Thursday, September 6 – Sala degli Svizzeri - morning

08:30 – 09:00 Registration

08:50 – 09:00 Welcoming words, Eric Hillebrand, Felix Pretis and Tommaso Proietti

Session 1

09:00 – 09:30 David Hendry (University of Oxford) Analyzing Differences between Scenarios

09:30 – 10:00 Marina Friedrich (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) New developments of allowance prices in the EU ETS

10:00 – 10:30 Frank Ericcson (University of Berkeley) Climate Uncertainties and the Social Cost of Methane

10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break

Session 2

11:00 – 11:30 David Stern (Australian National University) Estimating the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity from Observations of Surface Temperature and Forcing Using a Multicointegrating Vector Autoregressive Model

11:30 – 12:00 Richard Tol (University of Sussex) The impact of climate and trade on agriculture: a Ricardian Analysis

12:00 – 12:30 Claudio Morana (University of Milano Bicocca) Some financial implications of global warming

12:30 – 13:00 Tobias Geiger (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Emulating future tropical cyclone exposure on the country level

13:00 – 14:00 Lunch

Thursday, September 6 – Sala degli Svizzeri - Afternoon

Session 3

14:00 – 14:30 Timo Terasvirta (Aarhus University, CASE and Humboldt Berlin) Long Monthly Temperature Series and the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Correlation Autoregressive Model

14:30 – 15:00 Marco Gallegati (Marche Polytechnic University) Anthropogenic long-term climate change and natural variability: a timescale analysis

15:00 – 15:30 Niall Farrell (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Diversification and the impacts of climate change

15:30 – 16:00 Thalheimer Lisa (University of Oxford) The multifaceted relationship between extreme weather events, conflict and displacement: New insights from Somalia

16:00 – 16:30 Coffee break

Session 4 (Speed session)

16:30 – 16:45 Xiang Lin (Södertörn University) The time varying impact of snow conditions on overnight stays in selected winter destinations

16:45 – 17:00 Alfonso Carfora (Italian Revenue Agency) The new deal of U.S. environmental policy: Challenges or threat?

17:00 – 17:15 Lotanna Emediegwu (University of Manchester) The Impact of Climate Change on West African Agriculture: Is Spatial Dependence Really a Problem?

17:15 – 17:30 Kirsten Wiebe (Industrial Ecology Program, NTNU, Norway) Modelling the future wood harvest rate in Norway under the shared socioeconomic pathways

17:30 – 17:45 Andy Williams (Nobeah Foundation) A Collective Intelligence Based Econometric Model for the Reduction of Climate Change Related Consumption and Simultaneous Increase of Economic Growth

17:45 – 18:00 Meltem Ucal (Kadir Has University, Istanbul) Multidirectional Relationship between Climate Change, Energy Resources, and Sustainable Development: Econometric Modeling

20:00 Dinner Ristorante Cacciani, via A. Diaz, 13 - 00044 Frascati

FRIDAY, September 7 – Sala degli Svizzeri - morning

Session 1

09:00 – 09:30 Isaac Miller (University of Missouri, US) Beyond RCP8.5: Statistical Emulation of a Big Climate Model Using Quasi-Representative Concentration Pathways and Projecting Mortality Risk from Excessive Heat

09:30 – 10:00 Felix Pretis (University of Oxford) Beyond Temperatures: An Econometrically-Estimated Damage Function of 21st Century Climate Impacts using Extreme Climate Indicators

10:00 – 10:30 Marco Letta (University of Rome La Sapienza) Disentangling the impacts of weather and climate on economic production: a stochastic frontier approach

10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break

Session 2

11:00 – 11:30 Jessie Granadillos (Climate Analytics) A Chink in the Armour: How strong European economies are threatened by climate change

11:30–12:00 Luca Trapin (Università Cattolica Milano) Mixed-frequency extreme value regression: estimating the effect of mesoscale convective systems on extreme rainfalls in the US Midwest

12:00 – 12:30 Andrew B Martinez (University of Oxford) Changing Tropical Cyclone Speed: is it a trend or a structural break?

12:30 – 13:00 Thomas Lervik (Nord University, Norway) Climate Change Risk and Expected Stock Returns

13:00 – 14:00 Lunch

FRIDAY September 7 – Sala degli Svizzeri - AFTERNOON

Session 3

14:00 – 14:30 Martin Wagner (University of Dortmund and Bank of Slovenia) Monitoring Environmental Kuznets Curves

14:30 – 15:00 Chiara Binelli (University of Milano Bicocca) The Causal Impact of Anthropogenic Emissions on Global Warming

15:00 – 15:30 Malcolm Mistry (University of Venice) Agricultural Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change: Understanding and Contextualizing Evidence from Crop Simulations

15:30 – 16:00 Bjørnar Karlsen Kivedal (Østfold University College) Investigating the Environmental Kuznets Curve for the US through the I(2) Cointegration Model

Session 4 (Speed session)

16:30 – 16:45 David Garcia Leon (University of Venice) Weather and Income: Lessons from the Main European Regions

16:45 – 17:00 Yevhenii Antoniuk (Nord University, Norway) Climate change index for empirical asset pricing studies

17:00 – 17:15 Discussion

Closing remarks

17:15 – 17:30 Eric Hillebrand, Felix Pretis, Tommaso Proietti