Artificial Intelligence
AI at Work: Task Capabilities and Occupational Exposure
December 2025
ADAPT: A Phased Plan for AI-Era Labor Displacement
August 2025 – Selected for the Anthropic Economic Futures Symposium
Monetary Policy
Look Out for Outlook-at-Risk with Nina Boyarchenko, Richard K. Crump, and Leonardo Elias
May 2023 – Liberty Street Economics
What is "Outlook-at-Risk"? with Nina Boyarchenko, Richard K. Crump, and Leonardo Elias
February 2023 – Liberty Street Economics