Publications

In 2022, childhood immunization in the Sindh province of Pakistan was disrupted by the worst floods in Pakistan's history and by vaccinator strikes. We use weekly data on all vaccinations from 12 of the lowest immunization districts in Sindh, strike timing, and satellite flood data to examine 2.5-month impacts. Despite intensive catchup efforts by the government and the international community, immunizations declined 19 percent more in flooded towns than nonflooded towns postfloods, and 11,500 children missed vaccinations as result of the floods. Immunizations in strike towns were 48 percent lower than in nonstrike towns, with 15,300 lost immunizations over the entire postperiod.

We conduct a randomized control trial to investigate the effect of a soft-skills intervention that highlights the role of beliefs about perseverance on non-cognitive skills, effort, and academic performance of college students. We have a sample of 366 undergraduate students from women-only and public colleges in a major metropolitan city in Pakistan. We find that a brief discussion stressing perseverance and a constructive interpretation of failures led to increased level of grit among treated students one year after the intervention. However, we find no significant increase in hours of study and college attendance after one year or test scores two and nine months after the intervention. Our findings suggest that soft-touch interventions may impact non-cognitive skills, but they can be insufficient for improving academic achievement.

The formation of new firms is an important determinant of regional economic development and agglomeration is a key factor affecting the formation and scale of operations of new firms. The present paper is among the first to explore the relationship between agglomeration economies (using localization and urbanization economies) and new firms' formation and scale of operations in a developing country. We make use of rich firm‐level data and find that agglomeration has a significant impact on the formation of new firms and their scale of operation in Punjab, Pakistan. Our findings also reveal that localization at all scales (small, medium and large) has a positive correlation with the arrival of new firms, while medium‐scale and large‐scale localization is positively correlated with the scale of operation of new firms.