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The potential and promise
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Ray Schroeder
Senior Fellow, University Professional and Continuing Ed Assn.
Professor Emeritus/ AVC, University of Illinois Springfield
https://sites.google.com/view/mchenry-county-college-vision/home
First: A word about presentation format. For the past fifteen years, we have been "power-point-less" at the UIS Center for Online Learning, Research and Service. Rather than using a static, aging format, we prefer to create Web pages for our presentations to assure that they are easily accessible, updatable, and always available. I will not be following every link. The intent is that this will serve as a reference meta-site for you on the topic.
Please follow along on your own device (or visit at a later date) to delve more deeply into the links and videos that interest you.
Visioning the Future of McHenry County College
Visioning the Future of McHenry County College
Trends, Technology, Pedagogy, Practices, and Society
We are on the cusp of a seachange in higher education. The number of traditional-age students is shrinking. College graduates are laboring under $1,700,000,000 in debt at rates higher than the average today. Employers are dropping their baccalaureate requirements. The average American worker changes employers every four or five years. Students became accustomed to anytime/anywhere learning in the pandemic. The Fourth Industrial Revolution is upon us, this time it is impacting white collar jobs, not just blue collar jobs; and it is creating no collar jobs. It is in this context that we will reimagine learning at McHenry College. We will visit pedagogies, practices, the "new" students, student networking, and forward teaching.
Background Readings (Listenings):
MarketScale Podcast - the post-pandemic future of higher education
https://marketscale.com/industries/education-technology/is-the-future-of-higher-education-a-subscription-model/Inside Higher Ed column on employer expectations:
https://www.insidehighered.com/digital-learning/blogs/online-trending-now/badging-blockchain-documenting-skills-learnedInside Higher Ed column on higher ed at the intersection of employers and employees:
https://www.insidehighered.com/digital-learning/blogs/online-trending-now/higher-eds-future-intersection-learners-and-employersInside Higher Ed column on Time for Reinvention, Not Just Replication or Revision
https://www.insidehighered.com/blogs/online-trending-now/time-reinvention-not-just-replication-or-revision
New Article - released Wednesday by IHE
New Article - released Wednesday by IHE
Trends in the Near Term and an Emerging Concern for Higher Ed - Ray Schroeder
The Dwindling Supply of Traditional-Age Students
The Dwindling Supply of Traditional-Age Students
Surveying the Higher Ed Landscape 2021: declining enrollments, increasing competition, debt aversion, 4th Industrial Revolution, changing marketplace for graduates.
Surveying the Higher Ed Landscape 2021: declining enrollments, increasing competition, debt aversion, 4th Industrial Revolution, changing marketplace for graduates.
The supply side of students is shrinking - fertility rate in US is 1.7
National Student Clearinghouse data shows declines over the past dozen years - with a drop of some 600,000 this spring
https://nscresearchcenter.org/current-term-enrollment-estimates/Demographic Cliffs on the horizon #1 in 2025-2030 due to drop in births in the recession; #2 in 2040 due to drop in births in Covid
https://www.cupahr.org/issue/feature/higher-ed-enrollment-cliff/These demographic changes promise to alter the traditional model of growth of undergrad programs
https://www.nasfaa.org/news-item/25318/Demographic_Changes_and_Pandemic_Fallout_Could_Alter_Higher_Ed_Enrollment_Trends
For-profit enterprise has found a lucrative market in higher education (note that these entities have chosen online delivery)
For-profit enterprise has found a lucrative market in higher education (note that these entities have chosen online delivery)
Coursera - now a for-profit traded on the stock exchange - is serving more than 75,000,000 students! https://campustechnology.com/articles/2021/01/05/mooc-enrollment-explodes-in-2020.aspx
Other large-scale providers take a big piece of higher ed - edX has merged with 2U, ASU, SNHU, and internationally, Udacity, FutureLearn (UK), SWAYAM (India), and a host of others.
https://www.classcentral.com/report/mooc-providers-list/Very large corporate competitors have entered the continuing and professional education market - Google, Microsoft, LinkedIn
Google Certfiicates begin at $39/month - they claim 82% of their certificate holders report hiring/promotion success within 6 months
https://grow.google/certificates/
Microsoft Certifications have long been a standard in computer applications and engineering with instruction from many entities
LinkedIn Learning offers nearly 17,000 courses
At the same time as overall enrollments in higher education have declined, the online enrollments have increased!
