In 1946, mathematician Stanislaw Ulam, recovering from an illness and pondering the intractable combinatorics of Canfield solitaire, envisioned a revolutionary approach: rather than calculating exact mathematical probabilities, he could estimate outcomes through repeated statistical sampling (Metropolis & Ulam - 1949). This spark, enthusiastically adopted by John von Neumann and named by Nicholas Metropolis, birthed the Monte Carlo (MC) method. Originally deployed to model neutron diffusion on ENIAC, this stochastic framework was fundamentally tied to the dawn of electronic computing.
Eight decades later, the Monte Carlo method is ubiquitous. It transcends its origins in mathematical physics to drive innovations across science and engineering, quantitative finance, cryptography, and artificial intelligence. The mathematical formalization of Ulam's intuition has yielded rigorous advancements, including Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), sequential Monte Carlo (particle filters), and Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC).
This meeting will commemorate the 80th anniversary of Ulam's breakthrough by exploring the evolution, current state, and future trajectories of stochastic modeling. We expect lively discussions addressing theoretical breakthroughs, innovative variance-reduction techniques, massively parallelized simulation deployments, and interdisciplinary applications. Attendees will discuss how modern adaptations of the Monte Carlo method—paired with exascale computing —continue to tackle high-dimensional problems Ulam could only dream of solving.
SOC: Mark Chadwick, James Coglan, Erin Davis, Scott Doebling,
Art Forster, Chris Fryer, Jimmy Fung, Aric Hagberg,
Aimee Hungerford, Joel Kulesza, Charlie Nakhleh, Avneet Sood,
Brian Weaver
Register Here (No Registration Fee)
Deadlines to register are August 1 for foreign nationals and September 15 for US citizens
If you have any questions, contact Chris Fryer (fryer@lanl.gov) or Nina Roelofs (nroelofs@lanl.gov)