As many other complexity scientists worldwide, in 2020 and 2021 I was involved in modelling COVID19. Together with the group of Dr. Leon Danon I participated in some of the works that contributed to shape the UK response to COVID19. I was also commissioned by the Spanish Government to advise and participate in the validation of the spanish digital contact tracing app.
MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF COVID19
These works were discussed at SPI-M (SAGE sub-commitee) meetings and published in the theme issue ‘Modelling that shaped the early COVID-19 pandemic response in the UK’
Estimates of regional infectivity of COVID-19 in the United Kingdom following imposition of social distancing measures
Robert Challen, Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova, Martin Pitt, Tom Edwards, Luke Gompels, Lucas Lacasa, Ellen Brooks-Pollock, Leon Danon
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376: 20200280 (2021)
Household networks and bubbling: insights from percolation theory
Ellen Brooks-Pollock, Lucas Lacasa, Leon Danon
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376: 20200284 (2021)
EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF DIGITAL CONTACT TRACING
As part of an expert group commissioned by the Spanish government to design and validate the spanish contact tracing app RadarCOVID
A population-based controlled experiment assessing the epidemiological impact of digital contact tracing
Pablo Rodriguez, Santiago Grana, Eva Elisa Alvarez-Leon, Manuela Battaglini, Francisco Javier Darias, Miguel A. Hernan, Raquel Lopez, Paloma Llaneza, Maria Cristina Martin, RadarCovidPilot Group, Oriana Ramirez-Rubio, Adriana Romani, Berta Suarez-Rodriguez, Javier Sanchez-Monedero, Alex Arenas, and Lucas Lacasa
Nature Communications 12, 587 (2021)
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DESIGNING AN OPTIMAL LOAD BALANCE ALGORITHM TO TRANSFER ICU PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL NETWORKS
A flexible method for optimising sharing of healthcare resources and demand in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic
Lucas Lacasa, Robert Challen, Ellen Brooks-Pollock, Leon Danon
PLoS One 15 (10): e0241027 (2020).
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OPTIMIZING THE CALCULATION OF HOSPITAL CATCHMENT AREAS
Rob Challen, Gareth Griffith, Lucas Lacasa, Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
BMC Health Services Research 22, 828 (2022)