Knicks vs. Heat: Odds, Prediction & Key Take-aways for Friday’s NBA Cup Matchup 

Preview of the Game

On Friday, November 14, 2025, the New York Knicks host the Miami Heat at Madison Square Garden (tip-off at 7:00 p.m. ET) in a pivotal NBA Cup Group C clash.
The Knicks enter the contest with a 7-4 record, while the Heat are 7-5. New York is priced as a home favorite and the betting market reflects strong interest on the Knicks’ side. 

Odds & Betting Metrics

• Spread: Knicks favored by about –6.5 points.
  
  

• Over/Under: Set around 239.5 total points.
  
  

• Moneyline: Knicks priced at roughly –250, Heat around +203.
  According to model simulations from a leading projection system, the combined total skews under 238.5 points, largely due to key player absences.
  
  

Key Storylines

• The Knicks will be without guard Jalen Brunson due to an ankle injury. His absence forces a shuffle in rotations and scoring roles.
  
  

• The Heat are also banged up, with players such as Bam Adebayo (toe) and Tyler Herro (ankle) listed as doubtful or out.
  
  

• With Brunson missing, New York’s big men like Karl‑Anthony Towns and wing Mikal Bridges are expected to carry more offensive load. Analysts view this as both an opportunity and a test.
  
  

• The Heat’s offensive firepower remains a threat. But with perimeter-defensive challenges and recent lapses, they may struggle to cover the spread.
  
  

Prediction Insight

Given the Knicks’ home advantage, shortened rotation adjustments, and the Heat’s patchy recent road form, the model slightly leans toward New York covering the spread. That said, with the total near 239.5 and player unavailability, a cautious lean to the Under is reasonable.