Refereed Journals
Hayakawa, K. and Keola, S., Trade Diversion in the US Market during the US–China Trade War: Firm-level Evidence from Thailand, Forthcoming in the Journal of Economic Integration.
Hayakawa, K. and Kumagai, S., Trade Effects of the Russia–Ukraine Conflict: Can Neutral Countries Really Fish in Troubled Waters?, Forthcoming in the Scottish Journal of Political Economy.
Hayakawa, K. and Sudsawasd, S., Trade Effects of the US–China Trade War on a Third Country: Preventing Trade Rerouting from China, Forthcoming in The World Economy.
Hayakawa, K. and Sudsawasd, S., The Wage Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic by Company Size: Evidence from Thailand, Forthcoming in the Journal of International Development.
Hayakawa, K., Keola, S., Sudsawasd, S., and Yamanouchi, K., 2025, International Bridges and Informal Employment, Journal of Comparative Economics, 53(3): 667-682.
Hayakawa, K., Kao, K., and Mukunoki, H., 2025, Optimal Trade Policies on a Monopoly Platform in Two-sided Markets, Review of International Economics, 33(3): 783-795.
Hayakawa, K. and Sudsawasd, S., 2025, Impacts of Trade Diversion from China in the United States Market on Wages in a Third Country: Evidence from Thailand, International Economics, 183: 100603.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., and Yamanouchi, K., 2025, The Trade Effects of Export Control Regulations in Japan, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 77: 101366.
Andersson, M., Hayakawa, K., Keola, S., and Yamanouchi, K., 2025, Impacts of International Transport Infrastructure: Evidence from Laos Households, Journal of Asian Economics, 97: 101876.
Hayakawa, K. and Mukunoki, H., 2024, Foreseeing Potential Trade Effects of Additive Manufacturing: Evidence from Trade in Sound Recordings, International Economic Journal, 38(4): 591-604.
Hayakawa, K. and Yoshimi, T., 2024, Tariff Rates in Gravity, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 33(8): 1477–1494.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., and Mukunoki, H., 2024, The Trade Effect of Regional Trade Agreements in the Presence of Duty Drawbacks, The World Economy, 47(9): 3681-3708.
Hayakawa, K., 2024, Exports to the US and Imports from China during the US-China Tariff War: Evidence from Regional Trade Data in Vietnam, KDI Journal of Economic Policy, 46(3): 49-66.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., Mukunoki, H., and Urata, S., 2024, Negotiating over the Rules of Origin in Regional Trade Agreements in Asia, The World Economy,47(7): 3097-3119.
Hayakawa, K., Jongwanich, J., and Kohpaiboon, A., 2024, The Trade Effect of Non-tariff Measures in a Comprehensive Trade Agreement, International Economic Journal, 38(1): 45-61.
Hayakawa, K., Pyun, J., Yamashita, N., and Yang, C., 2024, Ripple Effects in Regional Value Chains: Evidence from an Episode of the US–China Trade War, The World Economy, 47(3): 880-897.
Ando, M., Hayakawa, K., and Kimura, F., 2024, The Threat of Economic Deglobalization from Cold War 2.0: A Japanese Perspective, Asian Economic Papers, 23(1): 46–65.
Negara, S., Narjoko, D., and Hayakawa, K., 2024, Impacts of Tariff Rates on Input Source Choice: Evidence from Indonesia, The Developing Economies, 62(1): 28-44.
Kyophilavong, P. and Hayakawa, K., 2024, Impacts of Trade Liberalization in the Least Developed Countries: Evidence from Lao PDR, The Developing Economies, 62(1): 45-67.
Sudsawad, S. and Hayakawa, K., 2024, Heterogenous Impacts of Trade Liberalization on Individual Wages: Evidence from Thailand, The Developing Economies, 62(1): 68-86.
Nguyen, C. and Hayakawa, K., 2024, The Substitution Effect of Preferential Tariffs on Non-tariff Measures: Evidence from Vietnam, The Developing Economies, 62(1): 87-103.
Hayakawa, K. and Yamanouchi, K., 2024, How Does the Reform of Rules of Origin Affect Firm Performance in Importing Countries?, The World Economy, 47(2): 837-856.
Ando, M., Hayakawa, K., and Kimura, F., 2024, Supply Chain Decoupling: Geopolitical Debates and Economic Dynamism in East Asia, Asian Economic Policy Review, 19(1): 62-79.
