Published in Peer-Reviewed Journals
National Institutions and Regional Development at Borders: Evidence from the Americas. Applied Economics. 2021.
With Francisco Gallego, Cristóbal Otero & Alejandro Sanz.
Abstract:
This paper explores how discontinuities created by national borders can influence development across the Americas. We exploit the discontinuous nature of borders jointly with exogenous variation at the national level to identify discontinuous effects on proxies for economic development at the regional and pixel levels. We separate the effects of national institutions from local historical conditions. Our analysis yields three main findings. First, we find important discontinuities in development across national borders for the Americas. Second, we also show that they are, for the most part, caused by institutional differences at the national level and not for differences at the regional level in geography, climate, endowments, and pre-colonization conditions. Third, we also present evidence that differences in national institutions affect human capital at the regional level.
Papers Under Review or Submitted
The Legacy of the Spanish Conquista in the Andes: Mining Mita, Persistent Social Unrest, and Cultural Divergence
With Francisco Gallego.
Revise & Resubmit in Journal of Comparative Economics
Latest draft available upon request.
Abstract:
This paper provides evidence of a persistent effect of the Mining Mita—a colonial forced labor and migration institution that affected indigenous communities in Peru between 1573 and 1811—on various economic and social outcomes that extend beyond material conditions. Using a geographical regression discontinuity design, we provide causal evidence that areas affected by the Mita have experienced higher levels of social unrest since the late 18th century. Furthermore, residents of these Mita areas identify more strongly with indigenous groups and institutions, are more likely to speak native languages, and hold different beliefs about development and democracy. We present evidence that the outcomes are not merely consequences of economic development effects caused by the Mita system. We conjecture that these factors help explain the enduring influence of colonial institutions, such as the Mita system, on contemporary social and economic development.
Working Papers
Can War foster Ethnic Integration? Evidence in Peru after the “Pacific War”
[Previously named "Nation Building in the Andes. Evidence from the Chilean Invasion of Peru in the XIX Century"]
Status: Soon new draft.
Expect to Submit in 2026
Abstract:
Can a war against a foreign country reduce ethnic divisions within a nation? This paper investigates the long-term impact of a nineteenth-century foreign invasion on indigenous self-identification in a developing country. I examine two historical cases: i) The Sierra Campaign, the final stage of the Pacific War (1879-1884) between Peru and Chile, where local indigenous communities engaged in guerrilla warfare against a professional invading army, and ii) The five-decade-long Chilean Occupation of Tacna (1880-1929), during which aggressive anti-Peruvian nationalism policies were enforced before the region was returned to Peru. In both instances, contemporary populations in municipalities exposed to these conflicts show reduced Indigenous self-identification and an increased affiliation with a mestizo identity. To address potential endogeneity, I employ various identification strategies that control for geographical, climatic, and pre-conflict socioeconomic characteristics, all supporting the findings' causal nature.
Work in Progress
From the land of Landlords to the land of Smallholders. Evolution of Land Inequality in Peru between 1961 and 2012.
With Cecilia Lozano & Marco Ruiz
Ethnic Educational Inequality in the Andes during the 20th Century: Evidence from Peru and Bolivia
With José Perés-Cajías & Saúl Elguera.
'Incendiar la pradera': Drought and Political Violence during Peru’s Internal Conflict
With Saúl Elguera.
Living with the Enemy: Foreign Occupation and Human Capital in the Long Run
With David Zegarra.
Others: Chapters in Books and Reviews
The Economic Legacy of the War of the Pacific in Peru. Evidence of Two Natural Experiments
Coauthored with David Zegarra & Fredy Gonzales
Status: Accepted for "Roots of Underdevelopment: a New Economic and Political History of Latin America and the Caribbean (Vol. 2)"
Review of: Valencia-Caicedo, F. (2023). "Roots of underdevelopment: A new economic and political history of Latin America and the Caribbean (Vol. 1)." Revista Historia Económica de América Latina, 2025.
Here link to paper.