Working papers *presentation by coauthors
"Elite Formation and Family Structure in Prewar Japan: Evidence from the Personnel Inquiry Records" with Suguru Otani and Yutaro Takayasu (2026, June)
Abstract: This paper introduces a newly constructed individual-level dataset of prewar Japanese elites using the ``Who's Who'' directories published in 1903--1939. Covering approximately the top 0.1% of the population, the dataset contains rich information on social group, education, occupation, and family structure. By reconstructing intergenerational links and family networks, we provide descriptive evidence on elite formation and persistence across geography, social groups, and education during transitions from feudal system to modern system. We also use family records to document elite marriage patterns and family-based mobility, showing stable age assortative matching, widening husband--wife age gaps, and associations between marriage-age structure, adoption, and elite persistence. The dataset provides a foundational empirical resource for studying intergenerational and intergroup mobility, and institutional development during Japan’s transition to a modern society.
Selected work in progress (working titles) *presentation by coauthors
"Exchange Rate Appreciation and Structural Adjustment: Evidence from the Plaza Accord"
Kanematsu Prize 2025, 18th FIW Young Economist Award 2026
"When Technology Rewrites Geography: Historical Shipping Routes and Structural Transformation in Industrializing Japan"
"Environmental Effects of the China Shock" with Claudia Steinwender
"Trade-Induced Freight Traffic and Local Air Pollution"
Publications (peer-reviewed):
"Elite Persistence in Family: The Role of Adoption in Prewar Japan" with Yutaro Takayasu Economic History Review, 2026
Online Appendix CRC Research Blog
"Impacts of Inter-firm Transaction Relations on the Adoption of Remote Work: Evidence from a Survey in Japan during the COVID-19 Pandemic," with Eiichi Tomiura Japan and the World Economy, 2023
"Using Managers' Expectations for Ex-ante Policy Evaluation: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis," with Kohei Kawaguchi, Naomi Kodama, and Mari Tanaka Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 2023. Full ver. with Appendix
"Productivity Premium of Multinationals in Global Ownership Linkages: A Comparison of Second-tier Subsidiaries," with Eiichi Tomiura Review of International Economics, 2023.
Other publications (peer-reviewed):
"The Economy and Society under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Surveys," with Eiichi Tomiura and Banri Ito Keizai Kenkyu (Economic Review), 2022 (in Japanese). Non technical summary