• Older Individual's Labour Force Participation during COVID-19 ( Journal of the Economics of Ageing, vol. 30)  Job Market Paper 

Abstract 

COVID-19 significantly changed the labour participation rates of older Canadians, leading to substantial flows among employment, unemployment, marginal attachment, and non-attachment. Using the Canadian Labour Force Survey, this paper examines the impact of these flows on the participation rates of older individuals and explores whether COVID-19 prompted early retirements. Unlike the Great Recession, the pandemic caused significant direct separations from employment to non-participation. Additionally, older women experienced slower participation rate recovery than men due to higher outflows and lower inflows. Notably, many individuals who initially became non-attached to the labour force in early 2020 transitioned back to employment in the following months of the same year. Generally, the pandemic did not increase older individuals' self-reported retirement transitions and reduced their probability of staying non-attached to the labour market. 

• Why don't firms hire young workers during recessions? A replication of Eliza Forsythe (Economic Journal, 2022), with Jonathan Créchet, Barbara Sabada and Antoine Sawyer (Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics, Conditionally accepted) working paper Replication Link

Abstract 

We replicate results of Forsythe (2022) studying the cyclicality of individuals' labor market transitions conditional on their experience. Using Current Population Survey (CPS) data and state-level variations in the unemployment rate, this paper shows that the hiring probability of youths is more sensitive to business-cycle conditions than for experienced individuals. We replicate the key results in this paper by reconstructing the dataset using the IPUMS-CPS database (Flood et al. (2020)) and recoding the main regressions from scratch. We also conduct a robustness replicability analysis and show that the paper's main results are robust in terms of statistical significance to (i) extending the sample period from 1994-2014 to 1994-2019 and (ii) using Metropolitan statistical area (MSA) level unemployment variation instead of state-level variation. These extensions reduce the magnitude of the main effects of interest, but the paper's key conclusions are unaffected.

• The Cyclicality of Hiring, Separation and Hiring Wage across Experience and Tenure Levels (SSRN Working Paper No. 4954019) working paper 

Abstract 

This paper examines the cyclicality of worker flows across different experience and tenure levels in Canada. Utilizing data from the Labour Force Survey, this study estimates how individual job-finding, separation probability and wage being hired vary over business cycles, conditional on labour-market experience and job tenure. The results indicate that the job-finding and separation rates are more sensitive to business cycles for younger workers. This paper finds that experience is a major contributor to the cyclical fluctuations in employer-to-employer probabilities, whereas tenure is a major contributor to the cyclicality of employment-to-nonemployment probabilities. Furthermore, tenure does not explain the cyclicality of hiring wages for those transitioning from another job or from non-participation, but it does for those hired from unemployment. Although young workers are often hired at lower wages during economic downturns, their wage growth following job-to-job transitions does not seem to be disproportionately affected.

• The Gender Unemployment Gap in Canada (SSRN Working Paper No. 5056191) working paper

Abstract 

In Canada, the gender unemployment gap—defined as women's unemployment rates minus men's unemployment rates—was positive before 1990 but has remained negative since then. This paper decomposes the gender unemployment gap into contributions from gender differences in transition flows between employment, unemployment, and non-participation. The results show that gender differences in flows between employment and non-participation have been positive contributors to the gap over time, while gender differences in employment-to-unemployment flows have been a significant negative contributor. Over the decades, the contribution of flows between employment and non-participation has decreased, which reflects a convergence in women’s labour attachment toward men’s. As employment-to-unemployment flows continue to contribute negatively to the gap, the diminishing contribution of flows between employment and non-participation explains the flip of the gender unemployment gap from positive to negative. Furthermore, I find that differences in industry and occupation composition play a significant role in explaining the gender difference in employment-to-unemployment transition rates.

Work In Progress

• The Presence of Leisure Complementarity in Added Worker Effect 

• Should Thank-you Calls Facilitate Donation Retention, with Winggie Tian 

• Inherited Inequality? Intergenerational Origins of Earnings Gaps among Second-Generation Immigrants, with Yani Zhang 

Pre-Doctorial Researches