Hayakawa, K., Jinji, N., Laksanapanyakul, N., Matsuura, T., and Yoshimi, T., 2023, Quantifying the Costs of Utilizing Regional Trade Agreements, The World Economy, 46(12): 3542-3570
Yang, C. and Hayakawa, K., 2023, The Substitution Effect of U.S.-China Trade War on Taiwanese Trade, The Developing Economies, 61(4): 324-341.
Hayakawa, K., Ito, K., Fukao, K., and Deseatnicov, I., 2023, The Impact of the Strengthening of Export Controls on Japanese Exports of Dual-use Goods, International Economics, 174: 160-179.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., and Yoshimi, T., 2023, Firm-level Utilization Rates of Regional Trade Agreements: Importers’ Perspective, Journal of Asian Economics, 86: 101610.
Lee, H.H., Hayakawa, K., and Park, C.Y., 2023, The Effect of COVID-19 on Foreign Direct Investment, Global Economic Review, 52(1): 1-17.
Hayakawa, K., 2023, Multiple Preference Regimes and Rules of Origin, Review of World Economics, 159: 673-696.
Hayakawa, K. Mukunoki, H., and Urata, S., 2023, Can E-commerce Mitigate the Negative Impact of COVID-19 on International Trade?, Japanese Economic Review, 74: 215-232.
Hyakawa, K. and Mukunoki, H., 2023, The Magnification Effect in Global Value Chains, Review of International Economics, 31(1): 141-157.
Hayashi, T., Kumagai, S., Das, S. B., Khadka, M. S., Isono, I., Keola, S., Tsubota, K., and Hayakawa, K., 2023, Analysis of the Economic Impact of Improved Connectivity in Nepal, Journal of Asian Economic Integration, 5(2): 145-166.
Hayakawa, K., Keola, S., Sudsawasd, S., and Yamanouchi, K., 2022, Impacts of an International Bridge on Households: Evidence from Thailand, Journal of Asian Economics, 83: 101536.
Hayakawa, K., 2022, Impacts of Vaccination on International Trade during the Pandemic Era, The Developing Economies, 60(4): 206-227.
Cai, D. and Hayakawa, K., 2022, Heterogeneous Impacts of COVID-19 on Trade: Evidence from China’s Province-level Data, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 31(7): 1072-1085.
Hayakawa, K. and Tsubota, K., 2022, The Impact of Highways on Commodity Prices: The Price of Butter in Japan, Journal of Asian Economics, 81: 101503.
Chang, K., Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., Narjoko, D., Pyun, J., and Quimba, F., 2022, Determinants of Regional Trade Agreement Utilization: Evidence from Multiple Import Countries in Asia, The World Economy, 45(6): 1713-1736.
Hayakawa, K., Keola, S., and Urata, S., 2022, How Effective Was the Restaurant Restraining Order against COVID-19? A Nighttime Light Study in Japan, Japan and the World Economy, 63: 101136.
Hayakawa, K., 2022, Assessing the Impact of China Shocks on Intra-ASEAN Trade, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 65: 101206.
Ando, M. and Hayakawa, K., 2022, Impact of COVID-19 on Trade in Services, Japan and the World Economy, 62: 101131.
Hayakawa, K. and Imai, K., 2022, Who Sends Me Face Masks? Evidence for the Impacts of COVID-19 on International Trade in Medical Goods, The World Economy, 45(2): 365-385.
Hayakawa, K., Ito, T., and Mukunoki, H., 2022, Lerner Meets Metzler: Tariff Pass-Through of Worldwide Trade, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 63: 101173.
Ando, M. and Hayakawa, K., 2022, Does the Import Diversity of Inputs Mitigate the Negative Impact of COVID-19 on Global Value Chains?, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 31(2): 299-320.
Hayakawa, K. and Keola, S., 2021, How Is the Asian Economy Recovering from COVID-19? Evidence from the Emissions of Air Pollutants, Journal of Asian Economics, 77: 101375.
Baek, Y., Hayakawa, K., Tsubota, K., Urata, S., and Yamanouchi, K., 2021, Tariff Pass-through in Wholesaling: Evidence from Firm-level Data in Japan, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 62: 101164.
Hayakawa, K., Ito, T., and Urata, S., 2021, Labor Market Impacts of Import Penetration from China and Regional Trade Agreement Partners: The Case of Japan, The Developing Economies, 59(3): 306–323.
Hayakawa, K., Ito, T., and Urata, S., 2021, Impacts of Increased Chinese Imports on Japan’s Labor Market, Japan and the World Economy, 59: 101087.
