Research
Download my CV here
Peer-Reviewed Publications
Bennett, Julie; Owyang, Michael T.; and Vermann, E. Katarina. "Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Third Quarter 2021, pp. 289-314. https://doi.org/10.20955/r.103.289-314
Bennett, Julie; Owyang, Michael T. "On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Second Quarter 2022, pp. 131-48. https://doi.org/10.20955/r.104.131-48
Works in Progress
“Asymmetric Loss and Breakeven Inflation Forecasts” with Michael Owyang
“MLB Fan Attendance Trends During the Steroid Era” with David Martin
St. Louis Fed Publications
“FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations” (with Michael Owyang), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, July 2022.
“What do Financial Markets Say About Future Inflation,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, June 2022.
“The Large Gap in Stock Market Participation Between Black and White Households,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopsis, March 2022.
“Breaking Down the Contributors to High Inflation,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, March 2022.
“Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions,” (with Michael Owyang and Ana Galvao), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, May 2021.
“What Drives Changes in Inflation?” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, May 2021.
“State Government Expenditures by Party Affiliation,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, Q2 2021.
“Are State Political Leanings and Government Spending Correlated?” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, April 2021.
“How Well Do Consumers Forecast Inflation?” (with Michael Owyang), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, March 2021.
“More Households Face Food Scarcity During COVID-19,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, June 2020.
“The Value of $600 Across States Hit Hardest by COVID-19,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, April 2020.
“Will Workers Want To Be Laid Off?” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, April 2020.
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“The Wage Bills of COVID-19,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, April 2020.
“COVID-19: What do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth?” (with Michael Owyang and Hannah Shell), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, March 2020.
“What are Americans Consuming More Of?” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On the Economy Blogpost, March 2020.
“Same Target, Different Economies: A Cross-Country Analysis of Inflation,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, Q1 2020.
“Decomposing the Low PCE Inflation Rate,” (with YiLi Chien), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, October 2019.
RA Support
Bokun, Kathryn O.; Jackson, Laura E., Kliesen, Kevin L., and Owyang, Michael T. “FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications.” International Journal of Forecasting, January-March 2023, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 279-297 .
Owyang, Michael T.; Shell, Hannah; and Soques, Daniel. “The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2022-037A, November 2022.