Research
著作列表 (full list of publication)
Most final version of the papers are available here
Peer-reviewed Article
Forthcoming. "Taiwanese Willingness for Self-Defense after the Russo-Ukrainian War" Asian Survey. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
Forthcoming. "Strategic Ambiguity, Strategic Clarity, and Dual Clarity." Foreign Policy Analysis. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
2024 (Forthcoming). “Undercurrent in Taiwan: Nationalism and Calculation of the cross-strait Relations (2002-2022).” Public Opinion Quarterly. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
2023. "Public Support for Self-Defense in Taiwan: The Current State of Research." Taiwan Politics. With Charles K.S. Wu and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
Forthcoming. "The Multiverse of Taiwan's Future: Reconsidering the Independence-Unification (Tondu) Attitudes." Political Studies Review. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh. (presentation)
2023. "Mediation Analysis of Conspiratorial Thinking and Anti-Expert Sentiments on Vaccine Willingness." Health Psychology, 42(4), 235–246. With Blackburn et al. and the COVIDiSTRESS II Consortium.
Forthcoming. “Why Does Taiwan Identity Decline?” Journal of Asian and African Studies. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Yao-Yuan Yeh, and Charles K.S. Wu
2023. "High-level Visit and National Security Policy: Evidence from A Quasi-Experiment in Taiwan." International Interactions 49(1): 132-146. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
Forthcoming. "Media Literacy and Partisan Convergence across Social Network Sites." The Social Science Journal. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
2022. "COVIDiSTRESS Diverse Dataset on Psychological and Behavioral Outcomes One Year Into the COVID-19 Pandemic." Scientific Data (2022) 9, 331. With Angélique M. Blackburn, Sara Vestergren, & the COVIDiSTRESS II Consortium.
2024. "Public Support for the Use of Force in Non-Western and Non-Major Powers (NWNM): The Case of a China-Taiwan War." International Political Science Review 45(1):106-122. With Austin Horng-En Wang, , Yao-Yuan Yeh, and Charles K.S. Wu. (first view online in Sep 2022)
2022。〈安全研究的個體化：個人當兵經驗如何影響台灣防衛決心〉，《問題與研究》61(3)：145-172。陳方隅、王宏恩、吳冠昇、葉耀元。（English title: Security Studies towards Individuals’ Attitude: Military Experience and Support for Self-Defense in Taiwan）
Forthcoming. “Sacrifice for the Mandate of Heaven? Regression Discontinuity of Death Penalty Execution in Taiwan.” The Social Science Journal. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Yuan-Ning Chu, and Ming-Jui Yeh. （菜市場政治學版本）
2021. “Is Trading with China Different? Self-Interest, National Pride, and Trade Preferences.” Journal of East Asian Studies 21(1): 97-115. With Wei-ting Yen and Kristine Kay. （菜市場政治學版本）
2021. "Stress and Worry in the 2020 Coronavirus Pandemic: relationships to trust and compliance with preventive measures across 48 countries in the COVIDiSTRESS global survey." Royal Society Open Science 8(2). Andreas Lieberoth et al.
2021. “Prospects for US-Taiwan-China Relations under the Biden Administration.” American Journal of Chinese Studies 28(501): 16-24. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
2021. “The Non-Consensus 1992 Consensus.” Asian Politics & Policy 13(2): 212-227. With Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
2020. “COVIDiSTRESS Global Survey Dataset on Psychological and Behavioural Consequences of the COVID-19 Outbreak.” Scientific Data, 2020. With COVIDiSTRESS Global Survey Consortium.
2019. "Extreme Candidates as the Beneficent Spoiler? Range Effect in the Plurality Voting System." Political Research Quarterly 72(2):278-292. With Austin Wang. （菜市場政治學版本）
2017 "Who Supports The Sunflower Movement? An Examination of Nationalist Sentiments." With Wei-Ting Yen. Journal of Asian and African Studies 52(8): 1193-1212. (Full text and Appendix)
2017 “Establishing Bilateral Trade Agreement without Mutual Diplomatic Relations: The Case of the Republic of China on Taiwan,” with Yao-Yuan Yeh. Maryland Series in Contemporary Asian Studies 2017(228).
2012 〈論社會經濟的需要性以及合作經濟可行性〉，《合作經濟》，第115期，2012年12月，頁36-47。摘要及全文。（On the Need of Social Economy and Feasibility of Cooperatives.）
2009 〈1978年以後中共財經高官的仕途流動：特徵與趨勢〉，《政治學報》，第47期，2009年6月，頁59-103 ，合著：寇健文。摘要。（The Political Mobility of Chinese Economic Technocrats since 1978: Characteristics and Trends）
Book Chapters
2023. "Democratization." in Alexander C. Tan and Dennis F. Quilala ed, Encyclopedia of Asian Politics, Massachusetts: Edward Elgar. pp75-81.
2023. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Cross-Strait Relations." in Chia-hung Tsai and Yao-Yuan Yeh eds. Public Opinion, Policy Responses, and Party Politics under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Examining Taiwan and Its Strategic Neighbors. Lexington Books. with Austin Horng-En Wang, Charles K.S. Wu, and Yao-Yuan Yeh.
Ongoing Project
Nationalism and Party Vote Choice in New Democracies
The Micro-logic of Labor Market Dualization: the Trend of Insider-outsider Gap and Political Behaviors
The Variety of Tondu: a new measurement of the independence-unification preferences in Taiwan
Revisiting Taiwanese Citizens' Democratic Support
Biased Information Exposure, Social Media, and Opinion Change in Democratic Regimes
PhD Dissertation: Ruling Party Institutionalization in Autocracies
Abstract
The majority of authoritarian regimes rely on a political party to govern, and studies show that political parties contribute to the political survival of dictators. However, there is a considerable variation on organizational developments of such ruling parties. Why do some authoritarian regimes institutionalize their ruling party and penetrate society through party organizations? Why do some dictators build up local party branches as linkage to the masses? I argue that the initial condition when a dictator comes to power determines the ruling strategies he will choose. The ruler needs to establish party organizations to control the masses when he subjectively thinks the threat to regime survival mainly comes from internal threats, especially the masses. However, if there exists a foreign enemy with territorial conflicts, the leader must direct resources to the coercive institutions, especially the military, to defend against threats. This study uses a cross-national dataset, covering all of dictators from 1950-2008, to illustrate the causes and consequences of ruling party institutionalization at the local level, accompanied by comparative historical studies of two country-pairs, Taiwan and South Korea, and Indonesia and the Philippines. Empirical evidence corroborates the hypotheses that external enemies with territorial threats impedes party institutionalization, while higher levels of religious polarization prompt the leader to develop party’s local organizations. Also, party institutionalization at the local level significantly prolongs political survival of dictators, because it helps leaders to collect essential information for the ruling and enhances legitimacy.
Master Thesis
「社會經濟」的在地實踐：論合作經濟與花蓮案例可行性 （國圖連結）(簡報)
On “Social Economy” and its Practice: Principles of Cooperatives and the Feasibility in Hualien