Hayakawa, K. and Mukunoki, H., 2021, Impacts of COVID-19 on Global Value Chains, The Developing Economies, 59(2): 154-177.
Keola, S. and Hayakawa, K., 2021, Does Lockdown Policy Reduce Economic and Social Activities?: Evidence from the Emission Amount of NO2, The Developing Economies, 59(2): 178-205.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., and Yoshimi, T., 2021, Tariff Scheme Choice, Review of World Economics,157: 323–346.
Hayakawa, K. and Mukunoki, H., 2021, Impacts of Lockdown Policies on International Trade, Asian Economic Papers, 20(2): 123–141.
Hayakawa, K. and Mukunoki, H., 2021, The Impacts of COVID-19 on International Trade: Evidence from the First Shock, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 60: 101135.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., and Matsuura, T., 2020, Do Regional Trade Agreements Really Help Global Value Chains Develop? Evidence from Thailand, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 58: 101092.
Hayakawa, K., Isono, I., and Kumagai, S., 2020, Transportation Costs in Archipelagos: Evidence from Indonesia, The Developing Economies, 58(3): 227-241.
Hayakawa, K., Ishikawa, J., and Tarui, N., 2020, What Goes Around Comes Around: Export-Enhancing Effects of Import-Tariff Reductions, Journal of International Economics, 126: 103362.
Hayakawa, K., 2020, Production Networks and Utilization of Free Trade Agreements by Japanese Subsidiaries in ASEAN, Public Policy Review, 16(1): 121-134.
Hayakawa, K., Mukunoki, H., and Yang, C., 2020, Liberalization for Services FDI and Export Quality: Evidence from China, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 55: 101060.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., Mukunoki, H., and Urata, S., 2019, Impact of Free Trade Agreement Use on Import Prices, World Bank Economic Review, 33(3): 643–660.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., and Yoshimi, T., 2019, How Does Import Processing Time Impact Export Patterns?, The World Economy, 42(7): 2070-2088.
Hayakawa, K., Urata, S., and Yoshimi, T., 2019, Choosing between Multiple Regional Trade Agreements: Evidence from Japan's Imports, Review of International Economics, 27(2): 578-593.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., and Laksanapanyakul, N., 2018, Measuring the Usage of Preferential Tariffs in the World, Review of World Economics, 154(4): 705-723.
Hayakawa, K. and Matsuura, T., 2017, FTA Use in Export-Platform FDI: Evidence from Export to China by Japanese Affiliates in ASEAN, Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, 34(2): 266-282.
Hayakawa, K., Ito, T., and Okubo, T., 2017, On the Stability of Intra-industry Trade, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 45: 1-12.
Hayakawa, K., Matsuura, T., and Takii, S., 2017, Does Trade Liberalization Boost Quality Upgrading? Evidence from Indonesian Plant-Product-Level Data, The Developing Economies, 55(3): 171-188.
Hayakawa, K. and Matsuura, T., 2017, Trade Liberalization, Market Share Reallocation, and Aggregate Productivity: The Case of the Indonesian Manufacturing Industry, The Developing Economies, 55(3): 230-249.
Hayakawa, K., Kim, H., and Yoshimi, T., 2017, Exchange Rate and Utilization of Free Trade Agreements: Focus on Rules of Origin, Journal of International Money and Finance, 75: 93-108
Hayakawa, K., 2017, “Domestic and International Border Effects: The Cases of China and Japan”, China Economic Review, 43: 118-126.
Hayakawa, K. and Laksanapanyakul, N., 2017, “Impacts of Common Rules of Origin on FTA Utilization”, International Economics and Economic Policy, 14(1): 75-90.
Hahn, C.H., Hayakawa, K., and Ito, T., 2016, “Managers’ Nationalities and FDI’s Productivity: Evidence from Korean Firm-level Data”, Industrial and Corporate Change, 25 (6): 941-953.
Hayakawa, K., Matsuura, T., and Motohashi, K., 2016, “How Does FDI Affect Productivity at Home?: Evidence from a Plant-level Analysis”, Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 16(4): 403-422.
Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., and Urata, S., 2016, “Measuring the Costs of FTA Utilization: Evidence from Transaction-Level Import Data of Thailand”, Review of World Economics, 152(3): 559-575.
Hayakawa, K., Ito, T., and Kimura, F., 2016, “Trade Creation Effects of Regional Trade Agreements: Tariff Reduction versus Non-tariff Barrier Removal”, Review of Development Economics, 20(1): 317-326.
