with Mengmeng Ao, Yingying Li, and Xinghua Zheng. Submitted. Link: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5197964
Presentation: The 16th Society of Financial Econometrics (SoFiE) Annual Conference (Rio de Janeiro, 2024)
Abstract: We propose MAXSER-H, a novel method for estimating large mean-variance efficient portfolios when dealing with asset returns that exhibit heteroscedasticity and heavy-tailedness. The approach integrates robust regressions and a self-normalization technique with the MAXSER method proposed in Ao, Li, and Zheng (2019). We prove that as the number of assets and sample size grow, the MAXSER-H portfolio asymptotically maximizes expected return while adhering to the specified risk constraint. A conditional method, MAXSER-H-TV, is further developed to account for time-varying parameters, improving upon the original unconditional method. Extensive simulations and empirical studies confirm the superior performance of both MAXSER-H and MAXSER-H-TV.
with Yingying Li and Xinghua Zheng. Working Paper.
Presentation: The 2nd HKUST IAS-SBM Joint Workshop on Financial Econometrics in the Big Data Era (Hong Kong, 2025), The 2025 Random Matrix Theory and Applications Summer Workshop (Yunnan, 2025), The 19th International Symposium on Econometric Theory and Applications (Macau, 2025), The 2024 First Macau International Conference on Business Intelligence and Analytics (Macau, 2024), The 9th International Forum on Statistics (Co-author presented, Yunnan, 2024), The 15th SoFiE Annual Conference (Co-author presented, Seoul, 2023)
Abstract: This paper addresses the challenge of estimating the efficient frontier when portfolios comprise only risky assets—a critical task in markets where risk-free assets are unavailable or for institutions with restrictive mandates. We introduce CORE (COnstrained sparse Regression for Efficient portfolios), a novel method for estimating large mean-variance efficient portfolios that collectively form an estimated risky efficient frontier. We develop two versions of CORE, one for the scenario that does not involve long-short factors, and the other for the scenario that does. Under a high-dimensional setting where both the number of assets and the sample size approach infinity, we establish the asymptotic mean-variance efficiency of CORE portfolios. We show in extensive simulations and empirical studies how collectively CORE portfolios form the efficient hyperbola where various risk constraints are respected while high Sharpe ratios are achieved.