Research & Publications

Publications

61. Song Y, Choi W, Shim E. (In press) Cost-Effectiveness of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination in the UK: Two vs. Single-dose of Nonavalent HPV Vaccination. American Journal of Preventive Medicine.

60. Song Y, Shim E. (2024) Cost-effectiveness of the adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine for older adults in South Korea. Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics. 20(1): 2348124.

59. Choi W, Shim E. (2024) Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination for adolescent girls in Japan: A comparison of 2-valent, 4-valent, and 9-valent HPV vaccines with consideration of cross-protection. Preventive Medicine. 178: 107743.

58. Kim M, Shim E. (2024) Assessing the transmission potential of mpox in East Asia during 2022-2023: a focus on Taiwan, China, Japan, and South Korea. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 138: 110-112.

57. Choi W, Shim E. (2023) Assessing the cost-effectiveness of annual COVID-19 booster vaccination in South Korea using a transmission dynamic model. Frontiers in Public Health. 11:1280412.

56. Song Y, Shim E. (2022) Proportion of Pre-Symptomatic Transmission Events Associated with COVID-19 in South Korea. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 11, 3925.

55. Shim E, Choi W, Song Y. (2022)  Clinical Time Delay Distributions of COVID-19 in 2020–2022 in the Republic of Korea: Inferences from a Nationwide Database Analysis. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 11, 3269.

54. Shim E, Choi W, Kwon D, Kim T, Song Y. (2022) Transmission potential of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in South Korea: From November 25, 2021 to January 8, 2022. Open Forum Infectious Diseases. ofac248.

53. Tariq A, Chakhaia T, Dahal S, Ewing A, Hua X, Ofori SK, Prince O, Salindri AD, Adeniyi AE, Banda JM, Skums P, Luo R, Lara-Díaz L, Bürger R, Fung IC, Shim E, Kirpich A, Srivastava A, Chowell G. (2022) An investigation of spatial-temporal patterns and predictions of the coronavirus 2019 pandemic in Colombia, 2020–2021. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 16(3): e0010228

52. Husnayain A, Shim E, Fuad A, Su EC. (2021) Predicting new daily COVID-19 cases and deaths utilizing search engine query data in South Korea from 2020 to 2021: Infodemiology study. Journal of Medical Internet Research. 23(12): e34178.

51. Shim E. (2021) Projecting the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants and the vaccination program on the fourth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 18(14), 7578. 

50. Lim J, Noh E, Shim E, Ryu S. (2021) Temporal changes in the risk of superspreading events of coronavirus disease 2019. Open Forum Infectious Diseases. Volume 8, Issue 7.

49. Choi W, Shim E. (2021) Vaccine effects on susceptibility and symptomatology can change the optimal allocation of COVID-19 vaccines: South Korea as an example. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 10(13), 2813.

48. Shim E. (2021) Delay-adjusted age-specific COVID-19 case fatality rates in a high testing setting: South Korea, February 2020 to February 2021. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 18(10), 5053. 

47. Shim E. (2021) Regional variability in COVID-19 case fatality rate in Canada, February–December 2020. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 18(4): 1839.

46. Shim E. (2021) Optimal allocation of the limited COVID-19 vaccine supply in South Korea. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 10(4): E591. 

45. Choi W, Shim E. (2021) Optimal strategies for social distancing and testing to control COVID-19. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 512: 110568.

44. Shim E, Tariq A, Chowell G. (2021) Spatial variability in reproduction number and doubling time across two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, February to July 2020. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 102:1-9. 

43. Husnayain A, Shim E, Fuad A, Su E. (2020) Understanding the community risk perceptions of the COVID-19 outbreak in South Korea: Infodemiology study. Journal of Medical Internet Research. 22(9): e19788. 

42. Choi W, Shim E. (2020) Optimal strategies for vaccination and social distancing in a game-theoretic epidemiological model. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 505:110422.

41. Shim E, Mizumoto K, Choi W, Chowell G. (2020) Estimating the risk of COVID-19 death during the course of the outbreak in Korea, February-May 2020. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 9(6): E1641.

40. Shim E, Tariq A, Choi W, Lee Y, Chowell G. (2020) Transmission potential and severity of COVID-19 in South Korea. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 93: 339-344.

39. DePasse JV, Nowalk MP, Smith KJ, Raviotta JM, Shim E, Zimmerman RK, Brown ST. (2019) Exploring the potential public health benefits of universal influenza vaccine. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics. 15(12): 2919-2926.