Chala, B.W., Hayakawa, K., and Lee, H.H., 2015, “Financial Risk and Cross-border M&A”, Korea and the World Economy, 16(3): 311-344.
Hayakawa, K., Matsuura, T., and Okubo, F., 2015, “Firm-level Impacts of Natural Disasters on Production Networks: Evidence from a Flood in Thailand”, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 38: 244-259.
Hayakawa, K. and Kimura, F., 2015, “How Much Do Free Trade Agreements Reduce Impediments to Trade?”, Open Economies Review, 26(4):711-729.
Hayakawa, K., 2015, “Does Firm Size Matter in Exporting and Using FTA Schemes?”, Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 24(7): 883-905.
Hayakawa, K., 2015, “Impacts of FTA Utilization on Firm Performance”, B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, 15(3): 1325-1352.
Hayakawa, K. and Matsuura, T., 2015, “Trade Liberalization in Asia and FDI Strategies in Heterogeneous Firms: Evidence from Japanese Firm-level Data”, Oxford Economic Papers, 67(2): 494–513.
Yang, C.H. and Hayakawa, K., 2015, “Localization and Overseas R&D Activity: The Case of Taiwanese Multinational Enterprises in China”, R&D Management, 45(2): 181-195.
Chang, K. and Hayakawa, K., 2014, “Details in the China-Taiwan Free Trade Agreement”, Journal of Economic Integration, 29: 676-699.
Hayakawa, K., Kim, H., and Lee, H., 2014, “Determinants on Utilization of the Korea-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement: Margin Effect, Scale Effect, and ROO Effect”, World Trade Review, 13(3): 499 – 515.
Hayakawa, K., Lee, H., and Park, D., 2014, “Do Export Promotion Agencies Increase Exports?”, The Developing Economies, 52(3): 241–261.
Hayakawa, K., 2014, “Bilateral Tariff Rates in International Trade: Finished Goods versus Intermediate Goods”, International Economics and Economic Policy, 11(3): 353-370.
Hayakawa, K. and Tsubota, K., 2014, “Location Choice in Low-income Countries: Evidence from Japanese Investments in East Asia”, Journal of Asian Economics, 33: 30-43.
Chang, K., Hayakawa, K., Matsuura, T., 2014, “Location Choice of Multinational Enterprises in China: Comparison between Japan and Taiwan”, Papers in Regional Science, 93(3): 521-537.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., and Nabeshima, K., 2014, “Non-conventional Provisions in Regional Trade Agreements: Do They Enhance International Trade?”, Journal of Applied Economics, 17(1): 113-138.
Hayakawa, K., Lee, H., and Park, D., 2014, “Are Investment Promotion Agencies Effective in Promoting Outward Foreign Direct Investment?: The Cases of Japan and Korea”, Asian Economic Journal, 28(2): 111-138.
Hayakawa, K., 2014, “Impact of Diagonal Cumulation Rule on FTA Utilization: Evidence from Bilateral and Multilateral FTAs between Japan and Thailand”, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 32: 1–16.
Taguchi, H., Matsushima, D., and Hayakawa, K., 2014, “The Emerging Production Networks in Mekong Region”, International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 7(1): 18-35.
Hayakawa, K., Tanaka, K., and Ueki, Y., 2013, “Transport Modal Choice by Multinational Firms: Firm-level Evidence from Southeast Asia”, International Economic Journal, 27(4): 609-623.
Kumagai, S., Hayakawa, K., Isono, I., Keola, S., and Tsubota, K., 2013, “Geographical Simulation Analysis for Logistics Enhancement in Asia”, Economic Modelling, 34: 145–153.
Hayakawa, K., Hiratsuka, D., Shiino, K., and Sukegawa, S., 2013, “Who Uses Free Trade Agreements?”, Asian Economic Journal, 27(3): 245-264.
Hayakawa, K., Lee, H., and Park, D., 2013, “The Role of Home and Host Country Characteristics in FDI: Firm-Level Evidence from Japan, Korea and Taiwan”, Global Economic Review, 42(2): 99-112.
Hayakawa, K., 2013, “Does the Use of Multiple FTAs Force Firms to Raise Local Input Share?: Evidence of the Spaghetti Bowl Phenomenon”, Economic Modelling, 33: 458–461.
