Publications
I analyze the effect of local unemployment rates on fertility rates, abortion rates, and the abortions to pregnancies ratio, combining population statistics and administrative data on induced abortions performed in Italy between 2004 and 2016. This is the first paper to causally investigate the effect of local economic conditions on abortion choice. Using a shift-share instrument measuring labor demand, I exploit demand-driven shocks to unemployment. A one standard deviation (sd) increase in unemployment induces a 0.9 sd decrease in the fertility rate, a 0.27 sd increase in the abortion rate, and a 0.35 sd increase in the abortion ratio. These effects are driven by women above 25 years old, and are particularly large in the 35-49 age group, while young women (15-24) are largely unaffected.
Gender Quotas in Municipal Executives: reallocating public spending in Italy
with Alice Dominici and Olivia Masi [International Tax and Public Finance 2026]
This study investigates how increased female representation in executive positions within local governments affects municipal expenditures. We leverage a 2014 reform in Italy that mandated 40% gender quotas in the executive councils of municipalities with more than 3000 residents. To isolate the impact of gender quotas from other policies active at the same population cutoff, we employ a difference-in-discontinuities approach. We document that the policy effectively increases female representation in local governments, bringing younger, less politically experienced female politicians into executive councils. We find that increased female representation shifts resources away from culture and toward education, with spending shares rising by 25% for preschool and decreasing by 47% for culture. This indicates that including more women in executive roles can influence the allocation of municipal resources, even if it does not alter total spending levels.
Working papers
Work in progress
Consequences of hospitalization and doctor practice style
with Pieter Bakx and Fabrizio Mazzonna
Expectation Shocks and Fertility Realizations in England and Wales
with Dan Anderberg, Arnaud Chevalier, Gabriel Facchini
Transplantation, organ donation and social norms
with Giulia Caprini and Giuliana Ghia
Do food price shocks affect farmers' nutrition? A study on rising quinoa prices in Peru