An economic cycle—also known as a business cycle—refers to the recurring pattern of expansion and contraction in the overall economic activity of a country over time. These cycles are characterized by fluctuations in key economic indicators such as real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment, income, and sales.
Phases: The business cycle typically consists of four main phases: expansion (growth), peak, contraction (recession), and trough. After reaching the trough, the cycle repeats itself.
Expansion: A period of increasing economic activity, rising output, falling unemployment, higher wages, and increased consumer spending.
Peak: The highest point of economic activity before a downturn begins.
Contraction (Recession): A period of declining economic activity, falling output, rising unemployment, lower wages, and reduced consumer spending.
Trough: The lowest point, after which recovery and expansion begin again.
Business cycles are not strictly periodic but are recurrent and widespread across the economy, affecting various sectors simultaneously.
The entire cycle is measured from one boom (expansion) through a contraction (recession) and back to the next expansion.
These cycles are driven by factors such as changes in consumer demand, technological innovation, fiscal and monetary policies, and external shocks.