Preprints
Rahman MR, Kottegoda C, Stolerman LM. Oscillatory Regimes in a Game-Theoretic Model for Mosquito Population Dynamics under Breeding Site Control. arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.05222. 2026 Jan 8. link
Das HK, Hu T, Santillana M, Stolerman LM. Targeted County-Level Interventions Achieve Epidemic Control Without Statewide Lockdowns. medRxiv. 2025 Oct 17:2025-10. link
In press
Kottegoda C, Codeço CT, Struchiner CJ, Stolerman LM. Resurgence of Large-Scale Influenza A (H1N1) Outbreaks: the Interplay of Transmission, Loss of Immunity, and Vaccination. medRxiv. 2025 Jun 23:2025-06. link
Peer-reviewed journals
Araujo EC, Carvalho LM, Ganem F, Vacaro LB, Bastos LS, Freitas LP, de Almeida IF, Bastos M, Alencar R, Bianchi L, Capellán R. Leveraging probabilistic forecasts for dengue preparedness and control: The 2024 Dengue Forecasting Sprint in Brazil. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2026 Feb 17;123(7):e2508989123. link
Wu S, Meyer AG, Clemente L, Stolerman LM, Lu F, Majumder A, Verbeeck R, Masyn S, Santillana M. Ensemble approaches for short-term dengue fever forecasts: A global evaluation study. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2025 Aug 19;122(33):e2422335122. link
de Campos Jezus GC, Abreu LF, Arnall DB, Stolerman LM, Rocateli AC. Sensor-Based Bermudagrass Yield Prediction Models Using Random Forest Algorithm in Oklahoma. Agronomy. 2025 Apr 22;15(5):1004. link
Das HK, Stolerman LM. Epidemic thresholds and disease dynamics in metapopulations: the role of network geometry and human mobility. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems. 2024 Jun 30;23(2):1579-609. link
Stolerman LM, Clemente L, Poirier C, Parag KV, Majumder A, Masyn S, Resch B, Santillana M. Using digital traces to build prospective and real-time county-level early warning systems to anticipate COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States. Science Advances. 2023 Jan 18;9(3):eabq0199. link
Kaashoek J, Testa C, Chen JT, Stolerman LM, Krieger N, Hanage WP, Santillana M. The evolving roles of US political partisanship and social vulnerability in the COVID-19 pandemic from February 2020–February 2021. PLOS Global Public Health. 2022 Dec 5;2(12):e0000557. link
C. Souza, P.D. Maia, L.M. Stolerman, V. Rolla, L. Velho . Predicting dengue outbreaks in Brazil with manifold learning on climate data. Expert Systems with Applications. 2021 Dec 20:116324. link
L.M. Stolerman, P. Ghosh , P. Rangamani. Stability analysis of a signaling circuit with dual species of GTpase switches. Bull Math Biol 83, 34 (2021). link
R. I. Oliveira, G. H. Reis, L. M. Stolerman, Interacting diffusions on sparse graphs: hydrodynamics from local weak limits. Electron. J. Probab. Volume 25, paper no. 110, 35 pp. (2020) link
L. M. Stolerman, M. Getz, S. G. Llewellyn Smith, M. Holst, P. Rangamani, Stability Analysis of a Bulk-Surface Reaction Model for Membrane-Protein Clustering (2019). Bull Math Biol 82, 30 (2020) link
J.Z. Zhang , T.W. Lu, L.M. Stolerman, B. Tenner , J.R. Yang, J.F. Zhang, M. Falcke, P. Rangamani, S.S. Taylor , S. Mehta, J. Zhang. Phase separation of a PKA regulatory subunit controls cAMP compartmentation and oncogenic signaling. Cell. 2020 Aug 25 link
L. M. Stolerman, P. D. Maia and J. N. Kutz, Forecasting Dengue Fever in Brazil: An Assessment of Climate Conditions, PLoS ONE (2019) 14(8): e0220106. link. This paper was also highlighted at IMPA's website. link
R. M. Lana, M. M Morais , T. F. de Lima, T. G. Carneiro, L. M. Stolerman, J. P. dos Santos, J. J. Cortés, A. E. Eiras and C. T. Codeço, Assessment of a trap based Aedes aegypti surveillance program using mathematical modeling. PloS ONE (2018) 13(1), e0190673. link
L. M. Stolerman, D. Coombs and S. Boatto, SIR-Network Model and its Applications to Dengue Fever. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics (2015). v. 75, n. 6, p. 2581-2609, 2015. This paper was highlighted as a SIAM Nugget, Dec 23, 2015. Also a piece from the Brazilian Society for Tropical Medicine: link.
Thesis and Dissertations
Dimensionality Reduction in Neuroscience and Epidemiology. IMPA. PhD Thesis (2017). Link
Epidemics spreading in a City: A model on Networks . UFRJ. Masters Dissertation (2012).