HUNG TRUONG

Welcomes!

I am currently an SSHRC Fellow (Canada CPRA) at the University of Ottawa, having completed my Ph.D. in Economics at Simon Fraser University in 2025. My research focuses on behavioral macroeconomics, especially how households’ and firms’ macroeconomic perceptions and expectations shape their decisions. I use household survey data, laboratory experiments, and learning algorithms to study macroeconomic dynamics and policy alternatives. [Curriculum Vitae].

Publications

Anchored or Adrift? A Note on Measuring Inflation Expectations Anchoring. Forthcoming at Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. Joint with Dr. KOSTYSHYNA Olena (Bank of Canada) and Prof. SALLE Isabelle (uOttawa, Amsterdam School of Economics and Tinbergen Institute). [WP PDF].

Working papers

Heterogeneity in the Formation of Inflation Expectations: Evidence From Micro Data (JMP). [PDF]. Joint with Dr. KOSTYSHYNA Olena and Prof. SALLE Isabelle.

Supersedes "Anchored Inflation Expectations: What Recent Data Reveal." [Bank of Canada's Staff Working Paper (2025)].

History-dependent monetary policy: a lab experiment and a HENK model. Revised & Resubmitted at Experimental Economics. [Revised version (2025)] [Codes]. Joint with Prof. ARIFOVIC Jasmina (Simon Fraser University) and Prof. SALLE Isabelle.

Works in progress

Recession scarring and expectations: Evidence from the lab. Draft available soon.
Macroeconomic literacy and expectations. 2026 draft available soon. Joint with MIRDAMADI Michael (Stat Can) and Prof. PETERSEN Luba (Simon Fraser University & NBER).

Heterogeneity in Expectations: Empirical and Experimental Evidence. Joint with Prof. SALLE Isabelle.

The effects of initial information on expectations: An exploration-exploitation behavioral framework. [PDF].

Other research contributions

Reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science research (2026). Nature, 652(8108), 151-156. [Link]. A meta-project joint with BRODEUR, A., MIKOLA, D., COOK, N., and many others.

Binary or nonbinary? An evolutionary learning approach to gender identity (2020). [PDF].

Updates

2026

I am going to present at the 2026 Asia Meeting of the Econometric Society in Ha Noi in August.

I am going to present at the CMSG Inflation Session at the 60th Annual Meetings of the Canadian Economics Association in Vancouver in May.

2025

I am joining the Department of Economics at University of Ottawa this September 2025 as a Postdoctoral and Teaching Fellow under Prof. and Canada Research Chair Isabelle Salle.

I will visit Amsterdam School of Economics in April 2025.

I will present my thesis 3rd chapter at the Barcelona School of Economics Summer Forum 2025 in Barcelona in June 2025.

2023

I will present at the CIREQ's 1st Interdisciplinary PhD Student Conference on Big Data and Artificial Intelligence at McGill University, Montreal.

I will attend the 2023 NBER Heterogeneous-Agent Macro Workshop at Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Our research for implementing price-level targeting has been accepted for the 2023 World Economic Science Association Meeting in Lyon, France.

Photo taken at Whistler, BC; 2,133 meters above sea level.

Publications

Anchored or Adrift? A Note on Measuring Inflation Expectations Anchoring. Forthcoming at Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. Joint with Dr. KOSTYSHYNA Olena (Bank of Canada) and Prof. SALLE Isabelle (uOttawa, Amsterdam School of Economics and Tinbergen Institute). [WP PDF].

Working papers

Heterogeneity in the Formation of Inflation Expectations: Evidence From Micro Data (JMP). [PDF]. Joint with Dr. KOSTYSHYNA Olena and Prof. SALLE Isabelle.

History-dependent monetary policy: a lab experiment and a HENK model. Revised & Resubmitted at Experimental Economics. [Revised version (2025)] [Codes]. Joint with Prof. ARIFOVIC Jasmina (Simon Fraser University) and Prof. SALLE Isabelle.

Works in progress

Recession scarring and expectations: Evidence from the lab. Draft available soon.

Macroeconomic literacy and expectations. 2026 draft available soon. Joint with MIRDAMADI Michael (Stat Can) and Prof. PETERSEN Luba (Simon Fraser University & NBER).

Heterogeneity in Expectations: Empirical and Experimental Evidence. Joint with Prof. SALLE Isabelle.

The effects of initial information on expectations: An exploration-exploitation behavioral framework. [PDF].

Other research contributions

Reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science research (2026). Nature, 652(8108), 151-156. [Link]. A meta-project joint with BRODEUR, A., MIKOLA, D., COOK, N., and many others.

Binary or nonbinary? An evolutionary learning approach to gender identity (2020). [PDF].