This very large relatively unsorted file contains the consulting engineers' analysis of the condition of the embankments, informed by site visits that took place in late summer - fall of 2017.
The papers below, produced by the Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) in 2010-2011, summarize the state of knowledge about the effects of vegetation on levee and dam embankment stability.
Key conclusion from the literature review: "The effects of widespread vegetation removal on the stability of natural slopes have been studied extensively as a result of a timber harvesting practice of widespread removal of trees known as clear-cutting. Clear-cutting on natural slopes and streambanks generally leads to an increase in slope failures (Gray and Megahan 1989; O’Loughlin 1974; Pollen-Bankhead et al. 2009; Sidle et al. 1985; Wu and Swanston 1980; Ziemer 1978). ... Both benefits and risks of converting wooded levees to grass-covered levees, including the engineering feasibility and economic costs of such conversion, have yet to be fully investigated."
Key conclusion from the Summary of Results and Conclusions: "The underlying question is, “Does woody vegetation affect levee performance?” The complexity and variability associated with root systems, soils, climate, geography, and geology poses impossibility in answering this question with a single, definitive answer with this initial research."
Below are the guidelines that the Canal Corp is relying on to make its case for removing all of the trees-- none cite any peer-reviewed scientific studies.
The FEMA guidelines were published in 2005, before the reviews posted above. There are no peer reviewed reports within this document. In fact, the document claims that decades of scientific research that tells us that trees stabilize embankments is wrong. They provide no peer reviewed evidence for this remarkable rejection of the science.
The 2014 Army Corps of Engineers guidance for vegetation management around levees, which recommends complete removal. This guidance cites the poorly sourced FEMA guidelines, but NOT the two longer USACE reports from 2010-2011 and NO additional peer reviewed research.
This is the document that the CC highlights in its new videos (Spring 2019). It has lots of information about how erosion starts and progresses, but the only statement about the risks of vegetation is pasted below. Note that the document uses FEMAs guidelines from above -- again, those are not supported by scientific research -- and uncited anecdotes ("numerous incidents..." ) as evidence that vegetation is problematic on dams.
"3.3 Biologic Activity (Animal and Vegetation)
Many State dam safety agencies and FEMA have published guidance on maintenance of vegetation on embankment dams (FEMA 473, 2005; FEMA 534, 2005). Numerous incidents have occurred due to improper maintenance of vegetation and animal activity on levees and embankment dams. For example, the Truckee Canal10 is thought to have failed as a result of burrowing animals. Burrowing animals weaken embankments by providing shortened seepage paths and voids. Heavy vegetative cover provides habitat for burrowing animals, and the root systems can also lead to internal erosion. Large trees can topple and also result in breach of a dam or levee. Proper vegetative and animal maintenance is required to address these potential failure modes."
The press release here summarizes the current status: The Army Corps is no longer requiring tree removal from levees, as of 2014.
Water Resources Development Act of 2014 (signed into law 6/10/2014)
(Sec. 3013) Requires the Secretary to carry out a comprehensive review of national guidelines to determine whether current federal policy relating to levee vegetation is appropriate for all regions of the United States. Specifies factors which the Secretary must consider in carrying out such review.
Relevant bill text is here:
(b) Review.--The Secretary shall carry out a comprehensive review of the guidelines in order to determine whether current Federal policy relating to levee vegetation is appropriate for all regions of the
United States.
(c) Factors.--
(1) In general.--In carrying out the review, the Secretary shall consider--
(A) the varied interests and responsibilities in
managing flood risks, including the need--
(i) to provide the greatest benefits for
public safety with limited resources; and
(ii) to ensure that levee safety investments
minimize environmental impacts and provide
corresponding public safety benefits;
(B) the levee safety benefits that can be provided
by woody vegetation;
(C) the preservation, protection, and enhancement of
natural resources, including--
(i) the benefit of vegetation on levees in
providing habitat for species of concern,
including endangered, threatened, and candidate
species; and
(ii) the impact of removing levee vegetation
on compliance with other regulatory requirements;
(D) protecting the rights of Indian tribes pursuant
to treaties and statutes;
(E) determining how vegetation impacts the
performance of a levee or levee system during a storm or
flood event;
(F) the available science and the historical record
regarding the link between vegetation on levees and
flood risk;
(G) the avoidance of actions requiring significant
economic costs and environmental impacts; and
(H) other factors relating to the factors described
in subparagraphs (A) through (F) identified in public
comments that the Secretary determines to be
appropriate.
