Research

Working papers /In progress

Individual pay for collective performance and deforestation: evidence from Brazil, (with P.Y.Wong, L. Anderson, T., A. Pessoa, and T. Harding), January 2024,
- - - Policy impact: "Protecting the People and the Forest: Bolsa Verde, Brazil", Oxfam's case studies, Oxfam, 2020
Global Warming Cools Voters Down: How Climate Concerns Affect Policy Preferences (with M. Cotofan and K. Matakos), CEP Discussion paper, April 2024
- - - Media: KCL's blog: Climate change could have significant impact on voter behaviour
Estimating the long term health consequences of nuclear tests in Kazakhstan (with C. Rienzo and P.Y. Wong), May 2024
After the Flood: Housing market liquidity and house prices (with A. Beltran and E. Tipoe), May 2024
Local Elections in England (2002-2018): Austerity, Floods, and Political Dynamics (with A. Beltran and L. Bernard)

Sustainable finance: the rise of the "E" in ESG (with A. W. Chalmers, R. Klingler-Vidra, D. Aikman, and T. Foreman), Global Policy, February 2023.
Blockchain's potential in forest offsets, the voluntary carbon markets and REDD+ (with G. Kotsialou and T. Laing), Environmental Conservation, 2022, 1-9.
- - - working paper version: Forest carbon offsets market over a smart ledger, October 2021
    - Commentary: Building the potential of blockchain in voluntary carbon markets, May 2022
Commodity Prices and Robust Environmental Regulation: Evidence from Deforestation in Brazil (with T. Harding, and J. Herzberg), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2021, volume 108, July
- - - Media: KCL's summary
To Build or not to Build? Capital stocks and climate policy, (with E. Baldwin and Y. Cai), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2020, volume 100, March, 1-24.

Environmental taxation, employment and public spending in developing countries, Environmental and Resource Economics, 2019, 72(4), 877-912.
Characterising green employment: The impacts of ‘greening’ on workforce composition, (with A. Bowen and E. Tipoe), Energy Economics, 2018, 72, 263 – 275
- - - Media: Commentary; Vice Media; Formiche
    - Policy: Office for National Statistics
Unemployment, rural-urban migration and environmental regulation, Review of Development Economics, 2018, 22(2), 507 – 539
Windfalls, Structural Transformation and Specialization, (with R. Stefanski), Journal of International Economics, 2013, 90(2), 273 – 301.
Optimal fiscal policy and different degrees of access to international capital markets, Journal of Development Economics, 2013, 103, 336 – 352.
Inflation persistence and exchange rate regime: Implications for dynamic adjustment to shocks in a small open economy, Journal of Macroeconomics, 2011, 33(2), 193 – 205.
Shocks to Terms of Trade and Risk-premium in an Intertemporal Model: The Dutch Disease and a Dutch Party, (with D. Vines), Open Economies Review, 2008, 19(3), 277 – 303.
Energy and the environment in Kazakhstan, Energy Policy, (with C. Dahl), 2001, 29(6), 429 – 440.

“Kazakhstan: public saving and private investment” (with A. Esanov), in, Plundered Nations? Successes and Failures in Natural Resource Extraction, editors Paul Collier and Anthony J. Venables, Palgrave Macmillan

Investment and Profits after the Great Recession (with F. Tomas-Valiente Jorda), December 2021
The Effects of Land Use Regulation on Deforestation: Evidence from the Brazilian Amazon, with L. Anderson, S. De Martino, and A. Lima, OxCarre wp, April 2016
Is Kazakhstan vulnerable to Dutch Disease?, with A. Kutan and M. Wyzan, ZEI Working Papers B 29-2001, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.