38. Shim E.(2019) Optimal dengue vaccination strategies of seropositive individuals. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 16(3):1171-1189.

37. Smith KJ, France G, Patricia Nowalk M, Raviotta JM, DePasse JV, Wateska AR, Shim E, Zimmerman RK. (2019) Compressed influenza vaccination in US seniors: a decision analysis. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 56(4): e135-e141.

36. France G, Wateska AR, Patricia Nowalk M, DePasse JV, Raviotta JM, Shim E, Zimmerman RK, Smith KJ. (2018) Potential cost-effectiveness of a universal influenza vaccine in older adults. Innovations in Aging. 2(3): 1-9.

35. Shim E, Smith KJ, Patricia Nowalk M, Raviotta JM, Brown ST, DePasse JV, Zimmerman RK. (2018) Impact of seasonal influenza vaccination in the presence of vaccine interference. Vaccine. 36(6):853-858.

34. Raviotta JM, Smith KJ, DePasse J, Brown ST, Shim E, Nowalk MP, Wateska A, France GS, Zimmerman RK. (2017) Cost-effectiveness and public health impact of alternative influenza vaccination strategies in high-risk adults. Vaccine. 35(42):5708-5713.

33. DePasse J, Patricia Nowalk M, Smith KJ, Raviotta JM, Shim E, Zimmerman RK, Brown ST. (2017) Does cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccine choice vary across the U.S.? An agent-based modeling study. Vaccine. 35(32):3974-81.

32. Raviotta JM, Smith KJ, DePasse J, Brown ST, Shim E, Patricia Nowalk M, Zimmerman RK. (2017) Reply to: Estimating the full value of the high-dose influenza vaccine. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 65(9):2111-2112.

31. Smith KJ, Patricia Nowalk M, Wateska A, Brown ST, DePasse JV, Raviotta JM, Shim E, Zimmerman RK. (2017) Potential consequences of not using live attenuated influenza vaccine. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. S0749-3797(17)30170-8.

30. Shim E (2017) Cost-effectiveness of dengue vaccination programs in Brazil. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 96(5):1227-1234.

29. DePasse JV, Smith KJ, Raviotta JM, Shim E, Patricia Nowalk M, Zimmerman RK, Brown ST. (2017) Does choice of influenza vaccine type change disease burden and cost-effectiveness in the United States? An agent-based modeling study. American Journal of Epidemiology. 185(9):822-831.

28. Shim E (2017) Cost-effectiveness of dengue vaccination in Mexico using a dynamic dengue transmission model. PLoS One. 12(4):e0175020.

27. Shim E (2016) Dengue dynamics and vaccine cost-effectiveness analysis in the Philippines. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 95(5):1137-1147.

26. Raviotta JM, Smith KJ, DePasse JV, Brown ST, Shim E, Patricia Nowalk M, Zimmerman RK. (2016) Cost-effectiveness and public health effect of influenza vaccine strategies for U.S. elderly adults. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 64(10):2126-2131.

25. Shim E, Brown ST, DePasse JV, Patricia Nowalk M, Raviotta JM, Smith KJ, Zimmerman RK. (2016) Cost effectiveness of influenza vaccine for U.S. children: live attenuated and inactivated influenza vaccine. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 51(3):309-17.

24. Smith KJ, Raviotta JM, DePasse JV, Brown ST, Shim E, Patricia Nowalk M, Zimmerman RK. (2016) Cost effectiveness of influenza vaccine choices in children aged 2-8 years in the U.S. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 50(5):600-8.

23. Young G, Shim E, Ermentrout GB. (2015) Qualitative effects of monovalent vaccination against rotavirus: a comparison of North America and South America. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 77(10):1854-85.

22. Reluga T, Shim E. (2014) Population viscosity suppresses disease emergence by preserving local herd immunity. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 281: 1796.

21. Skene KJ, Paltiel AD, Shim E, Galvani AP. (2014) A marginal benefit approach for vaccinating influenza ”superspreaders”. Medical Decision Making. 34(4):536-49.

20. Shim E. (2013) Optimal strategies of social distancing and vaccination against seasonal influenza. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering. 10(5/6): 1615-1634.

19. Shim E, Feng Z, Castillo-Chavez C. (2012) Differential impact of sickle cell trait on symptomatic and asymptomatic malaria. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering. 9(4): 877-98.

