Publications:
Desmarchelier, D., Jaoul-Grammare, M., Morel, G. & Pham, T. K. C. (2025) "Infectious disease and endogenous cycles: lockdown hits two birds with one stone". International Journal of Economic Theory, 1–27.
Morel, G., & Jaoul-Grammare, M, (2025) "A cliometric reappraisal of the impacts of plague outbreaks on pre-industrial France." Rivista di storia economica, Italian Review of Economic History , 2/2025, pp. 157-196,
Rawson, T., Morgenstern, C., Knock, E. S., Hicks, J., Pham, A., Morel, G., Cabezas Murillo, A., Sanderson, M., Forchini, G., FitzJohn, R., Hauck, K., & Ferguson, N. (2025). "A mathematical model of H5N1 influenza transmission in US dairy cattle." Nature Communications 16, 4308.
G. Morel, (2020) “A note on pollution and infectious disease”, Economics Bulletin (HCERES, B), Volume 40, Issue 4, pages 2723-2733
Working papers:
G. Morel et al., "The projected economic impact of H5N1 for the dairy and beef sectors in the USA and its trading partners" (under review in Communications earth & environment) (download here)
S. Hong, G. Morel, G. Forchini and K. Hauck, "The 20-year Impact of Pandemics on Households: A Local Projection Analysis for six European countries between 1870 and 2020" (download here)
Undergoing project:
G. Morel, A. Pham, R. Johnson and G. Forchini, "A behavioral integrated model" (available on request)
G. Morel, J. Guo and G. Forchini, "Green finance, biodiversity, and disease burden: A frontier approach to health efficiency in Europe"
G. Morel, A. Pham, R. Johnson and G. Forchini, "Essential, non-essential and the economic of outbreaks" (available on request)
G. Morel, “Effects of Smallpox epidemics on Cape Colonies in South Africa”
G. Morel, “Economic cycles and macroeconomics disasters between 1280-2018” (available on request)