Hey, it's 2025! Bitcoin is worth $96,000, and the markets are very excited about what could happen. Today is the first day of what could be a very important year for cryptocurrencies: 2025. Let us look more closely at the key levels to watch, the trends, and the facts from the past. This update will help you find your way around the exciting (and sometimes uncertain) world of Bitcoin, whether you're an experienced investor or a beginner.
Rates of Return: At the end of Q4 2024, Bitcoin was up 47%, which was another green quarter in line with past cycles. Ethereum had a good end to the year as well.
Returns Every Month: December went down a little, ending at -2.85%, but this is normal for December because it usually goes down a little.
In Bitcoin's four-year pattern, January and February have been mixed in the past, but the first quarter tends to be positive. In 2017 and 2021, bull runs started with strong Q1 results.
The Window for the Bull Market
The last time Bitcoin was halved was in April 2024, which is now 8 months ago. In the past, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have seen their biggest gains 12 to 18 months after a split. If things keep going this way, the next three to four months could be the best of this cycle.
Important Point:
You might want to take profits and protect your initial capital if the market goes up. After a bull run, markets often go into a bear phase that lasts for 12 months and prices drop by 80–99%.
Possible Pullback Scenarios to Keep an Eye On:
BTC could fall to $73,000, which is a key support level marked by the 50-week moving average. The bull trend would still be in place, and this could pave the way for more gains later in 2025.
Altcoin Rally:
This cycle hasn't seen the usual explosive rise of altcoins yet. Ethereum hasn't hit its all-time high yet, and a lot of other coins are still in the "accumulation" phase. Even if Bitcoin slows down in the next few months, there could be a big altcoin rise.
Long-Term Bull Market:
If Bitcoin trends like it has in the past, the market could reach its highest point in October or November 2025, 18 months after the split. This is what has happened in the past, and it would give growth more time.
Bitcoin's all-time high of $108,000 in December is a key mark of resistance. If prices rise back to this level, it could mean that they will go up even more.
A key line to hold for the bull trend to continue is $73,000, which is backed by the 50-week moving average.
RSI Difference: Bearish RSI divergence is a sign of caution because it usually comes before short-term drops.
The Plan for Moving Forward
No one can say for sure what will happen in the market, but it is very important to have a plan.
Be ready for both good and bad things to happen.
If Bitcoin falls to $73,000, you should decide whether to add to your stake or spread your money out.
Altcoins may present big chances in the near future, so keep an eye on them.
Last Thoughts
This bull run could end in the next few months. You will stay ahead of the game if you stay aware and have a clear plan, even if Bitcoin hits new highs or temporarily pulls back.
What do you think? Should we expect a bull or bear market? Tell us what you think in the comments, and don' forget to join to get more news!