology of the paradigm shifts for design and operation. WIREs Water, under review.

6. Sidrah Hafeez, Mingfu Guan*, Bilal Ahmad Munir and Dapeng Yu, 2025. Uncovering spatiotemporal patterns of floods using multi-sensor optical and synthetic aperture radar imagery in the major agriculture zone of Sindh, Pakistan. Natural Hazards, under review.

7. Kaihua Guo (Postdoc), Guan, M.*, Jie Yin,  2026.  Can Flash Flood Risk Index be an Early Warning Signal of Flash Floods in Ungauged Basin? Journal of Flood Risk Management, in press.

8. Zekai Li (PhD student), Kaihua Guo, HF Duan, Guan, M.*, 2026.  Building Treatment and its Effects on City-scale Urban Flood Modelling. Journal of Flood Risk Management, in press.

9. Xiangfei Li, Shuo Wang, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Guan, M. 2025. Projected increases in shoreline erosion and potential flooding risk along China's sandy coasts under a warming climate. Earth Surface Processes and Landform, in press.

10. Kaihua Guo (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Chen Liang, Xunlai Chen, Dapeng Yu, 2025. Urban Flood Intensification by Storm Clustering: the Impact of Rainstorm 'Train Effect'. Urban Climate, 64, 102690.

11. Chen Liang (PhD student), Guan, M.* 2025. Increasing Flood Hazards Threaten Metro System Performance under Climate and Demographic Changes. Sustainable Cities and Society, 106890.

12. Guo, G., Yin, J., Yuan, X., Zhu Z., Guan M., Yu D., Wright N., 2025. Validation of Urban Surface Water Flood Modeling with Multisource Data: Two Case Studies in Baoji and Linyi Cities, China. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00665-y.

13. Chen Liang (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Kaihua Guo, Dapeng Yu, Jie Yin*, 2025. Comprehensive Flood Risk Assessment in Urban Metro Systems Using a Flood Modeling-Based Framework. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 266, 111760.

14. Haochen Yan (PhD student), Kaihua Guo, Guan, M.*, 2025. Enhanced urban flood inundation hazard assessment by stochastic event catalog. Water Resources Research, 61 (8), e2025WR040459.

15. Pang Xuan (PhD student), Guan, M.*, 2025. Rivers at Wet Seasons Exhibit Predominant Self-Purification Capacity than Dry Seasons at Subtropical Climate. Journal of Hydrology, 133992.

16. Wenke Song (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Dapeng Yu, 2025. SwinFlood: a hybrid CNN-Swin Transformer model for rapid spatiotemporal flood simulation.  Journal of Hydrology, 133280.

17. Wenke Song (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Kaihua Guo, Dapeng Yu, 2025. Rapid mapping of flood inundation by deep learning-based image super-resolution. Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics, 19(1), 2481115.

18. Haifan Liu (PhD student), Haochen Yan, Guan, M.*, 2025. Evaluating the effects of topography and land use change on hydrological signatures: a comparative study of two adjacent watersheds. Hydrology and Earth Science System, 29, 2109–2132.

19. Pang Xuan (PhD student), Guan, M.*, 2024. Influence of construction works on urban streamflow water quality variations. Science of the Total Environment, 176852.

20. Yunfei Mao (PhD student), Guan, M.*, 2024. Computational investigation of the relationship between landslide-related conditions and resultant dam overtopping waves. Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics, 18(1), 2388718.

21. Wenqi Wang, Zongzhi Wang; Mingfu Guan*; Omar Wani; João P. Leitão, 2024. Evaluation of stormwater mitigation performance with LID infrastructures, in-sewer space, and real-time control strategies. ASCE Journal of Hydrologial Engineering, 29 (5), 05024016.

22. Yan Haochen (PhD student), Gao Yao, Wilby R., Yu D., Wright N., Yin J., Chen X., Chen J., Guan, M.*, 2024. Urbanization exacerbates intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes in a warming climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (5), e2024GL108565.

23. Liang Chen (PhD student), Guan, M.*, 2024. Effects of urban drainage inlet layout on surface flood dynamics and discharge. Journal of Hydrology, 130890.

24. Jie Yin*, Yuhan Yang, Dapeng Yu*, Ning Lin, Robert Wilby, Dandan Wang, Jeremy Bricker, Nigel Wright, Mingfu Guan*, 2024. Strategic flood evacuation planning facilitates effective transfer of vulnerable population in coastal megacities. Nature Water, 2 (3), 274-284. DOI : 10.1038/s44221-024-00210-z.

