Whodunnit?

There has, inevitably, been much speculation about who was behind the leak, hack, break-in, or whatever you want to call it. Much of this speculation is ill-informed.

There was an investigation by Norfolk Police, called 'Operation Cabin', that spent over £84,000, but got nowhere. The final report published in July 2012 can be read here.

A good place to start is with the primary source, the text posted with the link at the climate blogs.

Here it is in full.

FOIA said

November 17, 2009 at 9:57 pm

We feel that climate science is, in the current situation, too important to be kept under wraps.

We hereby release a random selection of correspondence, code, and documents.

Hopefully it will give some insight into the science and the people behind it.

This is a limited time offer, download now: http://ftp.tomcity.ru/incoming/free/FOI2009.zip

Sample:

0926010576.txt * Mann: working towards a common goal

1189722851.txt * Jones: “try and change the Received date!”

0924532891.txt * Mann vs. CRU

0847838200.txt * Briffa & Yamal 1996: “too much growth in recent years makes it difficult to derive a valid age/growth curve”

0926026654.txt * Jones: MBH dodgy ground

1225026120.txt * CRU’s truncated temperature curve

1059664704.txt * Mann: dirty laundry

1062189235.txt * Osborn: concerns with MBH uncertainty

0926947295.txt * IPCC scenarios not supposed to be realistic

0938018124.txt * Mann: “something else” causing discrepancies

0939154709.txt * Osborn: we usually stop the series in 1960

0933255789.txt * WWF report: beef up if possible

0998926751.txt * “Carefully constructed” model scenarios to get “distinguishable results”

0968705882.txt * CLA: “IPCC is not any more an assessment of published science but production of results”

1075403821.txt * Jones: Daly death “cheering news”

1029966978.txt * Briffa – last decades exceptional, or not?

1092167224.txt * Mann: “not necessarily wrong, but it makes a small difference” (factor 1.29)

1188557698.txt * Wigley: “Keenan has a valid point”

1118949061.txt * we’d like to do some experiments with different proxy combinations

1120593115.txt * I am reviewing a couple of papers on extremes, so that I can refer to them in the chapter for AR4


We can immediately deduce something about the person who wrote this from the style of these comments. "Osborn: concerns with MBH uncertainty". What does that refer to? Clearly, whoever wrote that knew what he was talking about. Knew that MBH was a paper by Mann, Bradley and Hughes that was controversial.