Refereed Publication
Reproducibility and Robustness of Economics and Political Science Research (with Brodeur et al., see full list of authors on pages 2-3)., Nature (2026), April 2026, Vol. 652, Issue 8108: p. 151-156, DOI
"Household benefits from energy efficiency retrofits: Implications for net zero housing policy", with Nicholas Rivers and Maya Papineau. Energy Economics (2025): 108245
Media coverage and blog posts:
“Conditional demand analysis as a tool to evaluate energy policy options on the path to grid decarbonization” (with Maya Papineau, Guy R. Newsham, and Sarah Brice), Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Volume 149, October 2021
Work In Progress
Abstract
This paper studies the spatial peer effects generated by Canada’s largest home
energy efficiency retrofit program and its impact on energy consumption within
a city in the Prairie provinces. Utilizing a decade of monthly data on energy
consumption, tax assessments, program participation, and house audits in the city,
I show that close neighbors to energy efficiency retrofitted homes reduce their
monthly natural gas and electricity consumption by an average of 2.4% and 1%
respectively. Estimates using three different comparison groups yield similar results.
Visible retrofits like windows, doors, and exterior wall insulation have a three-and a-
half times stronger impact on peer energy savings than less visible retrofits like
natural gas furnace upgrades. Further, the effect diminishes as the distance to
neighbors increases.
“Outdoor Temperature and Indoor Productivity in an Archetypal Service Sector Task: Evidence from the Filling in of 29,890 Forms” (with A. Heyes). Draft available upon request.
Abstract
Amid the rising concerns of climate change, it is important to understand how economies function at higher outdoor temperature. Evidence show that labor productivity in the manufacturing sector declines on hot days. We extend this research agenda to common work tasks in the service sector. We test the effect of outdoor temperature on the time taken to complete household questionnaire. Data is drawn from India Human Development Survey (IHDS) 29,890 interviews executed by 204 field-workers. In our preferred specification which includes spatial, temporal, and interviewer fixed effects, and controls for various potential confounders, the coefficient on temperature is a precisely-estimated zero in climate-protected and unprotected homes. We rule out effects on interview duration bigger than an increase of 2 percent in response to 10°C increase in maximum temperature on the day of the interview with 95% assurance.
Working Papers
Abstract
In this study, we develop a framework to formalize the concept of hassle costs in a utility maximization framework. First, we relate hassle costs to the shadow cost of leisure. Second, we propose an experimental procedure to elicit the distribution of marginal hassle cost in sample population. Third, we implement and validate our approach in a large-scale field experiment promoting the adoption of heat pump technology. One important set of goals of this study is to increase home energy retrofit adoption and identify barriers in this context. The retrofits we will focus on are heat pumps. We intend to carry a household mailer campaign in which the mailers would include the value of available rebates and benefits of heat pumps and also make use of a survey to quantify hassle costs that may impede heat pump uptake. The main contribution of this research is providing a quantification of the marginal hassle cost associated with the increase in the adoption of low-carbon technologies.
“Realized Savings from Canada’s Energy Codes” (with A. Alekhanova and M. Papineau). Carleton Economic Working Papers CEWP 23-01.
Abstract
We assess realized energy and air leakage changes in homes constructed before versus after new building energy code adoptions in three Canadian provinces: Ontario, New Brunswick, and Alberta. We find no energy or air leakage reductions attributable to more stringent code requirements. We find no evidence that natural gas consumption declined among houses built up to five years before or five years after a code change in Alberta and Ontario. The estimated savings are also not in line with ex-ante engineering predictions of energy savings. Instead, a generalized improvement in residential electricity consumption and air leakage rates is observable at least three to five years before any new code adoptions, depending on the province. These pre-existing trends in electricity consumption and air leakage may point to changes in building industry practice preceding new building code adoptions, though further investigation is required to assess the drivers of these changes.
Other publication and media:
"Assessing Residential Deep Energy Retrofit Performance Based on Resilience to Future Weather Conditions" (With Myles F. Zagar, Cynthia A. Cruickshank, Daniel Chung, Maya Papineau). ASHRAE. Digital Object Identifier (DOI): https://doi.org/10.63044/b16zag50
"Many Canadian households are being shortchanged from retrofit programs — this needs to change" (with Nicholas Rivers and Maya Papineau). The Conversation, published: February 12, 2025.
"Yellow vests, pessimistic beliefs, and carbon tax aversion (2022): A comment" (with Nicholas Rivers and Matt Woerman). I4R Discussion Paper No. 58. 2023.
“Increasing Provincial Offences Act Fine Payments: Field-Experimental Evidence from York Region, (with A. Brodeur and Ontario’s Behavioral Insights Unit )
“Application of Non-Quantitative Game Theory to Investigate the Nile Basin Conflict”, ACEEES Specific Interdisciplinary Research Report, Japan, 2016
“Coalition Analysis in the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution, case study on the Egyptian Revolution 2011”, TokyoTech annual Poster booklet, Japan, 2014