Water Resources Development Act of 2016 (Passed US Senate, not considered by House)
Sec. 1027. LEVEE VEGETATION.
Clarifies the levee vegetation management policy adopted WRRDA 2014 by prohibiting the Corps from requiring or carrying out vegetation removal (unless there is an unacceptable safety risk) until they issue new guidelines. Requires the Corps to explain why they have failed to develop the new guidelines required in WRRDA 2014.
New Army Corps implementation guidance for vegetation management on levees (October, 2017). Relevant text highlighted.
Affidavit opposing the project on scientific grounds, from Dr. Donald Gray, an expert on embankment vegetation and coauthor of the Army Corps reviews posted above.
Key quote: "I have read the project overview prepared by the Canal Corporation for the removal of trees along elevated sections of the Erie Canal in Orleans and Monroe counties. Many of the claims and benefits of this action are asserted without proof or evidence....In summary: Trees growing adjacent the canal, embankment tow-path provide multiple benefits, not only environmental and visual, but also to levee structural stability and public safety. Healthy, trees are precisely the type of woody vegetation that should be left in place and/or managed to improve their positive benefits and to mitigate any potential liabilities. Conversely, wide-scale removal, as presently planned and already partially undertaken, will incur additional expenses and have adverse consequences on embankment stability and integrity."
California Levee Research Program Web Page The next two documents below are from this web site.
Key quote from the Memorandum: "The results of the study indicate that the number of performance records that discuss vegetation influence on levee performance is small (95 records or1.4% of 6,970 records). Of these, a small number of records (11 records or 12% of the 95 records that indicate vegetation influence on levee performance) indicated that vegetation played a role in the levee performance. The majority of these performance records discussed the influence of vegetation on the levee O&M. Generally it described the inability to visually determine levee performance during high water events."
Key quote from the Synthesis of Levee Vegetation Research Results: "The effects of trees on levee soil properties, slope stability, and seepage-induced piping are small and hard to measure or simulate. Impacts can be beneficial or slightly detrimental depending on conditions and situation. A field experiment in California showed that seepage was slower in a levee slope containing a decaying tree stump than in an adjacent section of the same levee slope with only herbaceous vegetation."
Chapter 4 from the "International Levee Handbook" (2013) describing the state of the art in woody vegetation management on levees in different countries. Different countries take different approaches to managing established trees, no approach is described as "safest". (Information about the handbook here) The relevant section starts on page 33 of this PDF.
Engineering report on 1912 canal breach in Bushnell's Basin. Note that the problem was caused by modification of the culvert bringing Irondequoit creek under the canal, and that the structure of the embankment is described as sand. The woody vegetation on the Great Embankment is likely doing a very important service for us by stabilizing this sandy soil. At the Jan 18 public meeting, the CC engineers did not seem to know that this embankment was in fact mostly sand, raising serious questions about how well they studied this problem before taking action.
Comprehensive look at all dam breaches caused by internal erosion up to 2007. Bottom line: of 267 failures described and recorded since 1868 due to internal erosion, only 5 were reported to have to do with tree root growth.
What this tells us is that 98% of dams that have failed due to internal erosion did so without trees being mentioned as a possible problem. Removing trees will not make the dam safe from failure.
If what we need is a better inspection regime, let's try to figure out how to do that while retaining the trees that provide other values.
Similar to the above paper, this one published in 2016.
The biggest cause of failures in earthen dams is connections between built structures (like culverts) and soil. We already knew this is the case on the Canal based on historical failures.
In addition, they find that the older the embankment, the less likely it is to fail. This suggests that mature vegetation could be helping -- not causing instability.
Another review. This does indicate that "homogenous earth fill" embankments (which is what -- I think?-- most of the Erie Canal embankments are) are the most prone to failure.
But the risk of failure of these types of dams after 5 years of operation is 0.02% per year.
The risk is increased when there is "limited internal erosion control." Unless the PA intends to completely rebuild the embankments, one could easily argue that healthy tree roots are now PROVIDING internal erosion control by preventing the formation of a continuous "pipe".
In light of all of this research, California updated its levee management strategy in 2017 to leave much established vegetation in place.
Remember when the huge Oroville Dam in CA nearly collapsed in winter 2017? The vegetated portion was not a problem then, nor has it ever been.
OK, this isn't about embankment stability, but it does have survey data on why people visit or are interested in the Canal.