Research

Journal Articles

The more the better? How degree programs’ variety affects university students’ churn risk, C. Usala, I. Primerano, F. Santelli, and G. Ragozini, Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, p. 101926, 2024, issn: 0038-0121. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101926.  

Disentangling the secondary school effects in the assessment of university inefficiencies, C. Usala, I.Sulis, L. Salaris, N. Tedesco, M. Porcu, and B. Barbieri, Studies in Higher Education, 2024. doi: 10.1080/03075079.2024.2345188. .  

Will the gap ever be bridged? A cross-national comparison of non-native students’ educational achievements, M.Porcu, I.Sulis, C. Usala, and F. Giambona, GENUS, vol. 79, no. 3, pp. 1–26, 2023. doi: 10.1186/s41118-023-00199-5. 4. 

The high school effect on students’ mobility choices, C.Usala, M.Porcu, and I. Sulis, Statistical Methods & Applications, vol. 32, pp. 1259–1293, 2023. doi: 10.1007/s10260-023-00694-1

Work in Progress

Following the crowd: how peers affect students' mobility choices, with Mariano Porcu e Isabella Sulis

This paper investigates how Italian university students' mobility choices are affected by their peers' choices. At this aim, students' mobility choices are classified according to the supply of tertiary education institutions in their local area based on the distance between students' city of residence and the nearest university. At the same time, peer groups are defined as the set of students who attended the same class during high school and have decided to enroll in an Italian university. In this framework, the estimation of the peers' effect is carried out by adopting a two stages procedure to disentangle the influence of peers' choices on students' mobility from the one that depends on students' and peers' background, demographic characteristics, and high school environment. This procedure is applied to administrative data regarding the population of Italian students in the cohort 2019/2020 and 2020/2021, and it allows us to identify the dimension and the direction of the peers' effect along with how this effect changes when considering students with different socioeconomic backgrounds.

Best Score in the Match: Marginal Taxation and Labor Mobility in the European Football Market, with Rinaldo Brau

The international mobility of high skilled workers represents a crucial public policy issue, especially when occurring in an environment characterized by low mobility costs and relevant international differences in top tax rates. In this work, we study the effect of top marginal tax rates on turnover and migration patterns of football players in 16 countries between 2007 and 2016. This phenomenon is analyzed both at the international and inter-regional levels by exploiting national and regional variations in the effective marginal tax rate. We estimate a two-sided matching model using a maximum score matching approach. This allows us to account for the competition on each side of the market, and get rid of factors affecting both the demand and supply side for which information is hardly accessible (namely, wages of top-level workers). The structural parameters of the underlying decision process are exploited to quantify the sensitivity of taxpayers' equilibrium locations to taxation, the existence of sorting effects and the heterogeneity of these effects based on the ability of the player. In a context of elastic labor demand, the elasticity of migration relative to the net-of-tax rate is between 0.07 and 0.12 for natives, 1.20 and 1.37 for foreigners while it is around 0.22 if when considering the whole population. The estimated elasticities are higher when considering top-players suggesting that lower tax rates can increase the average quality of workers in the country by attracting more high-ability players who, in a context of rigid labor demand, displace low-quality players.

University students' mobility and the role of need-based grants and accommodation services in Italy, with Rinaldo Brau

The attractiveness of universities for students represents a crucial public policy issue given the role that these institutions have in fostering local development. In this work, we aim to understand the effect of financial and in-kind aid programs on the location decision process of students. This phenomenon is analyzed by using a unique dataset with administrative data on Italian university students enrolled for the first time in the academic year 2014-2015 along with detailed information on the need-based policies comprised by the Diritto allo studio universitario program. We consider explicitly the heterogeneity in students' preferences concerning these policies. First, we estimate the systematic variation in students' preferences by interacting individual characteristics with alternatives' attributes in a Conditional Logit framework. Second, we take advantage of the Latent Class Logit model. The latter approach allows to model systematic and random heterogeneity in preferences by exploiting the individual characteristics of students. The estimated parameters are exploited to quantify the sensitivity of student's location choices by computing willingness to pay and semi-elasticity measures. Our results suggest that policies that provide scholarships and places in dormitories together affect positively students' choice probabilities, this way indicating that these policies are effective in attracting more students in specific universities. Semi-elasticities results indicate that students with better high school diploma grades are more sensitive to these policies, this way suggesting that these services can be used as a tool to attract better students.

PhD Thesis

Essays on Determinants of Tax and Services Induced Mobility, Supervisor: Rinaldo Brau

