Climate change—and the disasters it fuels—are exposing the limitations of conventional policy responses. Given the scale and urgency of the crisis, incremental improvements are no longer sufficient. Instead, meaningful transformation is required, particularly in urban areas where both populations and vulnerabilities are concentrated. Local governments’ responses to anticipated yet uncertain disruptions fall along a spectrum, ranging from inaction to transformative change that fundamentally reshapes urban systems. This research project explored how characteristics of local decisionmakers associate with cities’ capacity to transform in the face of new and uncertain threats. In so doing, it emphasizes the reality that decisionmakers draw from their own personal, professional, and relational perspectives as they negotiate policy positions and share information in effort to shape urban governance.
Our research delineates and analyzes the networked micro-decision context (NMDC), which is the arena wherein interactions among policy actors shape a government’s decisions about whether and how to tackle a public problem. We leverage and combine insights from political, policy, and network sciences to assess how variations within NMDCs affect the degree of transformativeness of governance responses.
The conceptualization and operationalization of local governments’ Transformative Governance Capacity (TCG) is a key outcome of this project. Drawing on existing scholarship, we define TGC as the ability to make multi-dimensional, radical change in the direction of sustainability. We conceive it as comprising three core dimensions: proactive policymaking, engagement in collective double-loop learning, and a willingness to accept risk. We translated this conceptual framework into measurable indicators of city behaviors aligned with each dimension (see Figure 1) and develop a composite index cities' TCG. A more detailed explanation of index development and downloadable TGC scores for 386 U.S. cities is available here.