2026 Edition
2026 Edition
Time and place: Tuesday, 16 June 2026, 3pm-4pm, room 260-210G (Board Room)
Speaker: Yunjie Shi [PhD Candidate in Economics, UoA]
Title: Learning Private Values in Public Good Contributions (joint work with Simona Fabrizi and Steffen Lippert [UoA])
Abstracts: We study voluntary contributions to a threshold public good by two players who learn about their private valuations through private signals. Only bad signals can arrive. The absence of signals makes players increasingly optimistic about their own valuations, whereas a prolonged history of no contribution makes them increasingly pessimistic about the other player’s willingness to contribute. We characterize the unique symmetric perfect Bayesian equilibrium. We show that equilibrium behavior evolves from waiting to partial contribution and ultimately to full contribution by a single player. Private-value learning can eventually eliminate free-riding in the private provision of public goods.
Time and place: Tuesday, 2 June 2026, 3:15pm-4:15pm, room 260-6115
Speaker: Matthew Ryan [AUT]
Title: Luce Models and Conditional Probability Space (joint work with José Rodrigues-Neto and James Taylor [ANU])
Abstracts: This paper connects some recent literature on stochastic choice with an older literature on conditional probability structures. In the stochastic choice context, Cerreia-Vioglio et al. (2021, Theorem 2) proved that Luce's (1957, 1959) famous choice axiom characterises a two-stage model of behaviour in which the “acceptable” alternatives are selected according to a rational choice function (Arrow, 1959), then “indifference” resolved randomly using a Luce model. In the conditional probability context, the choice axiom characterises a conditional probability system (CPS): Rényi (1955) and Császár (1955). The CPS structure was introduced into game theory by Myerson (1986) to model off-equilibrium beliefs. Two alternative structures that also permit conditioning on zero-probability events were subsequently proposed by McLennan (1989a,b) and Blume, Brandenburger and Dekel (1991a,b). Hammond (1994) proved that all three conditional probability structures are isomorphic, at least for a finite state space. We show that part of Hammond's isomorphism is mathematically identical to the special case of Cerreia-Vioglio et al. (2021, Theorem 2) in which the universal set of alternatives is finite. In the other direction, we show that Cerreia-Vioglio et al. (2021) can be used to extend a different part of Hammond's isomorphism to infinite domains. Finally, we observe that Rodrigues-Neto, Ryan and Taylor (2025b) permits a further generalisation of both results to arbitrary families of (finite) conditioning events.
Time and place: Tuesday, 10 March 2026, 3:15pm-4:15pm, room 260-6115
Speaker: Binyamin Oz [ISOM, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Auckland]
Title: The Social Benefit of Priority Service
Abstracts: In most cases, society is indifferent to the specific order in which homogeneous customers are served in a queue. Hence, it is only the server who may benefit from selling priority service, and the revenue from such activity comes at the expense of reduced consumer surplus. In this work, we show that when strategic customers are faced with an additional decision, on top of whether to pay for priority service, selling priority service by revenue-maximizing servers may not only improve social welfare but even maximize it in some cases. We exemplify this principle by studying two models. In the first, a monopolistic server charges for priority while customers decide whether to join the queue, and if they do, whether to pay for priority. In the second, multiple revenue-maximizing servers compete on the priority service price, while customers decide which queue to join and whether to pay for priority at the queue they join.