25. Wenke Song (PhD student), Hexiang Yan*, Tao Tao, Mingfu Guan*, Fei Li, Kunlun Xin, 2024. Modeling transient mixed flows in drainage networks with Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics, Water Resources Management,1-19.

26. Liang Chen (PhD student), Guo K., Guan, M.*, 2024. Computational hydraulics and hazard assessment of flooding on underground staircases. Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology, 144, 105511.

27. Peng Y. Ouyang J. Guan, M.,  Wang B.*, Rubinato M., 2023. Estimation of velocity and concentration distributions in partially vegetated open channels. Journal of Hydrology, 130537.

28. Kaihua Guo (PhD student), M. Wang, X. Feng, H. Yan, Y. Mao, Z. Han, W.L. Ng, M. Guan*, J. Chen*, 2023.  Prediction of water film depth on grooved airport runway induced by intense rainfall and wind. Construction and Building Materials, 407, 133623.

29. Mao Yunfei (PhD student), Guan, M.*, 2023. Mesh-free simulation of height and energy transfer of landslide-induced tsunami waves. Ocean Engineering, 284:115219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.115219. 

30. Kong, Y. (Postdoc), Guan, M.*, 2023. Hydro-mechanical simulations aid demand-oriented design of slit dams for controlling debris flows, febris avalanches and rock avalanches. Engineering Geology, 326, 107314.

31. Guo Kaihua (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Yan H., Xia X., 2023. A spatially distributed hydrodynamic model framework for urban flood hydrological and hydraulic processes involving drainage flow quantification, Journal of Hydrology, 625, 130135.

32. Guo Kaihua (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Yan H., 2023. Utilising social media data to assess urban flood impact in data scarce cities. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 103780, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103780.

33. Yan Haochen (PhD student), Guan, M.*, Kong Y., 2023. Flood retention lakes in a rural-urban catchment: climate-dominated and configuration-affected performances, Water Resources Research, 59(8), e2022WR032911, DOI: 10.1029/2022WR032911. 

34. Jie Yin, Yao Gao, Ruishan Chen, Dapeng Yu, Robert Wilby, Nigel Wright, Yong Ge, Jeremy Bricker, Huili Gong & Mingfu Guan*, 2023. Flash floods: why are more of them devastating the world’s driest regions? Nature, 615, 212-215, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-00626-9.

35. Xuan Pang (PhD student), Yao Gao, Guan, M.*, 2023. Linking downstream river water quality to urbanization signatures in subtropical climate, Science of the Total Environment, 870, 161902.

36. Guan, M.*, Guo, K., Yan, H., Wright, N. 2023. Bottom-up multilevel flood hazard mapping by integrated inundation modelling in data scarce cities, Journal of Hydrology, 617(14), DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129114.

37. Kong, Y. (Postdoc), Li, X., Zhao, J. and Guan, M., 2022. Load deflection of flexible ring net barrier in resisting debris flows. Géotechnique, https://doi.org/10.1680/jgeot.22.00135

38. Kong, Y. (Postdoc), Guan, M.*, Li, X., Zhao, J. and Yan, H., 2022. Bi-linear Laws Govern the Impacts of Debris Flows, Debris Avalanches and Rock Avalanches on Flexible Barrier. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, p.e2022JF006870.

39. Mao, Y. (PhD student), Kong, Y. and Guan, M.*, 2022. GPU-accelerated SPH modeling of flow-driven sediment erosion with different rheological models and yield criteria. Powder Technology, 412, p.118015.

40. Kong, Y. (Postdoc), Guan, M.*, Li, X., Zhao, J. and Yan, H., 2022. How Flexible, Slit and Rigid Barriers Mitigate Two phase Geophysical Mass Flows: A Numerical Appraisal. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, p.e2021JF006587.

41. Pang, X. (PhD student), Gu, Y., Launiainen, S. and Guan, M.*, 2022. Urban hydrological responses to climate change and urbanization in cold climates. Science of The Total Environment, p.153066.

42. Ari Lauren, Mingfu Guan, Aura Salmivaara, Antti Leinonen, Marjo Palviainen, Samuli Launiainen, 2021. NutSpaFHy – A Distributed Nutrient Balance Model To Predict Nutrient Export From Managed Boreal Headwater Catchments. Forest, 12 (6), 808.

43. Guo, K. (PhD student), Guan, M.* and Yu, D., 2021. Urban surface water flood modelling–a comprehensive review of current models and future challenges. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(5), pp.2843-2860.

44. Guan, M.*, Liang, Q. and Hou, J., 2021. Smart Approaches to Predict Urban Flooding: Current Advances and Challenges. Frontiers in Earth Science, 9, p.240.