Hayakawa, K., Matsuura, T., Motohashi, K., and Obashi, A., 2013, “A Two-dimensional Analysis of the Impact of Outward FDI on Performance at Home: Evidence from Japanese Manufacturing Firm”, Japan and the World Economy, 27: 25-33.
Hayakawa, K., 2013, How Serious is the Omission of Bilateral Tariff Rates in Gravity?, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 27: 81-94.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., and Lee, H., 2013, “How Does Country Risk Matter for Foreign Direct Investment?”, The Developing Economies, 51(1): 60-78.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., and Machikita, T., 2012, “Globalization and Productivity: A Survey of Firm-level Analysis”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 26(2): 332-350.
Hayakawa, K. and Yamashita, N., 2011, The Role of Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) in Facilitating Global Production Networks, Journal of World Trade, 45(6):1183-1209.
Hayakawa, K., Ji, Z., and Obashi, A., 2011, “Spatial Distribution of Industrial Production: A Comparison of East Asia and Europe”, The Developing Economies, 49(4): 363-381.
Hayakawa, K., 2011, “Measuring Fixed Costs for Firms’ Use of a Free Trade Agreement: Threshold Regression Approach”, Economics Letters, 113(3): 301-303.
Hayakawa, K. and Matsuura, T., 2011, “Complex Vertical FDI and Firm Heterogeneity: Evidence from East Asia”, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 25(3): 273-289.
Hayakawa, K., 2010, “The Choice of Transport Mode: Evidence from Japanese Exports to East Asia”, Journal of the Korean Economy, 11(1): 195-209.
Chang, Kuo-I. and Hayakawa, K., 2010, “Border Barriers in Agricultural Trade and the Impact of their Elimination: Evidence from East Asia”, The Developing Economies, 48(2): 232-246.
Hayakawa, K. and Kimura, F., 2009, “The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on International Trade in East Asia”, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 23(4): 395-406.
Chang, K-I., Hayakawa, K., and Lee, H-H., 2008, “The Influence of Cultural Factors on Trade in Agricultural Products”, Journal of the Korean Economy, 9(2): 179-207.
Kimura, F., Hayakawa, K., and Ji, Z., 2008, “Does International Fragmentation Occur in Sectors Other Than Machinery?”, Asian Economic Journal, 22(4): 343-358.
Kimura, F., Hayakawa, K., and Ji, Z., 2008, “Are Korean Firms Doing Well? Evidence from Shandong Province in China”, Journal of the Korean Economy, 9(1): 63-88.
Hayakawa, K., 2007, “Growth of Intermediate Goods Trade in East Asia”, Pacific Economic Review, 12(4): 511-523.
Chang, Kuo-I and Hayakawa, K., 2007, “Was Agricultural Protection Reduced after the Uruguay Round?: Evidence from East Asia”, Economic Bulletin, 14(1): 1-8.
Hayakawa, K., 2007, “Measuring Barriers to International Division of Labor in East Asia”, Asian Economic Journal, 21(2): 139–153.
Kimura, F., Takahashi, Y., and Hayakawa, K., 2007, “Fragmentation and Parts and Components Trade: Comparison between East Asia and Europe”, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 18(1): 23-40.
Book Chapters
Hayakawa, K. and Matsuura, T., 2010, “Complex FDI in Japanese Multinationals”, In: Hiratsuka, D., Uchida, Y. (Eds.), Input Trade and Production Networks in East Asia, Edward Elgar 107-123.
Hayakawa, K., 2011, “The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Factory Asia”, In: Satoshi Inomata (Eds.), Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis: The Transmission Mechanism of Financial Shocks, Edward Elgar, 125-143.
Hayakawa, K. and Matsuura, T., 2012, “The Role of Market Potential in Location Choice: Evidence from Japanese Investment”, In: Urata, S., Hahn, C.H., Narjoko, D. (Eds.), Economic Consequences of Globalization: Evidence from East Asia, Routledge, 169-189.
Keola, S., Hayakawa, K., and Tanaka, K., 2012, “Economic Integration and Industrial Location in Laos: How Has Border Mattered?”, In: Kuroiwa, I. (Eds.), Economic Integration and the Location of Industries: The Case of Less Developed East Asian Countries, Palgrave Macmillan, 121-149.
Hayakawa, K., Keola, S., and Tanaka, K., 2012, “Location Choice of Multinational Firms in CLMV Countries”, In: Kuroiwa, I. (Eds.), Economic Integration and the Location of Industries: The Case of Less Developed East Asian Countries, Palgrave Macmillan, 175-199.