Working Papers

Tax Avoidance Through Business Assets: Evidence from the Spanish Inheritance Tax (Draft coming soon!)

This paper studies tax-minimizing behavior of wealthy individuals in Spain. Drawing on the universe of inheritance tax returns filed in Catalonia, I study tax-minimizing strategies to an increase in the effective tax rates faced by heirs at the top 5% of the inheritance distribution. To identify causal effects, I use a difference-in-difference design comparing wealthy descendants to spouse inheritors who were barely affected by the policy change. After the tax reform, wealthy descendants inherit a higher fraction of tax-favoured assets and report lower taxable inheritances. This shift in the asset composition of inheritances is explained by a sharp increase in the proportion of wealthy descendants inheriting equity shares in family businesses. The rise in equity shares is not mirrored by a parallel increase in real assets needed to operate a business, suggesting that wealthy testators create family business to relabel financial or/and real estate assets into business wealth by using these assets as paid-in capital. The change in the asset composition of inheritances accounts for 52% of the forgone tax revenue associated with the behavioral responses elicited by the reform.

Presented at: CESIfo Area Conference on Public Economics (March 2024), KOF Seminar ETH Zurich*  (April 2024), IIPF Annual Congress* (August 2024)

The Effects of Inheritance Taxation on Wealth Mobility: Lessons from Spain [Draft]

This paper studies the impact of inheritance taxation on intragenerational wealth mobility. To do so, I exploit rich variation in tax rates across Spanish regions resulting from the decentralization of this tax to regional governments. Using household panel data from the Spanish Survey of Household Finances, I document that higher inheritance taxes significantly and persistently reduce heirs’ wealth mobility at the lower part of the net wealth distribution. These wealth mobility responses to higher taxes are explained by less wealthy heirs decreasing their financial wealth and increasing their personal credit debt. Liquidity constraints and some particularities of the tax enforcement help rationalize the rise in personal credit debt at the time of the tax payment. Illiquidity of inheritances helps explain the lasting negative effects of taxes on bottom-wealth mobility, as delays in selling inherited real estate amplify the negative effects of taxes on personal credit debt and financial wealth of less wealthy heirs. 


Media: Spanish [Nada es Gratis] [El Confidencial]

Presented at: Essex PhD Conference in Applied Economics (March 2023), IEB EU Tax Observatory Workshop on The Economics of Taxation (May 2023), Lofoten International Symposium on Inequality and Taxation (June 2023), EEA-ESEM 2023 (August 2023), Madrid Public Economics Workshop (September 2023), 5th Swiss Workshop on Local Public Finance and Regional Economics (October, 2023)

Female Financial Portfolio Choices and Marital Property Regimes [Draft] (submitted)

with Lidia Cruces and Susana Párraga

Best Paper Award Antonio Dionis 2023 (IEA)

Previously circulated as When Wives Command: Household Financial Portfolio Choices and Marital Property Regime 

This paper studies the relationship between married couples’ portfolio choices and property division rules. Using rich household survey data, we exploit the regional variation in marital laws in Spain to estimate the causal effects of property division rules on household financial investment. We find that separate-property couples hold riskier financial portfolios than community-property ones when wives lead household finances. To rationalize this gap in risky assets holdings, we develop a financial portfolio choice model where couples are subject to divorce risk but differ in their property division rule and the gender of the spouse making financial decisions. A model featuring sufficiently high dissolution costs of marital assets for community-property wives can replicate the empirical estimates. High dissolution costs of marital assets upon divorce reduce the outside option for community-property spouses, encouraging precautionary savings in the form of safe assets during marriage compared to their separate-property counterparts who bear no cost. Higher partner savings transfers in divorce attenuate this mechanism, while low-income levels reinforce it.

Publications

The Sentimental Propagation of Lottery Winnings: Evidence from the Spanish Christmas Lottery 

With Evi Pappa and Morteza Ghomi; [Paper][Final WP] [Online App] Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 143, 103-525, April 2024

We exploit the Spanish Christmas lottery and consumer confidence survey data to investigate the impact of highly geographically clustered lottery winnings on consumer sentiment and durable consumption. Albeit not receiving lottery prizes, consumers in winning provinces become significantly more optimistic about the Spanish macroeconomic conditions than those living elsewhere. This variation in sentiment is shown to be orthogonal to changes in regional fundamentals and leads to a rise in spending intentions. Young, less educated, low-income, and unemployed individuals react stronger to the lottery shock. At the regional level, lottery wins significantly increase car licenses, reduce unemployment, and intensify job creation and prices.


Media: English [VoxEU Column] ; Spanish [Nada es Gratis] [Cinco Días]