18. Porco TC, Gao D, Scott JC, Shim E, Enanoria WT, Galvani AP, Lietman TM. (2012) When does overuse of antibiotics become a tragedy of the commons? PLoS ONE. 7(12): e46505.

17. Atkins KE, Shim E, Carroll S, Quilici S, Galvani AP. (2012) The cost-effectiveness of pentavalent rotavirus vaccination in England and Wales. Vaccine. 30(3): 552-64.

16. Shim E, Galvani AP. (2012) Distinguishing vaccine efficacy and effectiveness. Vaccine. 30(47): 6700-5.

15. Pitzer VE, Atkins KE, de Blasio BF, Van Effelterre T, Atchison CJ, Harris JP, Shim E, Galvani AP, Edmunds WJ, Viboud C, Patel MM, Grenfell BT, Parashar UD, Lopman BA. (2012) Direct and indirect effects of rotavirus vaccination: Comparing predictions from transmission dynamic models. PLoS ONE. 7(8): e42320.

14. Shim E, Chapman GB, Townsend JP, Galvani AP. (2012) The influence of altruism on influenza vaccination decisions. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 9 (74): 2234-2243.

13. Atkins KE, Shim E, Pitzer VE, Galvani AP. (2012) Impact of rotavirus vaccination on epidemiological dynamics in England and Wales. Vaccine. 30(3): 552-64.

12. Shim E, Grefenstette JJ, Albert SM, Cakouros BE, Burke DS. (2012) A game dynamic model for vaccine skeptics and vaccine believers: measles as an example. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 295: 194-203.

11. Shim E, Meyers LA, Galvani AP. (2011) Optimal H1N1 vaccination strategies based on self-interest versus group interest. BMC Public Health. 11, Suppl 1:S4.

10. Shim E. (2011) Prioritization of delayed vaccination for pandemic influenza. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering. 8(1): 95-112.

9. Cornforth DM, Reluga TC, Shim E, Bauch CT, Galvani AP, Meyers LA. (2011) Erratic flu vaccination emerges from short-sighted behavior in contact networks. PLoS Computational Biology. 7(1): e1001062.

8. Shim E, Chapman GB, Galvani AP. (2010) Decision making with regard to antiviral intervention during an influenza pandemic. Medical Decision Making. 30(4): E64-81.

7. Shim E, Hampson K, Cleaveland S, Galvani AP. (2009) Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of rabies post-exposure prophylaxis: a case study in Tanzania. Vaccine. 27(51):7167-72.

6. Shim E, Kochin B, Galvani AP. (2009) Insights from epidemiological game theory into gender-specific vaccination against rubella. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering. 6(4): 839-854.

5. Shim E, Galvani AP. (2009) Evolutionary repercussions of avian culling on host resistance and influenza virulence. PLoS ONE. 4(5): e5503.

4. Shim E, Galvani AP. (2009) Impact of transmission dynamics on the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination. Vaccine. 27(30): 4025-30.

3. Shim E, Feng Z, Martcheva M, Castillo-Chavez C. (2006) An age-structured epidemic model of rotavirus with vaccination. Journal of Mathematical Biology. 53(4): 719-46.

2. Shim E. (2006) A note on epidemic models with infective immigrants and vaccination. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering. 3(3): 557-566.

1. Chowell G, Shim E, Brauer F, Diaz-Dueas P, Hyman JM, Castillo-Chavez C. (2006) Modelling the transmission dynamics of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis: application to the 2003 outbreak in Mexico. Statistics in Medicine. 25(11): 1840-1857.


Selected Invited Presentations

Plenary talk at the 2018 The Korean Women in Mathematical Sciences (KWMS) International Conference, Seoul, South Korea, June 30, 2018

Department of Mathematics, Konkuk University, June 5, 2018

Department of Mathematics, Yonsei University, Nov 10, 2017

Korea Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (KCDC), June 28, 2017

Award talk at 2017 The Korean Women in Mathematical Sciences (KWMS) International Conference, Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH), South Korea, June 22, 2017

Annual Meeting of Japan Society of Mathematical Biology (JSMB), Kyushu University, Sep 9, 2016

Annual Forum at Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service (H.I.R.A), South Korea, Sep 5, 2016

Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service (H.I.R.A), South Korea, Apr 21, 2016