Tax and service induced mobility of economic agents is one of the most important factors in shaping regional and economic performances. Indeed, since the fundamental contribution of Tiebout (1956), it is acknowledged that individuals move among regions and countries to satisfy their preferences with respect to the bundle of tax and services that each jurisdiction is providing. With this respect, the mobility of high-skilled individuals is a fundamental public policy issue. In fact, these agents play a fundamental role in fostering the local development given their high productivity and their ability to generate positive spillovers within jurisdictions' territories. Therefore, governments are incentivized to shape their policies to attract this kind of individuals and may compete with each other to reach this target. In this context, tax and services induced mobility of high-skilled individuals become a fundamental driving force that influences national and regional policies and economic performances. Therefore, understanding the determinants of economic mobility is paramount. This doctoral thesis is devoted to investigating empirically the determinants of tax and service mobility by means of the discrete choice approach. Chapter one provides an introductory overview of the tax and service induced phenomenon. The chapter starts by summarizing the theoretical literature regarding tax and service induced migration and the debate regarding this phenomenon. The second part of the chapter is devoted to a general discussion of the discrete choice approach in the context of individual economic mobility. Chapter two analyzes the tax induced mobility of high-skilled workers from an empirical point of view. More specifically, the chapter investigates the effect of top marginal tax rates on turnover and migration patterns of football players in 16 European countries between 2007 and 2016. The analysis is carried by estimating a two-sided matching model using a maximum score matching approach. This strategy has permitted to estimate the structural parameters of the underlying decision process of footballers by accounting for the competition between agents in the market and get rid of factors affecting both the demand and supply side for which information is hardly accessible. These parameters are then exploited to quantify the sensitivity of the population of tax payers to taxation and the heterogeneity of these effects on the base of players' abilities and nationalities. Findings indicate a heterogeneous effect of marginal taxation. Chapter three analyzes the service-induced mobility of university students by focusing on the effect of financial and in-kind aid policies on their choices of location. This phenomenon is analyzed by using a unique dataset with administrative data on Italian university students enrolled for the first time in the academic year 2014-2015, along with detailed information on the financial and in-kind policies of the Diritto allo studio universitario program. The analysis is by considering explicitly the heterogeneity in students' preferences. Firstly, a Conditional Logit model is estimated to identify the systematic variation in students' preferences by interacting individual characteristics with alternatives' attributes. Secondly, a the Latent Class Logit model in order to consider explicitly the heterogeneity in students' preferences. The latter approach allows to model systematic and random heterogeneity in preferences by exploiting the individual characteristics of students. The sensitivity of students' location decisions is quantified by computing willingness to pay and semi-elasticity measures. Findings indicate that policies that provide scholarships together with places in dormitories are effective in attracting more students. 

Publications - Blogs

Brau, R.; Usala, C. (2020). How sensitive are the migration choices of top-income workers to the tax burden?, London School of Economics and Political Sciences Business Review, - Here -

Publications - Book chapter

Barbieri, B.; Porcu, M.; Salaris, L.; Sulis, I.; Tedesco, N.; Usala, C. (2022). University dropout and churn in Italy: an analysis over time. In Book of short Papers SIS 2022. Antonio Balzanella, Matilde Bini, Carlo Cavicchia, Rosanna Verde. Pearson. ISBN: 9788891932310

Angei, F.; Brau, R.; Caria, A.; Cordeddu, M.; Delugas, E.; Pireddu, A.; Statzu, V.;  Usala, C. (2022). Capitolo 3: I servizi pubblici, aa. vv. 29° Rapporto sull'economia della Sardegna, Arkadia Editore, Cagliari. ISBN: 9788868514051

Primerano, I.; Santelli, F.; Usala, C.; Ragozini, G. (2022). Exploiting students' inter-degree relocations to assess Italian universities' attractiveness, In Book of Abstract 9th International Conference on Risk Analysis (ICRA). Christos Kitsos, Teresa A. Oliveira, Francesca Pierri, Marialuisa Restaino. PKE srl. ISBN: 789726749196

Primerano, I.; Santelli, F.; Usala, C. (2022). Discovering archetypal universities in higher education mobility flows in Italy. In Book of short Papers IES 2022 Innovation & Society 5.0: statistical and economic methodologies for quality assessment.. Rosaria Lombardo, Ida Camminatello, Violetta Simonacci. PKE srl. ISBN: 9788894593358

Porcu, M.; Sulis, I.; Usala, C. (2022). Estimating the peers effect on students' university choices. In Book of short Papers IES 2022 Innovation & Society 5.0: statistical and economic methodologies for quality assessment. Rosaria Lombardo, Ida Camminatello, Violetta Simonacci. PKE srl. ISBN: 9788894593358

Porcu, M.; Sulis, I.; Usala, C. (2021). Detecting the effect of secondary school in higher education university choices. In Book of shor Papers CLADAG 2021. Giovanni Camillo Porzio, Carla Rampichini, Chiara Bocci, Firenze University Press. DOI: 10.36253/978-88-5518-340-6

Primerano, I.; Santelli, F.; Usala, C. (2021). A Multiplex network approach to study Italian Students' Mobility. In Book of short Papers SIS 2021. Cira Perna, Nicola Salvati, and Francesco Schirripa Spagnolo, Pearson. ISBN: 9788891927361

Primerano, I.; Santelli, F.; Usala, C. (2021). A Multiplex network approach to study Italian Students' Mobility. In Book of short Papers SIS 2021. Cira Perna, Nicola Salvati, and Francesco Schirripa Spagnolo, Pearson. ISBN: 9788891927361

Brau, R.; Deiana, C.; Giua, L.; Meloni, I.; Sottile, E.; Statzu, V.; Usala, C. (2021). Capitolo 3: I servizi pubblici, aa. vv. 28° Rapporto sull'economia della Sardegna, Arkadia Editore, Cagliari. ISBN: 9788868512859

Brau, R.; Di Liberto, A.; Pau, S.; Statzu, V.; Usala, C. (2020). Capitolo 3: I servizi pubblici, aa. vv. 27° Rapporto sull'economia della Sardegna, Arkadia Editore, Cagliari. ISBN: 9788868512859

Porcu, M.; Sulis, I.; Carta, A; Usala, C. (2020). Capitolo 4: La mobilità degli studenti e gli strumenti per il Diritto allo Studio Universitario,  aa. vv. Verso Nord: Le nuove e vecchie rotte delle migrazioni universitarie, Franco Angeli, Milano. ISBN: 9788835105626

Brau, R.; Delugas, E.; Statzu, V.; Usala, C. (2019). Capitolo 3: I servizi pubblici, aa. vv. 26° Rapporto sull'economia della Sardegna, Arkadia Editore, Cagliari. ISBN: 9788868512231