Publications (peer-reviewed)
"Revisiting the effects of exchange and capital restrictions on trade" (with R. Campos, J. Estefania-Flores, D. Furceri),2024, Journal of Policy Modeling, forthcoming.
"Geopolitical fragmentation and trade" (with R. Campos, J. Estefania-Flores, D. Furceri),2023, Journal of Comparative Economics, 51:1289-1315.
VoxEU version here
"Autarky in Franco's Spain: the costs of a closed economy" (with R. Campos and I. Reggio), 2023, Economic History Review, 76:1259-1280.
"Revisiting the ‘Cobden-Chevalier network’ trade and welfare effects", 2023, Explorations in Economic History, 89:101480.
Suerf Policy Brief version here
"Unequal trade, unequal gains: the heterogeneous impact of MERCOSUR" (with R. Campos), 2022, Applied Economics, 54:5655-5669
"A highway across the Atlantic? Trade and welfare effects of the EU-Mercosur Agreement" (with F. Viani), 2022, International Economics, 169:291-308
"The heterogeneous effects of trade agreements with labor provisions" (with N. Cortinovis and F. Lopez-Vicente), 2022, The World Economy, 45(9):2820-2853.
"Structural gravity and trade agreements: does the measurement of domestic trade matter?" (with R. Campos and E. Vidal), 2021, Economics Letters, 208:110080
"Trade Agreements and Latin American trade (creation and diversion) and welfare" (with A. El Dahrawy Sanchez-Albornoz), 2021, The World Economy, 44(7):2004-2040.
"The drivers of Italian exports and product market entry: 1862-1913", 2021, European Review of Economic History, 25(3):513-548.
"Staying dry on Spanish wine: The rejection of the 1905 Spanish-Italian trade agreement", 2020, European Journal of Political Economy, 63:101892
“Chinese exports and non-tariff measures: Testing for heterogeneous effects at the product level” (with M. Conesa), 2019, Journal of Economic Integration, 34(2):327-345.
"Currency unions and heterogeneous trade effects: the case of the Latin Monetary Union", 2018, European Review of Economic History, 22(3):322-348.
Work in progress / Working papers
"The economic consequences of geopolitical fragmentation: Evidence from the Cold War" (with R. Campos and B. Heid).
"ge_gravity2: a command to solve universal gravity models" (with R. Campos and I. Reggio).
"Geopolitical alliances and trade" (with R. Campos). Work in progress
"On the welfare costs of import substitution" (with R. Campos and I. Reggio). Work in progress
"How far has globalization gone? A tale of two regions" (with R. Campos and S. Pienknagura). Banco de España - Documentos de Trabajo N.º 2329
"Star wars - Return of the GATT/WTO trade effect" (with R. Campos, M. Larch, E. Vidal and Y. Yotov). Work in progress
"The costs of trade wars: Evidence from the late 19th century" (with R. Campos, M. Gomellini, and I. Reggio). Work in progress
"Are long lasting (trade) relationship a thing of the past?" (with W.F. Hungerland). Work in progress
Other publications (Policy, book reviews, etc.)
"An extended Debt Sustainability Analysis framework for Latin American economies" (with I. Kataryniuk, E. Martinez-Casillas, R. Lorenzo). Banco de España Occasional Paper Series n.2412, May.
Contribution in D. Ioannou and J.J. Pérez (eds.), 2023, “The EU's Open Strategic Autonomy from a central banking perspective”, ECB Occasional Paper Series n.311, March.
"Latin America and the Caribbean: trade relations in the face of global geopolitical fragmentation risks", (with R. Campos), Economic Bullettin – Banco de España, 1/2023.
"El acuerdo comercial UE-MERCOSUR y su impacto sobre las emisiones de CO2" (with M. Suarez-Varela and R. Campos), Economic Bullettin – Banco de España, 1/2022.
Contribution in ECB IRC Brexit Task Force, 2020, "A review of economic analyses on the potential impact of Brexit", ECB Occasional Paper Series n.249, October.
“El tratado de libre comercio entre la UE y el Mercosur: principales elementos e impacto económico” (with F. Viani), Economic Bullettin – Banco de España, 1/2020.
"An estimation of the effects of Brexit on trade and migration" (with R. Campos), 2019, Banco de España Occasional Paper n.1912, May.
"El impacto de China sobre América Latina: los canales comerciales y de inversión directa extranjera" (with A. El-Dahrawy Sanchez-Albornoz), 2019, Economic Bullettin - Banco de España.
Book Review:"Marc Flandreau, Anthropologists in the stock exchange: A financial history of Victorian science, Chicago, Chicago University Press, 2016, 416 pp.", 2019, Revista de Historia Industrial, vol.28 n.75:189-191.
"Argentina: Los retos económicos frente a un entorno internacional adverso" (with X. Serra, J. Estefania and E. Martinez-Casillas), 2018, Economic Bullettin - Banco de España.
Contribution in A. Dieppe, R. Gilhooly, J. Han, I. Korhonen and D. Lodge (eds.), 2018, “The transition of China to sustainable growth - implications for the global economy and the euro area”, ECB Occasional Paper Series n.206, January.
"Los desequilibrios económicos de China y el papel del sector financiero", 2017, Economic Bulletin - Banco de España.