Working papers
Belief Granularity, Market Liquidity and Price Efficiency, with David Storey
(Draft available upon request)
Presentations: FMA Asia 2025, Warwick Business School
Abstract
We model investors’ decisions to use coarse thinking to process information and the effects of this on asset markets. Agents with weak priors may choose to pool together their signals across assets to mitigate the problem of overfitting. This model of coarse information processing helps explain features of return comovement in markets that are hard to explain with existing models based on rational expectations or limited attention. Theoretically and empirically, we demonstrate a link between return comovement and return predictability.
(Draft available upon request)
Presentations: Market Microstructure Summer School 2024, Warwick Business School
Abstract
This paper studies whether liquidity fragmentation across multiple liquidity pools within a blockchainbased decentralised exchange is welfare beneficial, and whether such fragmentation can emerge endogenously. Fragmentation does not arise in a frictionless decentralised exchange. The presence of front-running attacks drives fragmentation under a game-theoretical framework where liquidity providers compete in creating new liquidity pools for higher liquidity-provision payoff. Fragmentation benefits liquidity traders by allowing them to split trades across more pools, thereby decreasing exposure to front-running. Additionally, we characterise the level of stable fragmentation and transaction fees in equilibrium, in the sense that no liquidity provider has an incentive to deviate by creating additional pools (with any level of transaction fees).