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DEC 24, 2022
The U.S. government began publishing statistics on the safety of commercial aviation in 1927. While 1978 legislation eliminated economic regulation of the U.S. airline industry, it left safety regulation very much in place. The following table depicts the safety record of U.S. airlines performing scheduled services worldwide, from 2000 to present, as recorded by NTSB.
Sources: 1927-37: AA Statistical Handbook (December 1945). 1938–71: CAB Handbook of Airline Statistics (1973), Part VIII, Items 19c,d, pp. 595-596; NTSB Safety Studies Division. 1972–82: FAA Statistical Handbook (1972-82), Table 9.3, p. 161, citing NTSB for totals; 1983–present: NTSB Aviation Accident Statistics, Table 6. Fatal Accident Rate excludes incidents resulting from illegal acts, consistent with NTSB practice.
Source Website: https://www.airlines.org/dataset/safety-record-of-u-s-air-carriers/
In other words.....
There was a 1 in 3.37 billion chance of dying in a commercial airline plane crash between 2012-2016
There was a 1 in 20 million chance of being on a commercial airline flight experiencing a fatal accident from 2012-2016
98.6% of accidents did not result in a fatality — Of the 140 plane accidents since 2016, only two involved fatalities (1.4%)
“A person would have to fly on average once a day every day for 22,000 years before they would die in a U.S. commercial airplane accident according to recent accident rates.”
-Dr. Arnold Barnett, MIT
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