Research

Publications

"Real GDP Growth Predictability and Implications for Estimating Australia's Output Gap" with Benjamin Wong, Australian Economic Review 0: 0. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8462.70074.

"What Does a Mixed-Frequency Multivariate Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition Tell us about the Australian Output Gap?". Economic Record. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4932.70065

"What Information is Most Relevant for Estimating Output Gaps in Emerging Economies?" , Journal of International Money and Finance  (2026) 103625  

"Can Output Gap Estimates Be Both Informative and Reliable for Emerging Asian Economies?"  J Bus Cycle Res 22, 89–122 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-026-00122-9

"Philippine Business Cycle Characterization: A Christiano–Fitzgerald Band Pass Filter Reassessment" with Ruben Carlo Asuncion and Aekapol Chongvilaivan, Asian Development Bank Review, August 2019.

Policy Notes

"Pacific Aid Map 2023 - Key Findings Report" with Alexander Dayant, Riley Duke, and Roland Rajah, The Lowy Institute Report,  October 2023

"Constrained Recovery: Global Shocks and Emerging Southeast Asia" with Robert Walker, and Roland Rajah, The Lowy Institute Report, May 2024

Work in Progress

"An Economic Activity Index for Asian Economies",  with Arief Ramayandi, Madhavi Pundit, Irfan Quereshi, and Jerome Abesamis