JMP
Abstract: Leveraging an exogenous shock to lenders' ability to securitize, I demonstrate that securitization allows lenders to offload prepaying loans, leading to increased credit for borrowers with a high propensity to prepay. I find that borrowers place value on the ability to prepay, as evidenced by sensitivity to prepayment fees and significant bunching around prepayment fee thresholds. Borrowers who prepay secure more favorable terms on subsequent loans and support greater job creation compared to those who repay loans on schedule. These findings underscore an often overlooked benefit of securitization: its ability to enhance credit access for high-quality borrowers who may lack a strong credit history but whose activities contribute to economic growth.
Photo by Maranda Vandergiff on Unsplash
with Andrew MacKinlay and Yessenia Tellez
Abstract: Technological innovation has spurred the growth of online banks specializing in different geographic areas. This study examines the role of securitization for government-backed small business loans. Online banks, which rely heavily on securitization, are disproportionately vulnerable to fluctuations in secondary market demand. Using a novel regulatory shock that reduced securitization profitability, we find that online banks reduce loan originations and increase interest rates. This credit reduction impacts the poorest and least-banked counties, where these lenders concentrate. When lending, online banks experience higher default rates but leverage larger government guarantees, imposing a cross-subsidy on traditional lenders and the government.
Presentations: FDIC Bank Research Conference (Oct 2024), FDIC Spring Seminar Series (Jul 2024)*, Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference (Apr 2024)*, Midwest Finance Association (Mar 2024)*, FDIC Consumer Research Conference (Mar 2024), Utah State University (Feb 2024), Financial Management Association (Oct 2023), University of Virginia (Sep 2023)*, European Finance Association (Aug 2023)*, University of Edinburgh Economics of Financial Technology Conference (Jun 2023)*, Eastern Finance Association (Mar 2023)*, The Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Dec 2022)*, Virginia Tech (Sep 2022).
with Andrew MacKinlay and Jin Xu
Abstract: The bulk of existing literature suggests that concentrated lender-borrower relationships reduce information asymmetries and agency costs, resulting in benefits to borrowers. Using bank-merger events as a shock to debt concentration, we examine channels by which relationship concentration impacts borrowers. Contrary to the literature, we find that positive shocks to concentration result in decreased borrower credit, investment, and growth. We find that lenders reduce lending most to borrowers that are reliant upon them. This is evidence of lenders taking advantage of higher switching costs and reduced borrower bargaining power to exploit borrowers. Our findings suggest substantial costs of concentrated relationships.
Photo by Joshua Sukoff on Unsplash
with Ben Blau, Todd Griffith, and Ryan Whitby
Abstract: The struggle between businesses expending resources to try and form a monopoly and the government spending capital to stop monopolies is described in Tullock (1967). One way that firms attempt to monopolize a market is through corporate lobbying. Prior research highlights the firm-level benefits associated with political connections, which include lower costs of capital, lower tax liabilities, a lower likelihood of fraud detection, and an improved regulatory framework. In this study, we seek to determine whether or not a firm’s lobbying activity influences the firm’s market concentration – relative to other firms within the same industry. We find that firms that lobby have market concentrations that are between 7% and 10.5% higher than firms that do not lobby. To draw stronger causal inferences, we follow prior literature and exploit the guilty plea by lobbyist Jack Abramoff, which sparked a change in the regulatory landscape that attempted to curb the pecuniary benefits associated with lobbying. Results from our difference-in-difference tests reveal that relative to firms that did not lobby, those that did, experienced a reduction in market concentration during the post-event period. These findings suggest that causation flows from lobbying to market power instead of the other way around.