Exemplary of this trend are the data graphed below from Oregon:
Technology, Pedagogy, Practices, Self-Paced, Adaptive, Industry Collaborative
Plethora of Models
Plethora of Models
There are many models of modes of delivery
Online - delivered through the internet, commonly with a LMS
Synchronous - real-time "live" delivery (Remote-Delivery)
Asynchronous - time shifted
HyFlex - classes are offered simultaneously online and F2F
https://library.educause.edu/resources/2020/7/7-things-you-should-know-about-the-hyflex-course-modelBlended - some sessions are online, others on campus
https://www.blendedlearning.org/what-blended-learning-is-and-isnt/Self-paced - materials are digital, paced by the student
Adaptive - self-paced, AI supported personalized progress
Which Colleges Will Command the Enrollments?
Which Colleges Will Command the Enrollments?
The programs that thrive will be ones that meet the needs of industry and the wants of students:
Affordable programs will prevail - Americans are now breaking under the burden of $1,700,000,000 in student loan debt - much of it carrying higher interest rates than are common today. There are senior citizens on Social Security who are still paying off their student loans!
Flexible programs - anytime, anywhere, and self-paced are premium considerations for prospective students.
Learning that leads to relevant new jobs that are likely to sustain for at least a few years. Those that have ties to employers are most popular.
Certificates and credentialing are valuable. Stackable courses that lead to certifications or industry credentials have great appeal.
Skills (both hard and soft) that make for an effective, efficient, and amicable employee are sought after. E-portfolios that document those skills are sought by HR departments that screen applications. LinkedIn regularly mines their data to list the most in-demand hard and soft skills https://zety.com/blog/linkedin-skills
Those programs that are effective in injecting students into industry and corporate networks will have greater success in completer placement and advancement.
Strategies, Gadgets and Gogies Will Engage Learning
Strategies, Gadgets and Gogies Will Engage Learning
Andragogy
Andragogy
4 principles that are applied to adult learning:
4 principles that are applied to adult learning:
1) Adults need to be involved in the planning and evaluation of their instruction.
1) Adults need to be involved in the planning and evaluation of their instruction.
2) Experience (including mistakes) provides the basis for the learning activities.
2) Experience (including mistakes) provides the basis for the learning activities.
3) Adults are most interested in learning subjects that have immediate relevance and impact to their job or personal life.
3) Adults are most interested in learning subjects that have immediate relevance and impact to their job or personal life.
4) Adult learning is problem-centered rather than content-oriented. (Kearsley, 2010)
4) Adult learning is problem-centered rather than content-oriented. (Kearsley, 2010)
Heutagogy - Self-Determined Learning
Heutagogy - Self-Determined Learning
A do-it-yourself mindset is changing the face of education worldwide, according to new survey results. Learners are "patching together" their education from a "menu of options," including self-teaching, short courses and bootcamps, and they believe that self-service instruction will become even more prevalent for lifelong learning. In the United Sates specifically, 84 percent of people said learning would become even more self-service the older they get. https://campustechnology.com/articles/2019/09/17/diy-mindset-reshaping-education.aspx
A do-it-yourself mindset is changing the face of education worldwide, according to new survey results. Learners are "patching together" their education from a "menu of options," including self-teaching, short courses and bootcamps, and they believe that self-service instruction will become even more prevalent for lifelong learning. In the United Sates specifically, 84 percent of people said learning would become even more self-service the older they get. https://campustechnology.com/articles/2019/09/17/diy-mindset-reshaping-education.aspx
engaging learners
engaging learners
Engaging with the instructor (from Iowa State link above)
Define your online presence
Maintain an active daily presence in the course
Solicit (in real-time) immediate formative feedback
Ask students to share one burning question about a content topic
Ask students for feedback about the course regularly
Interact with students as they work
Provide interactive feedback to students is essential
Host virtual “student” (office) hours
Nudge students who are not engaging in the course
Send personalized “how’s it going?” messages via Canvas Inbox two times a semester
active learning
active learning
VR future for "hands-on"
VR future for "hands-on"
Low-latency of 5G enables real-time VR that had not been possible previously at a distance.
