A short overview of the research findings, from the perspective of humanitarian applications.

A reading guide to the thesis itself, and a review of pilot projects and relevant scientific advancements between 2015 and 2018.

List of relevant acronyms that might be of use to the reader.

This article provides an overview of the Forecast-based Financing concept as it was first envisioned in 2015.

This research piece investigates the relationship between seasonal rainfall forecasts and "floodiness" in Africa. It identifies several ways in which seasonal forecasts could be more useful for disaster managers.

Comparing differential vulnerabilities in East Africa, this article examines methods to use drought forecasts for early action.

This research looks at forecasts of heatwaves and coldwaves around the world, to identify regions where these extreme events can be predicted before they happen. Spoiler alert - they can be predicted in a large percent of the world.

This article examines a concrete case study of flooding in northeastern Uganda; it combines unusual datasets to identify triggers for Forecast-based Financing in the region.

Outside of climate science, this essay explains why Forecast-based Financing requires Early Action plans in advance of the forecasted event, and reflects on the social and ethical challenges in setting up these systems.