POLITICAL CONTEXT OF THE EUROPEAN VACCINE DEBATE ON TWITTER
“Political context of the European vaccine debate on Twitter.” Scientific Reports, 14(1), p.4397.
Paoletti G, Dall’Amico L., Kalimeri K, Lenti J, Mejova Y, Paolotti D, Tizzani M, Starnini M
This study investigates the link between social media users' political interests and their exposure to vaccine-hesitant content on Twitter across 17 European countries, using a dataset spanning the pre-COVID era to vaccine roll-out. It finds that vaccine hesitancy was highest in the early pandemic months, with users following right-wing or anti-EU politicians more likely to show hesitancy than those following left-wing or pro-EU figures. Interestingly, politicians did not dominate vaccine debates significantly more than other popular users. This research highlights the political dimensions of vaccine hesitancy, offering insights for public health policy and communication.
VACCINATION HESITANCY IN PARENTS
“Detecting adherence to the recommended childhood vaccination schedule from user-generated content in a US parenting forum” PLoS Comput Biol 17(4): e1008919. 2021.
Betti L, De Francisci Morales G, Gauvin L, Kalimeri K, Mejova Y, Paolotti D, Starnini M
The importance and effectiveness of vaccines is generally high, but concerns toward vaccination contribute to eroding confidence in vaccination. In this work, we create a Natural Language Processing pipeline to automatically identify parents who state their adherence to the recommended or alternative vaccination schedule on a popular parenting forum, BabyCenter US. We find that these users have distinct interests and different experiences with vaccination, although they frequently share similar sources of information. Differently from what is observed on most popular digital platforms like Facebook or Twitter, Babycenter users communicate between each other independently of the vaccination schedule they adopt. These observations suggest that parenting fora may be a more suitable medium to develop intervention aiming to influence positively the vaccination behavior of parents.
FALLING INTO THE ECHO CHAMBER:
THE ITALIAN VACCINATION DEBATE ON TWITTER
"Falling into the echo chamber: the Italian vaccination debate on Twitter" International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM 2020)
Cossard A, De Francisci Morales G, Kalimeri K, Mejova Y, Paolotti D, Starnini M
The reappearance of measles in the US and Europe, a disease considered eliminated in early 2000s, has been accompanied by a growing debate on the merits of vaccination on social media. In this study we examine the extent to which the vaccination debate on Twitter is conductive to potential outreach to the vaccination hesitant. We focus on Italy, one of the countries most affected by the latest measles outbreaks. We discover that the vaccination skeptics, as well as the advocates, reside in their own distinct “echo chambers”. The structure of these communities differs as well, with skeptics arranged in a tightly connected cluster, and advocates organizing themselves around few authoritative hubs. At the center of these echo chambers we find the ardent supporters, for which we build highly accurate network- and content-based classifiers (attaining 95% cross-validated accuracy). Insights of this study provide several avenues for potential future interventions, including network-guided targeting, accounting for the political context, and monitoring of alternative sources of information.
OPIATE ABUSE ON SOCIAL MEDIA
“Firsthand opiates abuse on social media: monitoring geospatial patterns of interest through a digital cohort” The World Wide Web Conference, 2019.
Balsamo D, Bajardi P, Panisson A
In the last decade drug overdose deaths reached staggering proportions in the US. Besides the raw yearly deaths count that is worrisome per se, an alarming picture comes from the steep acceleration of such rate that increased by 21% from 2015 to 2016. While traditional public health surveillance suffers from its own biases and limitations, digital epidemiology offers a new lens to extract signals from Web and Social Media that might be complementary to official statistics. In this study we present a computational approach to identify a digital cohort that might provide an updated and complementary view on the opioid crisis. We introduce an information retrieval algorithm suitable to identify relevant subspaces of discussion on social media, for mining data from users showing explicit interest in discussions about opioid consumption in Reddit. A measure of prevalence of interest in opiate consumption has been estimated at the state level, producing a novel indicator with information that is not entirely encoded in the standard surveillance.
COVID-19 MISINFORMATION AROUND THE WORLD
“Global Misinformation Spillovers in the Vaccination Debate Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Multilingual Twitter Study”. JMIR Infodemiology 2023
Lenti J, Mejova Y, Kalimeri K, Panisson A, Paolotti D, Tizzani M, Starnini M
While previous studies focused on specific countries, the COVID-10 pandemic brought the vaccination discourse worldwide, underpinning the need to tackle low-credible information flows on a global scale to design effective countermeasures. Here, we leverage a Twitter dataset in 18 languages to quantify misinformation flows between users exposed to anti-vaccination content. We find that, during the pandemic, no-vax communities became more central in the country-specific debates and their cross-border connections strengthened, revealing a global Twitter anti-vaccination network.
COVID AND HUMAN MOBILITY
“COVID-19 outbreak response, a dataset to assess mobility changes in Italy following national lockdown”. Scientific Data, 7 2020
Pepe E, Bajardi P, Gauvin L, Privitera F, Lake B, Cattuto C, Tizzoni M
Following the identification of the first infections, on February 21, 2020, national authorities had put in place an increasing number of restrictions aimed at containing the outbreak and delaying the epidemic peak. In our study we provided the first quantitative assessment of the impact of lockdown on the mobility and the spatial proximity of Italians, through the analysis of a large-scale dataset on de-identified, geo-located smartphone users. With respect to pre-outbreak averages, we estimated a reduction of 50% of the total trips between Italian provinces, following the lockdown. In the same week, the average users radius of gyration had declined by about 50% and the average degree of the users proximity network has dropped by 47% at national level.
COVID AND HUMAN MOBILITY
“Evidence of pandemic fatigue associated with stricter tiered COVID-19 restrictions", PLOS Digital Health, 2022
Delussu F, Tizzoni M, Gauvin L
Despite the availability of effective vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, non-pharmaceutical interventions remain an important part of the effort to reduce viral circulation caused by emerging variants with the capability of evading vaccine-induced immunity. With the aim of striking a balance between effective mitigation and long-term sustainability, several governments worldwide have adopted systems of tiered interventions, of increasing stringency, that are calibrated according to periodic risk assessments. A key challenge remains in quantifying temporal changes in adherence to interventions, which can decrease over time due to pandemic fatigue, under such kind of multilevel strategies. Here, we examine whether there was a reduction in adherence to tiered restrictions that were imposed in Italy from November 2020 through May 2021.
InfluCast
InfluCast is the first Italian hub for epidemiological forecasts that aggregates estimates produced by different research teams about the future trends of influenza-like-illnesses at both national and regional levels.
RespiCast
RespiCast, the European Respiratory Diseases Forecasting Hub, combines multiple forecasting hubs for several respiratory disease indicators, including influenza-like-illness (ILI), acute respiratory infection (ARI), and indicators related to COVID-19. RespiCast is a collaboration between the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), the ISI Foundation, and the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.