Low-latency of 5G enables real-time VR that had not been possible previously at a distance.
self-paced to adaptive learning to personalized learning
self-paced to adaptive learning to personalized learning
Teaching through the Windshield, not the Rearview Mirror!
Teaching through the Windshield, not the Rearview Mirror!
One of the most prevalent failures of our professional and continuing education courses is that we fail to update them every time they are offered with a view towards the future. The Fourth Industrial Revolution is upon us bringing change at an incredible rate. Fueled by AI, VR, and quantum computing, this revolution promises rapid, radical changes every month, week and day.
Faculty members, accustomed to the slower pace of the 20th century, review ane revise syllabi every year or two. Now, we must update materials every term, and in some cases even more often.
We owe our learners the newest, most up-to-date information with a view toward where the industry will be in one, two and three years.
In order to remain up-to-date, each department or certificate perogram should have an "industry advisory council" that enlightens the curriculum and methods. Consider creating the advisory board with local, regional and national representatives. They can inform you of trends and opportunities in the field even before these are published and broadly known. Building the curriculum will become a partnership with industry. https://www.insidehighered.com/digital-learning/blogs/online-trending-now/oer-and-teaching-through-rearview-mirror
It's not what you know, rather, it's who knows you!
It's not what you know, rather, it's who knows you!
One of the least attended-to responsibilities of universities is of huge importance. Too often, we lead students to knowledge and skills, but we fail to connect them to professionals in their fields. The rare program that attends to making those connections deep into businesses, corporations, NGOs, government agencies, associations, and other entities related to the discipline will rapidly build a reputation for relevancy and success. I discussed this in a recent article in which I give examples of how to build these connections: https://www.insidehighered.com/digital-learning/blogs/online-trending-now/networking-gets-graduates-and-certificate-completers
Some Keys for Faculty, Staff and Students to Consider
Some Keys for Faculty, Staff and Students to Consider
Redefine target audiences; they are changing - lifelong learners needing 60 year curriculum
Competition will continue to grow (Google, LinkedIn, Coursera, edX, and many others)
Teach through the windshield rather than the rearview mirror
Build network-expanding exercises into your classes
Include both industry and learners in curriculum and course designs
Affordability
Just-in-Time
Stackable
Self-Paced
Adaptive
Certificates and Certifications
Subscription rather than tuition
How can you keep up with the daily developments and trends?
How can you keep up with the daily developments and trends?
Online: Trending Now: Ray's bi-weekly columns in Inside Higher Ed
https://www.insidehighered.com/users/ray-schroeder
Ray's Daily Curated Reading Lists and Social Media. Blogs with daily updates on the field of online / continuing learning in higher education
UPCEA Professional, Continuing and Online Education Update http://continuingedupdate.blogspot.com/
Recession Reality in Higher Education http://recessionreality.blogspot.com/
UIS OER Blog https://uisoerblog.blogspot.com/
Twitter @rayschroeder https://twitter.com/rayschroeder
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Contact Ray
rschr1@uis.edu ~ rayschroeder@gmail.com - ray@upcea.edu
Associate Vice Chancellor for Online, Professor Emeritus
University of Illinois Springfield
Senior Fellow, University Professional and Continuing Education Assn.
217-206-7531
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