International Workshop on Policy-relevant Applications of Infectious Disease Models in Asia. The University of Tokyo, Dec 15, 2015

Mini-conference on Mathematical Analysis and Computation associated with Biology, Yonsei University, Nov 6, 2015

Mathematical Models in Ecology and Evolution (MMEE), College de France, July 9, 2015

Department of Mathematics, Soongsil University, Mar 10, 2015

Department of Biological Science, University of Tulsa, Oct 30, 2014

International Congress of Mathematicians (ICM) 2014, Seoul, Korea, Aug 14, 2014

Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Korea, Aug 11, 2014

Department of Mathematics, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology (UNIST), Korea, Jul 24, 2014

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Korea, Jul 22, 2014

Department of Mathematics, Konkuk University, Korea, Jul 21, 2014

Department of Mathematics, Chungnam National University, Korea, Jul 18, 2014

Bioinformatics Seminar, University of Tulsa, May 2, 2014

The Fourth International Conference on Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of Populations in Biological Systems (ICMA IV), Texas Tech University, Oct 4, 2013

Annual meeting of the Society for Mathematical Biology, Arizona State University, Jun 12, 2013

Department of Mathematics, University of Tulsa, Apr 18, 2013

School of Mathematical Sciences, Rochester Institute of Technology, Mar 20, 2013

Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Mar 7, 2013

Department of Mathematics, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, Mar 4, 2013

Department of Behavioral & Community Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Feb 26, 2013

Department of Computational Science and Engineering, Yonsei University, South Korea, Nov 7, 2012

Department of Mathematics, Sung Kyun Kwan University (SKKU), South Korea, Nov 7, 2012

Department of Mathematics, Seoul National University, South Korea, Nov 1, 2012

Department of Mathematics, Yonsei University, South Korea, Oct 29, 2012

Department of Mathematics, East Tennessee State University, Apr 20, 2012

International Council for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (ICIAM), Jul 22, 2011

Modeling of Infectious Diseases Agent Study (MIDAS) Network meeting, Jun 10, 2011

Modeling of Infectious Diseases Agent Study (MIDAS) Scientific Discussions, Jun 8, 2011

Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Sciences Center (MCMSC) mini-workshop, Arizona State University, May 12, 2011

School of Human Evolution & Social Change, Arizona State University, Apr 22, 2010

Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Feb 3, 2010

Department of Biology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Jan 26, 2010

College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Jan 25, 2010

Modeling of Infectious Diseases Agent Study (MIDAS) Network meeting, Oct 29, 2009

International Conference on Mathematical Biology and Annual Meeting of the Society for Mathematical Biology, Vancouver, BC, Canada Jul 27, 2009

Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM) Annual Meeting, Denver, CO, Jul 10, 2009

Mitigating the Spread of A/H1N1 Flu: Lessons Learned from Past Outbreaks, Arizona State University, Jun 26, 2009

New England Biosciences Society 17th Annual Meeting, Harvard University, May 2, 2009.

Mathbio Seminar, Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, Jan 30, 2009

Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM) Annual Meeting, Montreal, QB, Canada Aug 5, 2008

Banff International Research Station (BIRS) Workshop on modeling the impact of policy options during public health crisis, Banff, AB, Jul 31, 2008.

Biomath Days, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Mar 29, 2008. Voted as the best talk

Using Modeling to Inform Public Health (UMPH) seminar series, School ofMedicine, Yale University, Nov 7, 2007

Center for Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science (DIMACS) Workshop on Game Theoretic Approaches to Epidemiology and Ecology. Rutgers University, Oct 16, 2007

Interdisciplinary Seminar Series in Mathematical Biology. University of Massachusetts, Apr 11, 2007

Workshop on the Mathematics of Global Public Health: Modeling disease transmission and biological invasions. Arizona State University, Mar 7, 2007

Merck, Philadelphia, PA, Sep 21, 2006

Mathematical biology seminar, Department of Mathematics, Arizona State University, Sep 1, 2006

Center for Mathematical Biology, University of Oxford, Aug 9, 2006

Workshop on Mathematical Models in Biology and Medicine, Arizona State University, Feb 2006

Joint Summer Research Conference (JSRC) on Modeling Dynamics of Human Diseases: Emerging Paradigms and Challenges, in Snowbird, UT, Jul 2005

MITACS-MSRI-PIMS Special program on Infection Diseases in Banff, AB, Canada, Jun 2004