The Alaska statewide March temperature was 13.3F, 2.5F above the long-term average. This March was in the warmest third of the 99-year period of record for the state. Temperatures were above average across the North Slope, in large portions of western Alaska and in parts of the Aluetians. Much of the interior and southern parts of the state were near normal while the Panhandle experienced below-average temperatures for the month.

According to the March 31 One-Month Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, areas from the southern Plains to the Northeast and northwestern Alaska favor above-normal monthly mean temperatures in April, with the greatest odds likely to occur along the Gulf Coast states to North Carolina. The best chances for below-normal temperatures are forecast from the West Coast to the Upper Midwest and in parts of southern Alaska. The Northwest and from the southern Plains to Upper Midwest and Great Lakes, as well as parts of northern Alaska, are favored to see above-normal monthly total precipitation. Below-normal precipitation is most likely to occur in the Southwest U.S. and in parts of southwest Alaska. Drought improvement or removal is forecast in portions of the West, Plains and Michigan, while persistence is more likely in portions of the Great Basin, Southwest, Great Plains, Florida and in parts of the Rockies, the Gulf Coast and the Mid-Atlantic. Drought development is likely across parts of the Mid-Atlantic region.


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The average March temperature for the Midwest was 34.4 degrees F (1.3 degrees C), which was 2.5 degrees F (1.4 degrees C) below the 1991-2020 normal. Average temperatures were slightly above normal in the far eastern region and below normal in the far western region, with near normal conditions in between. Monthly minimum and maximum temperatures followed a similar pattern. Preliminary statewide average temperatures ranged from near normal in Ohio and Kentucky to 7.7 degrees F (4.3 degrees C) below normal in Minnesota. The month began with temperatures 5-13 degrees F (3-7 degrees C) above normal across the southeastern half of the region, resulting in over 120 daily high temperature records broken or tied from March 1-7. On March 1, Evansville, Indiana measured the earliest 80 degree F (26.7 degree C) day on record, dating back to 1897. After a warm start, a prolonged period of below-normal temperatures settled across the region, slowing plant growth and development that had initiated in late winter and early spring across the lower Midwest.

By month's end, the US Drought Monitor indicated that 84 percent of the region had no dryness or drought. Drought that had been affecting southeast Michigan was nearly gone, and conditions in western Minnesota showed improvement. Iowa continued to be the primary drought-affected area, with about one-third in drought and one-third abnormally dry. Only a very isolated area of southwest Missouri had drought conditions worsen during March.

The continuation of warm and dry weather led to a worsening of drought conditions across much of the Florida Peninsula, except in the extreme southeastern corner around Miami. Severe (D2) drought emerged across the southwestern part of the state and covered much of the Peninsula by the end of the month. A small pocket of extreme (D3) drought also emerged in parts of Collier, Hendry, and Lee counties. Abnormally dry (D0) conditions expanded across eastern portions of the Carolinas and much of Virginia, along with some pockets of moderate (D1) drought. Short-term drought conditions also worsened across the Caribbean. In Puerto Rico, moderate (D1) drought emerged across the south coastal and northwest regions, while abnormally dry (D0) conditions expanded across the eastern interior, southern slopes, and outlying islands. Abnormally dry (D0) conditions emerged on Saint John, while severe (D2) drought was introduced on Saint Croix. Moderate (D1) drought persisted on Saint Thomas. In contrast, parts of southern Alabama and Georgia, and the eastern Florida Panhandle, saw some improvements in abnormally dry (D0) and moderate (D1) drought conditions due to locally heavier precipitation amounts. Overall, about 30 percent of the region was in abnormally dry (D0) conditions by the end of the month, while moderate (D1) to extreme (D3) drought covered about 16 percent of the region.

Temperatures this past month were, for the most part, near to below normal for the region. March was chilly, particularly in parts of the Dakotas, Colorado, and Wyoming. Departures were up to 20 degrees F (11.1 degrees C) below normal in those states, with many locations ranking in the top 10 coldest. Temperatures were slightly below-normal for the rest of the region. North Dakota was brutally cold, with the highest average temperature in the state being 20.6 degrees F (-6.3 degrees C) in the southwestern part of the state. The town of Mayville was the coldest place in the state, with an average temperature of 9.3 degrees F (-12.6 degrees C), which was also the coldest March on record for that station. Nearby Grand Forks observed their 3rd coldest March, with an average temperature of 12.6 degrees F (-10.8 degrees C). Other notable locations such as Bismarck, Dickinson, and Williston also ranked in the top 10. Portions of Wyoming have been exceptionally cold in 2023. Casper and Rawlins recorded their 4th coldest January to March, while Lander was the coldest on record. The average temperature in the past three months was a meager 16.4 degrees F (-8.7 degrees C).

Precipitation was above normal across much of Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, northern Mississippi, far western Tennessee, northeastern Texas, and the Big Bend area of Texas. The remainder of the region was generally recorded below normal precipitation, with stations in the Panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma reporting less than five percent of average precipitation during March. Statewide averages were above normal in Arkansas (ranked 14th wettest) and Oklahoma (40th wettest). While statewide averages were below normal in Louisiana (ranked 25th driest), Mississippi (49th driest), and Texas (49th driest). Tennessee and the Southern Region as a whole were near their historical median values. The five wettest stations were a mix of COOP (2) and CoCoRaHS (3) sites and spread across two states: Batesville 2.2 SSE, Mississippi (18.61 inches), near Melbourne, Arkansas (14.5), at Baldwyn, Mississippi (13.88), Batesville 4.2 ESE, Mississippi (12.87), and near Vanderhoof, Arkansas (12.79 inches). Three stations recorded six inches or greater single date accumulations: near Batesville, Mississippi (6.75 inches, March 2nd), at Baldwyn, Mississippi (6.2, March 2nd), and near Pryor, Oklahoma (6.0, March 24th). The driest stations in the region reported no accumulated precipitation in March, all in Texas, and were located: near Fort Hancock, Seminole, Gail, Plains, near Tornillo, Higgins, Lipscomb, near Odessa, and near Andrews.

Temperatures were 2-4 degrees Fahrenheit below normal in the Panhandle with many locations in the bottom third of the historical distribution for March temperatures. Juneau recorded a monthly mean temperature of 30.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2.3 degrees Fahrenheit below normal). Temperatures were well above normal across the North Slope where Utqiavik logged a monthly mean temperature of -2.9 degrees Fahrenheit (7.6 degrees Fahrenheit above normal) for the fifth warmest March on record. Precipitation was well above normal in western Alaska and below normal in South-central and the North Slope. Nome received 2.62 inches of precipitation (354 percent of normal) for the month ranking as the third wettest since 1907. Anchorage saw just 0.14 inches (20 percent of normal) for the month coming in as the seventh driest on record. e24fc04721

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