45. Yang Q. (Research Associate), M. Guan*, Y. Peng, H. Chen, 2020. Numerical investigation of flash flood dynamics due to cascading failures of natural landslide dams, Engineering Geology, 105765.

46. Yu, D., Yin, J., Wilby, R.L., Lane, S.N., Aerts, J.C., Lin, N., Liu, M., Yuan, H., Chen, J., Prudhomme, C. and Guan, M., 2020. Disruption of emergency response to vulnerable populations during floods. Nature Sustainability, pp.1-9.

47. Launiainen, S., Guan, M., Salmivaara, A. and Kieloaho, A.J., 2019. Modeling boreal forest evapotranspiration and water balance at stand and catchment scales: a spatial approach. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23(8), pp.3457-3480.

48. Ahilan S.*, M. Guan*, P.A. Sleigh, N.G. Wright, D. Allen,  S. Arthur, H. Haynes, V. Krivtsov 2019. Modelling the long-term suspended sedimentological effects on stormwater pond performance in an urban catchment, Journal of Hydrology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.02.002.

49. Guan M.*, S. Ahilan, D. Yu, Y. Peng, N. Wright, 2018. Numerical modelling of hydro-morphological processes dominant by fine suspended sediment: a case study in a stormwater pond, Journal of Hydrology, 556, 87-99.

50. Guan M.*, Liang, 2017. A two-dimensional hydro-morphological model for river hydraulics and morphology with vegetation. Environmental Modelling and Software, 88, 10-21.

51. Guan M.*, N.G. Wright, P.A. Sleigh., S. Ahilan, R. Lamb, 2016. Physical complexity to model morphological changes at a natural channel bend. Water Resources Research, 52, 6348-6364. 

52. Guan M.*, J.H.L. Carrivick, N.G. Wright, P.A. Sleigh, K. Staines, 2016. Quantifying the combined effects of multiple extreme floods on river channel geometry and on flood hazards. Journal of Hydrology, 538, 256-268.

53. Ahilan S., Guan M., P.A. Sleigh, N.G. Wright, H. Chan, 2016. The influence of floodplain restoration on flow and sediment dynamics in an urban river. Journal of Flood Risk Management, doi:10.1111/jfr3.1225 1.

54. Guan M.*,  N. Sillanpää, H. Koivusalo, 2016. Storm runoff response to rainfall pattern, magnitude and urbanization in a developing urban catchment. Hydrological Processes, 30, 543–557.

55. Guan M.*,  N.G. Wright, P.A. Sleigh., J.H.L. Carrivick, 2015. Assessment of hydro-morphodynamic modelling and geomorphological impacts of a sediment-charged jökulhlaup, at Sólheimajökull, Iceland. Journal of Hydrology, 530, 336-349.

56. Guan M.*, N. Sillanpää, H. Koivusalo, 2015. Modelling and assessment of hydrological changes in a developing urban catchment. Hydrological Processes, 29, 2880-2894.

57. Guan M.*, N. Sillanpää, H. Koivusalo, 2015. Assessment of LID practices on restoring pre-development flow regime in an urbanized catchment in southern Finland. Water Science and Technology, 71(10), 1485-1491.

58. Guan M.*, N.G. Wright, P.A. Sleigh, 2015. Multimode morphodynamic model system for sediment-laden flows and geomorphic impacts. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering-ASCE, 141(6).

59. Guan M.*, N.G. Wright, P.A. , 2015. Multiple effects of sediment transport and geomorphic processes within flood events: modelling and understanding. International Journal of Sediment Research, 30, 371-381.

60. Guan M.*, N.G. Wright, P.A. Sleigh, 2014. 2D Process-based morphodynamic model for flooding by non-cohesive dyke breach. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering-ASCE, 140(7).

61. Guan M.*, N.G. Wright, P.A. Sleigh, 2013. A robust 2D shallow water model for solving flow over complex topography using homogenous flux method. International Journal of Numerical Methods in Fluids, 73:225-249.

Book Chapter

1. Ahilan, S., Guan, M. and Wright, N., 2020. Evaluating the hydraulic and hydro-morphodynamic performance of blue–green infrastructure over event and long-term timescales. In Blue–Green Cities: Integrating urban flood risk management with green infrastructure (pp. 51-64). ICE Publishing.

2. S. Ahilan, M. Guan, H. Haynes, A. Sleigh, N. Wright. Blue-green infrastructure perspectives on water quality benefits, CIRIA(C780b), June 2019, edited by S. Arthur, V. Krivtsov, D. Allen.